Posted on 10/25/2012 11:01:24 PM PDT by Arthurio
2880 LV
|
2.0
|
50
|
50
|
-
|
TIE
|
|
831 LV
|
3.5
|
47
|
50
|
-
|
Kerry +3
|
|
600 LV
|
4.0
|
47
|
49
|
-
|
Kerry +2
|
|
585 LV
|
4.0
|
44
|
50
|
-
|
Kerry +6
|
|
801 LV
|
3.0
|
47
|
45
|
-
|
Bush +2
|
|
537 LV
|
4.0
|
50
|
46
|
-
|
Bush +4
|
|
358 LV
|
5.3
|
46
|
50
|
-
|
Kerry +4
|
|
706 LV
|
3.5
|
47
|
48
|
1
|
Kerry +1
|
For reference, Bush beat Kerry in Ohio by 2.1% in 2004.
Here’s hoping for a large national Bradley effect.
Wow.
Very encouraging. Most polls even had Kerry at 50%.
Of course the “early vote” fraud wasn’t going on back then, but still, very encouraging. Thanks for sharing.
You should email this to Rush.
I am sure his listeners would love to have Ohio put into historical perspective.
“Heres hoping for a large national Bradley effect.”
I’m convinced that is what is going to happen. Everyone is commenting about how there are no Obama stickers on cars this time round. Zero has no support. I think people who are registered Dems get phone calls from pollsters, and when they tell the pollster they are a registered Dem, they have to say they are voting for Zero. Everyone has seen what happens if anyone dares criticize The One. They are immediately labeled a racist.
True, there are hardly any Romney bumper stickers either, but I’m as conservative as they come and I don’t have a sticker because I don’t want my car vandalized.
Great post! Thanks!
I remember the Dems howling about disenfranchisement of certain groups (Cleveland?) over that one.
Was this the election where the media was stunned that the exit polls did not match the actual results and acted as though there just must be something wrong because of it?
I think so. There was a disparity they tried to explain away by saying there was vote fraud.
Rasmussen had Bush +2, and Bush won by 2. Rasmussen currently has Ohio tied 48-48.
What I notice is that Rasmussen was more correct than the other polls, with the exception of one I’ve never heard of.
Gallup doesn’t have a very good track record, do they?
It’s snowing in He!!.
The Columbus Dispatch endorses.....Mitt Romney.
Strategic Vision is a political consulting firm that is still around today. They used to do a lot of public political polling until a few years ago. A decade ago they were well known among poll watchers like us.
I guess no one is hiring them to do publicly released political surveys these days since I don’t remember seeing any recently. Does anyone know?
Yes. At midday exit polls showed Kerry winning OH and several other “ swing” states and I came on FR to a total meltdown having just done “poll flushing” in a key bellwether precinct that showed R turnout at high enough level that Bush had on. Rove said he knew it at that moment too. But Freepers were sure Bush had lost even as late as 8 pm.
It would be interesting to see the last week or two of polling before each firm’s final poll. Sometimes a firm will show a significant move in the results over this period of time, and often in different directions than other polling firms. Were the 2004 Ohio polling numbers leading up to the final polls all over the map?
Very interesting. Thanks for the research.
A tidbit: Newt Gingrich was on Greta last night and was making some wild predictions. He said it would be a Romney landslide, 53-47.
He mentioned his experience in reading polls, going back to his House days. He claimed all the national polls showing Obama at 45-46-47 are where he will be on 11/7. He referred it to the Carville model or something. But it is also what Dick Morris uses (as does the Suffolk polling).
Do the math.
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