Posted on 10/05/2011 5:10:06 AM PDT by SJackson
In any national election we can depend on the usual liberal ad hominem attacks on Republicans and their candidates. One chestnut already appearing is the charge that Republicans comprise the “anti-science party,” as even a Republican, presidential primary candidate Jon Huntsman, fretted recently. Huntsman’s angst arose over doubts expressed by some other candidates, particularly Texas governor Rick Perry, that human-caused climate change is an established scientific fact, as New York Times columnist Paul Krugman believes: “The scientific consensus about man-made global warming — which includes 97 percent to 98 percent of researchers in the field, according to the National Academy of Sciences — is getting stronger, not weaker, as the evidence for climate change just keeps mounting.”
Well, apparently not all the evidence. Just recently, experiments conducted at the CERN particle accelerator in Geneva by Jasper Kirkby (who is following up on over a decade of research by Danish physicist Henrik Svenskmark) suggest that variations in cosmic rays influenced by the sun contribute to increases or decreases in cloud formation, which in turn affect temperature changes. Kirkby had earlier speculated that confirming Svensmark’s research could “probably be able to account for somewhere between a half and the whole” of 20th-century warming. In other words, rather than accepting premature claims of “consensus” on climate change, some scientists are doing what they should do: adopt George Orwell’s attitude toward saints, and assume that all hypotheses and theories are guilty until proven innocent.
This genuinely scientific sensibility was recently described by physicist Michio Kaku writing in the Wall Street Journal about another consensus-smashing experiment, this one suggesting that Einstein’s cosmic speed limit, the speed of light, might not be as absolute as once thought. Writes Kaku, “No theory is carved in stone. Science is merciless when it comes to testing all theories over and over, at any time, in any place. Unlike religion or politics, science is ultimately decided by experiments, done repeatedly in every form. There are no sacred cows. In science, 100 authorities count for nothing. Experiment counts for everything.” This doesn’t sound much like the attitude of those self-styled defenders of reason and science Al Gore or Paul Krugman, who keep telling us that human-created climate change is an incontrovertible fact established by scientific “consensus,” and so anyone who entertains doubt about the theory is akin to a holocaust denier.
Non-scientists like Krugman and Gore are prey to such arguments from authority in part because of our culture-wide mistaken attitudes about what it is scientists do. Many of us assume that research scientists are cool rationalists objectively gathering evidence that conclusively establishes the truth of a theory. But science doesn’t work that way, as philosopher Mary Midgley points out. Science is not “something so pure and impersonal that it ought to be thought of in complete abstraction from all the motives that might lead people to practice it.” In addition to the usual human motives such as money, ideological prejudice, and fame, such a view leaves out “the importance of world-pictures. Facts are not gathered in a vacuum, but to fill gaps in a world-picture which already exists. And the shape of this world-picture––determining the matters allowed for it, the principles of selection, the possible range of emphases––depends deeply on the motives for forming it in the first place.”
These “world-pictures,” Midgley goes on, necessarily involve “symbolism,” which thus “is not just a nuisance to be got rid of. It is essential. Facts will never appear to us as brute and meaningless; they will always organize themselves into some sort of story, some drama. These dramas can be indeed be dangerous” for they can “distort our theories.” The way to guard against this distortion that arises from our “preferences,” Midgley suggests, is to practice the same sort of stern skepticism about them that Kaku recommends for all scientific theories. This means “criticizing them carefully” and “expressing them plainly” rather than hiding behind assertions of impartiality, objectivity, or arguments from the authority of some professional “consensus.”
The idea that disastrous climate change is caused by human activity illustrates the truth of Midgley’s observations, for it depends not just on the evidence (some of which itself is questionable), but on a “world-picture” and a “story” that often determines how the evidence is interpreted. That story is one of the oldest we know, the myth of the Golden Age, that time when humans lived without suffering, crime, or work because a benevolent earth provided like a mother everything humans need. Yet this paradise was lost with the advent of agriculture and cities, which brought in their wake oppressive rulers and laws, private property and greed for gain, cramped dirty cities, crime and punishment, trade and war––the Iron Age in which we unfortunates now live. The villain in this ancient melodrama is technologies like agriculture, metallurgy, and shipbuilding, all of which broke the harmony humans once enjoyed with the natural world, and thus alienated them from their true nature.
The rise of industrialism, widespread urbanization, and ever more sophisticated technologies and inventions has kept alive the Golden Age myth. In 1930 Sigmund Freud gave voice to this received wisdom when he wrote in Civilization and Its Discontents, “What we call our civilization is largely responsible for our misery . . . and we should be much happier if we gave it up and returned to primitive conditions.” These days, much of modern environmentalism indulges this ancient anxiety about the costs of civilization. Al Gore, the Elmer Gantry of the global warming gospel, preached the myth throughout his book Earth in the Balance, where he decried our “technological hubris” for its “increasingly aggressive encroachment into the natural world” and the resultant “froth and frenzy of industrial civilization.” In these new versions of the Golden Age, the apocalyptic scenarios claiming to show the effects of global warming provide a dramatic illustration of the wages of “technological hubris” and capitalist greed. Just as the Iron Age of myth would end when humanity became so corrupt that a disgusted Zeus destroys them, so too the climate change alarmists predict the end of our own civilization unless we begin to rein in our destructive, unnatural life-style of selfish greed and wasteful consumption.
Other ideologies, of course, contribute to the acceptance of the climate change narrative. Leftover Marxists, socialists, big-government liberals, and other haters of free-market capitalism have found in global warming hysteria a useful stalking horse for collectivist or dirigiste economics. That’s why at every anti-globalization rally you will see the hammer-and-sickle flying next to the Greenpeace banners. But for most people, the Golden Age narrative, dressed up in the quantitative robes of scientific research, provides what political philosopher Chantal Delsol calls a “black-market religion”: a story of good and evil, sin and redemption, devils and saints that gives meaning to their lives and makes them one of the righteous elect. Unfortunately, too many scientists who should know better let this story distort their work and short-circuit, through professional shunning and gate-keeping, the “merciless” testing of theories Kaku speaks of.
So when it comes to climate change, who really is “anti-science”–– the skeptics demanding more empirical proof before accepting as fact an as yet unproven theory that could generate public policies costing trillions of dollars and weakening our economy; or the true believers shrilly insisting on the basis of a presumed “consensus” that the question is settled, and that anyone who disagrees is “vile” (Krugman) or “evil” (Al Gore), a dangerous heretic to be scorned and demonized?
Global-cooling-global-warming-climate-change conclusions all require the same solution. They don't know which problem it is, but each of them can be totally avoided by requiring less individual freedom and more income redistribution.
The real anti-science people are those who misuse their scientific credentials to force a political result.
Anyone who talks about “believing in Science” obviously has no idea what genuine science is. What they really mean is, “Believe in the religion that gives me the power of life and death over others.” If they were honest or informed, they’d simply called it Satanism.
I thought they should make an analogy: Do you believe in Newton's Laws of motion? Now every physics student will spend at least a year studying classical mechanics. It is a very useful theory. However, Heisenberg essentially proved that it is false in the 1930's.
The Marquis Laplace made the following comment (and he knew classical mechanics as well as anyone).
We may regard the present state of the universe as the effect of its past and the cause of its future. An intellect which at a certain moment would know all forces that set nature in motion, and all positions of all items of which nature is composed, if this intellect were also vast enough to submit these data to analysis, it would embrace in a single formula the movements of the greatest bodies of the universe and those of the tiniest atom; for such an intellect nothing would be uncertain and the future just like the past would be present before its eyes.
He was incorrect.
One should be very, very careful about making sweeping conclusions even based on theories that have great validity.
They should ask the Democraps that since they don’t believe in Creationism, why do they believe in Creationism by the state in controlling people’s lives by using the mighty hand of government as a substitute for the hand of God in telling people what to do.
As a scientist (physical chemist) , I'd say you are definitely homing in on the target with that statement!
Dead link; Try this;
http://frontpagemag.com/2011/10/04/who-really-is-“anti-science”/
Ping to an article that has promise of developing into a rational discussion of subjects that are of interest to us...
Democrats truly are the anti-science party, in that they ignore any advances in scientific metaphysics beyond the mechanistic rationalism of the late 19th century...
HERE:
The Creature From the Barack Lagoon & the Tyranny of the Disordered
The problem is mostly in definitions. While man-made CO2 is a fact of life, the warming it produces is slight, called anthropogenic global warming. What is often conflated with AGW is catastrophic AGW which is not a fact, but projection by some poor resolution models that can't properly model weather. It is likely that AGW will lead to more intense rainfall in some cases (simply due to more evaporation), but that speedup of the water cycle is a negative feedback. It is not likely that Greenland will melt in the next few centuries (substantially) or Antarctica (at all). Sea level rise is one inch per decade and not accelerating. Other things blamed on AGW like the strong tornadoes last spring have no relationship to AGW measured or modeled. Properly defining AGW as science, imperfect as it may be, is the proper thing to do. Accepting that does not mean accepting speculation about CAGW as science.
Thank you. Faith has a very important place in human life, but science - a process that reveals facts about material reality - should not require faith. If facts are in dispute, the proper scientific course is to continue investigating and performing experiments in order to produce better information.
Demanding heresy trials and executions for “deniers” is not scientific behavior but the evil behavior of religious zealots.
You make rather sweeping claims -- with little evidence provided.
Classical mechanics remains a very useful and accurate set of tools -- at least on the macro scale. (Consider the aerodynamic forces acting on your aircraft...) Please explain how Heisenberg negated the major premises of classical mechanics.
~~~~~~~~~
"He [Laplace] was incorrect."
Please explain how/why Laplace (in your opinion) was "wrong". Do you not consider the Creator to fit that description?
~~~~~~~~~
"One should be very, very careful about making sweeping conclusions even based on theories that have great validity."
Read your own "sweeping" claims above -- in light of your own statement.
And more. bttt
["These are] the people who persistently conflate science and scientism, and then accuse us of somehow being "anti-science."
HERE:
bttt
Republican candidates should NOT answer these fools according to their folly, but instead, answer them ACCORDING to their folly:
There are several theories of evolution, which one are you referring to?"
One who insists that -- or behaves as if -- science is a "belief system" (rather than a system of evidence gathering and analysis) is truly "anti-science". And one who insists that scientific fact is the product of human "consensus" is a particularly stupid or duplicitous antiscientist.
TXnMA
My guess is that you will be in general agreement with my #18. '-)
Yes, I agree with 18. Excellent summary.
And I agree with your #19, too. I don’t find that my knowledge of science, such as it is, is in conflict with my religious faith.
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