Skip to comments.What Mitt Romney's victories have in common: a low Republican turnout
Posted on 02/01/2012 7:10:29 PM PST by GVnana
The Florida primary overnight has produced the thumping victory for Mitt Romney that the polls were predicting. But what might be worrying GOP strategists is that turnout was down sharply compared to four years ago. Florida will be one of the critical battlegrounds in November and the last thing the party wants is for Republican-inclined voters to be less enthusiastic.
The New York Times's election and polling analyst, Nate Silver, has done some number-crunching using the exit poll data from the four states that voted in January and finds that there is a pattern. In Iowa the number of self-identifying Republicans was down by 11%, in New Hampshire 15% the reduction was 15% while in Florida overnight it was 16%.
Romney, of course, won New Hampshire and Florida and came within 34 votes in Iowa.
The exception is South Carolina, which Newt Gingrich won a week and a half ago, where there was a 20% increase on four years ago in the number of Republicans voting.
(Excerpt) Read more at blogs.telegraph.co.uk ...
There have been a number of academic studies that suggest that while negative campaigning can motivate the base of support it can also alienate other voters, thus reducing voter turnout.
TELL EVERYONE YOU KNOW - THIS IS *NOT* THE YEAR TO SIT ON YOUR ASS!!!
no we are seeing a lousy group of people running so noone wants to vote for em...i know you wanna see the romney boogy man and newt victim behind every tree but sometimes theres no there there
They’re right. Mitt’s FUD (Fear, Uncertainty, Doubt) scheme just turns off a lot of voters. Newt, whether or not he’d be an ideal president, is still light years from this. Newt needs to get into primary states early and make his case before the Romney romping begins. Rouse the rednecks (and I mean that with all patriotic pride — show that neck, whatever color the rest of you might be).
this is exactly why moderates always lose.
the press or whoever always assumes that the base will vote for the candidate regardless, and by putting forth a moderate you will get the base+the moderates.
When what actually happens is .. whatever moderates you pick up are far outweighed by the massive amount of your base that stayed home.
Which is why moderates nearly always lose.
Newt hardly advertised at all in Florida. He has a difficult sale to close, but I believe he can close it.
It has got to be a redneck revolution. South Carolina showed that. (Again, the hard workin’ redneck comes in all colors.)
I am telling you right now that if Romney ends up being the nominee... Texas will be in play in the general.
Low Republican turnout? If Mitt is the nominee, just wait until the general election, then you will see frighteningly low Republican turnout.
Mitt is not “hot sh*t on a gold platter,” but a cold turd on a paper plate. And conservatives know it. They want help from the GOP in turning Barry out of office, not hindrance.
The following is supposdly true re Romney - what ya think
This is not likely to make the news.....
Mitt Romney and his real character!!!
Sometimes, this facet of Romneys personality isnt so subtle. In July 1996, the 14-year-old daughter of Robert Gay, a partner at Bain Capital, had disappeared. She had attended a rave party in New York City and gotten high on ecstasy. Three days later, her distraught father had no idea where she was. Romney took immediate action. He closed down the entire firm and asked all 30 partners and employees to fly to New York to help find Gays daughter. Romney set up a command center at the LaGuardia Marriott and hired a private detective firm to assist with the search. He established a toll-free number for tips, coordinating the effort with the NYPD, and went through his Rolodex and called everyone Bain did business with in New York, and asked them to help find his friends missing daughter. Romneys accountants at Price Waterhouse Cooper put up posters on street poles, while cashiers at a pharmacy owned by Bain put fliers in the bag of every shopper. Romney and the other Bain employees scoured every part of New York and talked with everyone they could prostitutes, drug addicts anyone.
That day, their hunt made the evening news, which featured photos of the girl and the Bain employees searching for her. As a result, a teenage boy phoned in, asked if there was a reward, and then hung up abruptly. The NYPD traced the call to a home in New Jersey, where they found the girl in the basement, shivering and experiencing withdrawal symptoms from a massive ecstasy dose. Doctors later said the girl might not have survived another day. Romneys former partner credits Mitt Romney with saving his daughters life, saying, It was the most amazing thing, and Ill never forget this to the day I die.
So, heres my epiphany: Mitt Romney simply cant help himself. He sees a problem, and his mind immediately sets to work solving it, sometimes consciously, and sometimes not-so-consciously. He doesnt do it for self-aggrandizement, or for personal gain. He does it because thats just how hes wired.
Many people are unaware of the fact that when Romney was asked by his old employer, Bill Bain, to come back to Bain & Company as CEO to rescue the firm from bankruptcy, Romney left Bain Capital to work at Bain & Company for an annual salary of one dollar. When Romney went to the rescue of the 2002 Salt Lake Olympics, he accepted no salary for three years, and wouldnt use an expense account. He also accepted no salary as Governor of Massachusetts.
Character counts!! (and yes...that’s worth reading again!)
These are bad numbers for Republicans. And the drop was there even before the campaign got really ugly and personal.
If the Conservatives show up at the polls, the Republicans can win. That was what got the Reagan landslides.
Romney will drag the whole Republican ticket down with him.
Independents outnumber Democrats who outnumber Republicans
Shakeup going on. Independents benefit in all time high
>Mitt Romney simply cant help himself.
Plus, he’s a Mormon.
You would do well to know what Romney actually subscribes to spiritually: http://www.waltermartin.com/cults.html
The problem is not low turn out. The problem is the people who DO turn out are sheeple idiots who vote the way the media tells them to vote.
Republicans did it to themselves
Stalled government blamed on both parties
Nothing getting done u can see low poll #s in approval ratings Congress
Voters are moving out of both parties to Independent.
However, if a candidate can’t stand the heat this early in the presidential race then time to get out of the fire. We hated it when Blame Bush was the easy excuse...Voters don’t like when a candidate whines
The issue is that they just can’t offer solutions to solve anything worth the voters attention. When they do voters will listen.
However the robo call in the news had voters outraged.
Most will just show up to vote for a Republican figurehead Or the Known=Obama.
The South Carolina 20% increase of Republicans voting for Newt Gingrich says YOU are the boogie man. ;)
Protecting illegal aliens is a loser.
Bret Baier just tweeted Trump may endorse Newt tomorrow at press conference The Donald scheduled earlier today alert to press midday
Michelle Malkin pointed out Newt and Mitt are both the same on immigration not accomplishing much. Is one reason she went Santorum. Is big issue with Malkin
“no we are seeing a lousy group of people running so noone wants to vote for em..”
Not really. The candidates we have had this time around are far better than in 2008. Romney actually made the candidates we had in 2008 look conservative. I’d happily take Romney, Gingrich, or Santorum over McCain.
Of course, conservatives ran off Bachmann, who undeniably conserative.
yep, I agree, not only would Romney lose but he would take the congress down with him too.
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