Most polling organizations switch from Registered Voters to Likely Voters after Labor Day. This is the first round of results that reflect that switch. As expected, the (R)’s generally get a bump of several points. Good news, but it would have been a surprise had that not occurred.
The polls themselves are somewhat suspect. More and more people don’t have landlines or screen their calls. Traditional polling methods are less effective and the workarounds are unproven. None of these polling results reflect midterm turnout, even with the likely voter screen. Right now, people in the (R) camp are much more likely than the (D) camp to show up in November and I doubt that this shows in the polls at the moment.
Despite the doom and gloomers, this is going to be a good election cycle for conservatives. More conservatives will be elected at every level and they will exert their influence on the old bulls. The next Congress will behave very differently than did this one, especially if Harry Reid is not Majority Leader.
I hope the Freepers read this and believe it. I do. I don't buy the argument that the GOPe is just another branch of the Dem Party for a minute. Ted Cruz is very unlikely to lead the next Senate but at least Harry Reid won't ether.