The article’s wrong when it suggests Romney needs to win “almost every” primary to get 1,144 delegates.
I gamed out the remaining list based on giving him his obvious WTA wins, 1/3rd of southern state proportional delegates, and 1/2 to 2/3rds of other proportional states based on how similar past states have voted. He gets well over 1,200 delegates.
Almost all the upcoming winner-take-all states (full state or by district) are favorable to Romney, not either of our guys, even those by-district states tend to become HUGE overall wins even if the winner only gets in the 40%s of votes. The only district-based states favorable to non-Romneys are PA and WV. Even blowouts there could only reduce his final delegate count but not enough to get him below 1,144.
It’s basically too late to stop Romney from winning, unless Rick and Newt pull off this magic behind-the-scenes maneuvering of getting delegates to switch their vote.
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/republican_delegate_count.html
Thank you, JediJones. I’m afraid you’re right.
If I were President Obama, I’d be happy with the way things are working out in the Republican Party this year.
Thanks JediJones. It does appear as if Mitt has it locked up. However, I am delighted that Newt and Santorum are forcing him to fight for every delegate.
Newsmax is known for their headlines not always jiving with their articles content.