Romney had a majority in NV, ID, MA, VA, DC, CT, DE, NY, RI, IA, NC, WV. That's 12 out of 40 State & DC Primaries so far. In all other primaries to date, more people voted against Romney than voted for him. Of these states, only ID & WV are strong R states in the General Election. NC is a toss up.
http://www.politico.com/2012-election/delegate-tracker/
http://elections.huffingtonpost.com/2012/romney-vs-obama-electoral-map
Romney needs to find a way to win the Cain/Santorum/Gingrich/Paul supporters into his campaign if he intends to win. He can't buy the General Election with overwhelming media presence the way he did the primary. And Obama already has an army ready to mobilize. Perhaps smaller and less enthusiastic than 4 years ago but plenty sufficient without serious opposition on the ground. There won't be enough people motivated to vote against Obama to carry Romney. Most will just stay home if they don't feel they have something to vote for.
From this and other stories we see that a lot of Romney supporters are not enthusiastic enough to show up at the local and other meetings to actually select delegates
His support is tissue paper thin around here ~ a handful of Bourbons at the top maybe, some old business buddies, mormons ~ ? ~, and otherwise he's not popular at all.
Back in 1960 JFK had gotten 70% of the black vote ~ located mostly in Northern states. It was barely enough to get him elected ~ that was a very tight election against Nixon.
Johnson decided to hold the Democrat base and sliced off a small faction in the Republican party. This consisted of the 30% of black voters who'd voted Republican ~ Johnson gave them the 1964 Civil Rights Act and promised the 1965 Civil Rights Act. Johnson ended up with 97% of the black vote.
Johnson won. Goldwater lost. A number of Social Conservatives didn't vote at all having taken some of Goldwater's insults to them to heart.
Obama could win the same way if even more Social Conservatives don't vote ~
I think the youth vote remains to be won and that's not happening with small things like free condoms and gay marriage. That, so far, is a ploy, and the Democrats have gotten little traction with it.
On the other hand the Republicans could pull in the youth vote with something sound about JOBS. You have 53% of all recent college graduates UNEMPLOYED (Recent meaning last 5 years).
That's Greek levels of unemployment!
I think some have the idea that Mitt by himself is a satisfactory substitute for a programatic plan for job generation, but he comes across more like the personnel director who just turned all those people down for a real job.
Gingrich had ideas. Perry had ideas. Santorum had ideas. Romney has a hairdo.
Guys, I don't think this is going to work ~ Obama's free condoms won't work fur shur, but not offering anything at all won't work either.
If we are stuck with Romney at least get him an entire new team of advisors. So far this SUCKS.