Posted on 09/09/2012 6:17:22 AM PDT by GlockThe Vote
1500 LV - not good.
(Excerpt) Read more at realclearpolitics.com ...
“Romney is not reason and this country is vastly different than 1980”
Absolutely right.
And what’s disheartening is that the demographic trends and direction in which the country is headed, are not changing. They may be accelerating.
Texas will “tip to the left” within twenty years, as New Mexico has within the last two decades. What then?
Conservatives (and to a lesser extent, Republicans) had better start thinking about the “years to come” and develop a long-term strategy for preserving at least -some- of their influence for a nation which will continue to fall to the left in the decades ahead.
If Obama wins, he will go scorched earth on us.
2. So Zero was about 4 or 5 points ahead of Romney during the last week of August, prior to Romney's post-convention bounce.
3. Following the Republican convention bounce, and following Clint Eastwood's ummmm, "controversial" conversation with an empty chair, Romney was about 4 or 5 points ahead of Zero last Sunday.
4. Romney started spending on TV ads the day after the Democrat convention ended, last Friday.
5. Following the Democrat convention bounce, and following a horrible convention speech, Obama is 4 points ahead of Romney today.
6. Today, it's TEOTWAWKI.
Do I have the time line (more or less) correct?
“Rasmussens generally accurate, though its gonna be a nail-biter, I have it 272 EV for Romney.”
I was thinking he might get 270.
Which battleground states do you see him winning/losing?
Also I’m seeing a lot people who is posting that I haven’t seen before..
Here’s some hope...
Tweeted from @TheRickWilson (GOP media guy).
Why the Media Predict-o-Herd is wrong
9. Romney won the primary by a willingness to cut throats, and by surprisingly strong debate kills. Gee
8. The same Democrat victory is inevitable stories from every cycle except 84 are an echo of the era of Gang of 500 agenda power.
7b. From the HHS mandate to the DNCs Abortion Is The Awesome! night to Dems booing God, to Israel, Team O is either tone deaf or hostile
7. Media folks largely dont get the deep rupture Obama has caused w people of faith, because they live in very secular world.
6. In 2008 by this time McCain campaign was broke, largely off the air in key states and rudderless. Opposite now true.
5a. Run that model with 08 numbers and Romney wins FL, even w/o any other externalities.)
5. Registration numbers in key states aint pretty for Obama: in 2008 Dems had a 670k reg adv in Fl and he barrrely won. Now? Only 440k.
4. After 200 million against Romney and a thousand hits by press stenographers running Chicagos hits, Romney is alive and inoculated.
3. No one wants to admit the 2008 Reverse Bradley Effect w suburban voters from 2008, but its gone now, and they know it.
2. Theyre not sensitive to the economy, but voters are. Parse it all ya want, but voters think the economy is in the dumper.
1.They ignore the coming ad blitz and cash advantage Romney holds.
Don’t know if its the end, I think your time line is correct - simple and to the point.
Look - i think Ras and Gallup are the two best.
What I am concerned w is Romney’s campaign.
No yard signs, no stickers, no real excitement, nothing bold, nothing really agressive, zero passion, etc.
Obama is the most destructive, lethal, corrupt, disastrous, horrible person i have EVER witnessed in public office and should not even be running for re-election yet be within margin or error to win this.
So what are Romney’s ads going to say?
I like parts of obamacare
I think the rich aren’t paying their fair share
I think abortion is ok under most circumstances
Every time he opens his mouth he loses more conservative votes.
“”Look at Clinton-Gore-Kerry-Obama””
Notice how each is progressively more leftist. I shudder to think of what that Dems will nominate in 10 years.
For example, lets say California (and all of its EV) goes for Obama. It doesn't matter if the vote was 50.1-49.9 or 60-40, the winner gets all of the EV. So can a margin of a few points in a national poll mask a different EV result?
Have you seen the ads? Painfully soft and ineffective. Worst “shock and awe” I’ve ever seen.
It was the Clinton speech that turned the tide, imo. It was even getting praise from a sports talk radio station here in WI. Outside of Eastwood, the GOP had nobody give a good speech.
So what are Romney’s ads going to say?
I like parts of obamacare
I think the rich aren’t paying their fair share
I think abortion is ok under most circumstances
I think homosexual adoption is a-ok
I think man made global warming is happening
I think it’s ok to grab guns
I think .........
Every time he opens his mouth he loses more conservative votes.
mypalsnail signup date: 08/08/2012
And all Romney had to say was that Obama is no clinton, never was a clinton, and CANT WORK WITH ANYBODY.
Romney SUCKS!!!!
His team are a joke. Here is what he needs to explain over and over and over and over
Obama w Demo Congress - Cap n Trade, ObamaCare, KSM trial in NYC, Stim Bill
Obama w GOP Congress - debt downgrade, no budget, executive orders, incompetence.
How Romney made it in the private equity so high is beyond me with how much of a p%$^^y he is.
After the primaries, I have not seen any of that "willingness". Suprisingly, the unscripted lines of Clint Eastwood, a mushy moderate, has been some of the most hard hitting and exciting lines that I have seen so far.
They ignore the coming ad blitz
That ads I have seen so far are not very hard hitting and pretty much vanilla. Where is the fire? You can have all the cash advantage possible, but if there is no fire voters are not going to see the difference between the candidates.
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