[Mikey_1962]

I am really interested in the Ohio polls.

[WILLIALAL]

“I am really interested in the Ohio polls.”

You are right, nice to have a lead nationally, but its those state polls that will tell the true story.

[NE Cons]

Rising tide lifts all boats. If Romney's up by 4 or more, he has the EVs in hand.

If he's up nationally by 7, he's up in ALL of the swing states, even if by a point or 2. He's probably down even more in NY and Cali, but those states are gone anyway

[Road Glide]

“I am really interested in the Ohio polls.”

Yes. The “national average” means relatively little.

What will really count are polls from about a dozen battleground states.

Somehow, I just don’t see the blue states “changing sides” this time, even if we saw a few normally-red states “go blue” in 2008. The lefties don’t change their spots, ever.

[Drew68]

I am really interested in the Ohio polls.

Ohio, Florida, North Carolina and Virginia.