[tatown]

I just saw a CA poll released today that has Obama at 53%.

[only1percent]

Winning California with only 53% of the vote is one of the those things that, in isolation, would tend to produce the EV victory for Obama in the face of PV defeat -- a million "wasted" votes vs. 2008.

However, I'd think you'd have correlation for Colorado, Nevada and perhaps New Mexico as that kind of titanic shift would imply a big change in the allegiance of educated whites and the enthusiasm of Latinos.

Wouldn't mean that much for the Midwest or Pennsylvania, where it's blue collar whites who are up for grabs and the African Americans whose enthusiasm is vital.