I agree — Intrade rates the chances of overturn at 74% this AM — down from 78%. My own estimate of the chance of overturn is 51%. I’m slightly biased towards overturn but just slightly. Overturn is definitely not in the bag IMO, and if just the mandate is overturned, Obamacare morphs into a monster of a completely different nature.
If just the mandate is killed, that kills the insurance industry and paves the way for single payer commie care.
If the RATS hold either half of Congress or the POTUS, they could block any bill to overturn the rest of the law.
Back to 77.7% on intrade. That’s a nice number :)