[mandaladon]

After being wrong in the same direction so consistently, wouldn’t you think that Pew might attempt to adjust their sampling techniques to adjust their techniques to avoid under-sampling Republican voters? Keep in mind the polls I have highlighted are the last polls in the race. I find it interesting that not one of their poll statisticians came out and said, ‘Boss, these results look whacked out because the electorate is going to be more than 24 percent Republican, and self-identified Democrats aren’t going to outpace Republicans by 9 percentage points.’ The Democrats couldn’t even reach that margin in 2008 . . . and you wonder why so many people think Obama is going to win. .......................They don't care they just want Zero to win.

[InvisibleChurch]

to depress the conservative vote

[Doe Eyes]

November 2008 — Obama 50 McCain 39 (Skew against Republican + 3.8)

According to:

Obama Leads McCain 52% to 46% in Campaign's Final Days

The final Pew poll had Obama leading by 6%. Obama won by 7.2%.

[SaxxonWoods]

Some polls from July 2004:

CBS News (462 RV), 6-Jul Kerry +5

NBC News (504 RV) 6-Jul Kerry +11

CNN/Gallup/USAT (706 LV) 8-Jul Kerry +4

Dem Corps* (1,010 LV) 10-Jul Kerry +5

CBS/NYT (823 RV) 7/11-7/15 Kerry +5

IBD/TIPP (842 RV) 7/12-7/17 Kerry +3

LA Times (1,529 RV) 7/17-7/21 Kerry +2

NPR - POS/GQR (800 LV) 7/18-7/20 Kerry +1

Quinnipiac Univ. (1551 RV) 7/18-7/22 Kerry +3

CNN/Gallup/USAT (709 LV) 7/19-7/21 Kerry +2

IBD/TIPP (883 RV) 7/19-7/24 Kerry +3

Fox News (767 LV) 7/20-7/21 Kerry +1

[dragonblustar]

Why Are So Many Pollsters Oversampling Democrats?

They must like the taste of ass.

[StAnDeliver]

"Why Are So Many Pollsters Oversampling Democrats?"

To excite the glass chewers...

[marktwain]

Political science studies show that a small but significant percentage of voters want to vote for a “winner”. Consistently showing Democrats to be ahead in the polls is an easy way to cheat for liberals. It is meant entirely to increase the vote totals for Democrats.

[P.O.E.]

To subconciously manipulate. Notice how often so-called news is reported as “many say” or “some think” and then go on to spew their talking points.

[Brown Deer]

The fact is, more Democrats receive handouts. That also means that they are more likely to be available to the pollers who are trying to contact them.

It’s kind of like the unemployment numbers. They are calculated from questionaires sent out to a very small sample of people (0.02% of the population). So, who’s more likely to respond? The long term unemployed who are suffering from depression because they have been out of work so long that they are no longer receiving benefits or people in a better mood?

[kinsman redeemer]

Oh! I know!!
It makes Zero look better.
They hope the fake “poll” results will engender a bandwagon effect.

And they’re right.

Sadly.

[luvie]

Why Are So Many Pollsters Oversampling Democrats?

DUH...

[GraceG]

Pollster called me up the other night, I kept asking “which one is the democrat” and then when they said I said “I am voting for them”.

I hold pollsters in contempt so much I give them nothing but garbage data.

[upchuck]

Why Are So Many Pollsters Oversampling Democrats?

I'm hoping that's a rhetorical question.

[Diggity]

They are just adjusting for voter fraud. Dems tend to vote more than one.

[Atlantan]

Polls have been skewed for a long time.

I remember the polls for Reagan & Carter as a dead heat until the very end. When I saw the cover of Newsweek the week of the election, it looked like it would be a close race. I never thought Reagan would win in a landside.

Cover of Newsweek Nov. 3, 1980: http://www.tias.com/11804/PictPage/1922502015.html

[2ndDivisionVet]

The question answers itself.

[OrangeHoof]

Um, because they *always* oversample Democrats because polling is as much about shaping public opinion as it is reporting public opinion.

The pollsters stopped being objective a few generations ago.

[Intolerant in NJ]

My regular correspondent Number-Cruncher checks in, groaning about the latest Pew poll and that organization’s strange habit of including an unrealistic percentage of Democrats in their sample...Interesting talk by David Horowitz on C-Span today about his latest book which looks at how so many of the biggest foundations in the coutnry have been taken over by the "progressive" leftists who as a result have something like 200 times the money conservative groups have to spread their propaganda around - mentioned Pew specifically and an example of how their CEO simply lied outright when challenged about their spending and orientation - this is why they have the "strange habit" of always including more 'rats in their samples than reality dictates - because they want 'rat candidates to win, and they they're habitual liars who never get seriously challenged for their mendacity.......

[<1/1,000,000th%]

Because that’s how it’s always been done.

[bmwcyle]

Polls before the election are all rigged. Ignore them.