Skip to comments.Romney 47 Obama 44 Rasmussen Daily Presidential Tracking Poll
Posted on 09/01/2012 1:43:29 PM PDT by SMGFan
The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Saturday shows Mitt Romney attracting support from 47% of voters nationwide, while President Obama earns 44% of the vote. Four percent (4%) prefer some other candidate, and six percent (6%) are undecided.
(Excerpt) Read more at rasmussenreports.com ...
Gallup Romney 47 Obama 46
Since the pollsters are undersampling Republicans and oversampling DemocRATS, I wonder what it REALLY is.
I credit some of the boost to Clint Eastwood who helped humanize Romney. Of course I like Romney before all this. If people get a chance to listen to him and Ryan they will like them.
Rasmussen: 3-day average
Gallup: 7-day average
We are only now starting to see the convention bounce in these polls. I’m thinking Romney will wind up with a 5 to 6 point bounce, going from a pre-convention tie, to a sizable lead. I doubt Obama will get much if any bounce. Maybe 2 points. So, I expect Romney to have a lead following the Democratic Nation Convention of something like 3 points. Then, it’s on to the debates. Romney need only not droll on himself to get another couple point edge in the debates. So, right now, barring unforeseen events, I’m thinking Romney wins with a 5 point margin.
I saw article in Rasmussens website that the Republican have +4 advantage in voters over Dem> 2010 was even between Dems and Republicns and R wiped them out.. He hasn’t incorporated this into his polling yet but will be interesting when he does to see what the real advantage is for Romney.
Obama is not gonna make it. Bush barely won reelection and between August and November he never fell bellow 50% in any national poll.
Obama has been stuck in the low 40’s for months and between now and november things will only get worse. The negative campaign against him hasnt even started.
If Romney and the radical socialist from Chicago are tied after democrat convention, in real term it is a 5% GOP lead. Many people are afraid of saying they will not vote for the half black president for fear of being called racist. I will not put on Romney+Ryan bumper sticker on my car because the backers of the radical socialist from Chicago have many uncivil characters.
I agree. With the hysteria and desperation we are seeing from the lefties, those polls must be bad. REALLY BAD. The DemocRATS don't have the Palin kids to kick around this time and they haven't a clue about how to get the voters to "show them some love". They are out of ideas.
Obama is wondering where is Perot when you need him. A third party chipping off flakes is the only way Obama could win.
Where are you guys seeing Obama 46% Romney 47%? Drudge has that too but I keep seeing Obama 47% Romney 46%
I believe Gallup has it 47 for Obama to 46 for Romney. Rasmussen has it 47 for Romney to 44 for Obama. I believe the Gallup poll is a 7 day moving average. Rasmussen is a 3 day moving average. I believe Gallup uses 3500 registered voters; Rasmussen uses 1500 likely voters. Obviously, Rasmussen is more likely to be more accurate given the differences between the methods. There may be other factors that make Rasmussen more accurate, but those are the main ones.
From your lips to God’s ears!!
After the Hate Fest next week R & R will start polling over the 50% mark...
I won't either, but it may not stop me from making a shirt with his face with that chin up photo with the title "Moving FUBAR 2012" :-) Oh ya, don't forget the logo in the Circle so of the B...
At this time in the election cycle (Sept/Oct) you can usually add 5-10% to the R.
Obama is in big big trouble and they know it.
Perhaps even more importantly, 100-47-44=9% are undecided. Who do you think the majority will vote for?
RD, I really think that you’re on to something here. If 9% are still undecided, it would appear that Barry’s popularity doesn’t impress them much. The left is in deep trouble and they know it.
I'm not taking anything for granted, but I'm optimistic. http://www.pollingreport.com/incumbent.htm
“I believe Gallup has it 47 for Obama to 46 for Romney. Rasmussen has it 47 for Romney to 44 for Obama.”
I think Rasmussen said he just counts likely voters.
Interesting article. Unfortunately, it’s from 1989. I wonder if those numbers have held since then?