[Future Useless Eater]

Nice chart of the Gallup 5-day rolling averages.
But another thing to remember is that last data point on the chart represent an average of Gallup data that is

• 5 days old (Wednesday), and
• 4 days old (Thursday, before SC debate #2), and
• 3 days old (Friday), and
• 2 days old (Saturday, before the SC results were known), and
• 1 day old (Sunday)

To realize where Gingrich and Romney were nationally SUNDAY, imagine 4 more points on EACH of those trend lines for Newt, Mitt, Rick, etc.

THAT puts Gallup's National poll numbers SUNDAY at roughly:
    Gingrich ~ 39%
    Romney   ~ 26%
    Santorum  ~ 9% 

Also note those Gallup national 'estimates' for Sunday, coincide pretty closely with all the polling taken Sunday in Florida:

Gingrich leads Romney, IN FLORIDA on Sunday, about 40% to 30%.

...I am not surprised that Romney is 4% higher in Florida than nationally, because he spent $7 Million in Florida on advertising.

(In order to fairly compare the three Sunday Florida polls, I used correction factors on the 2012Florida Primary Poll, and the Insider Advantage Poll to get them to the same (92% decided) levels as Rasmussen. The 2012Florida Primary Poll is the least accurate of these three, because of its small sample size of 300, and it used Registered GOP instead of Likely GOP voters.)

Pound him some more Newt!

[expat1000]

Yeah, I just saw that a few minutes ago. Great!

[Windflier]

Thanks for all your diligent work on sorting out the various polling data, and for posting these informative graphs and analyses.

It really does help others to get a clearer picture of how the race is developing.

Thanks!

[LS]

Impressive, but let's remember that in a three-month period we saw six different national poll leaders, and that they rose and fell literally within a week.

Gingrich has to follow Rush's advice. The media card won't work much longer: he has to explain and expound conservatism and repudiate a couple of his earlier positions. He has a chance here to put Romney away.

[ansel12]

Was it only a week or two ago that the experts were pointing out how Mitt had timed his momentum perfectly, and was “peaking” at just the right time?

That seems like a long time ago now.

[bgill]

I am not surprised that Romney is 4% higher in Florida than nationally, because he spent $7 Million in Florida on advertising.

But Newt is still beating him across the board.

[C. Edmund Wright]

Couple things are obvious:
When Newt started to ignore Mitt and attack the liberals in the media and Obama’s administration, he soared.
When Santorum started to attack Newt, he tanked.

Hmmm. Do I spot a trend. People want LIBERALS ATTACKED PERIOD.