Bret Hume was whining the same thing last night as was Krauthammer; both saying 50 in the House. We’re aiming for 100. Dick Morris has a totally different take on this election and he’s been in all these states talking with the campaigns.
The arrogant commentators, Elitist mouth pieces like Krauthammer think they’re so smart. Ugh! I turn them off as they make me sick.
But, why? What has changed in the last month? Things are better now?
Charlie spoke too soon and I suspect would give a different interview today. He doesn’t necessarily have any better information than the rest of us, mostly the publically available polls, and often he does not have all of the internal data. But, he knows who does the polls and who’s good and who’s not. He also knows how to interpret the data and what the historical details are for any given district. He also knows who is running a good campaign and who’s bus is about to go off the cliff.
He has already upped the R gain from what he discusses in this interview. He will make his final calls this week. Pay attention.
Some of the tea party candidates have cost us some seats we could have won unfortunately.
But, I think it’s important.
Voter turnout.
Every conservative everywhere needs to encourage every conservative they know to vote.
Don’t take it for granted. Drive them personally to the polls if that is what it takes.
Vote early to prevent anything on election day that night keep you from the polls. Encourage others to do the same.
Here is Charlie’s “expert” prediction on the ‘94 election, from the Christian Science Monitor:
“A more neutral observer, Charles Cook of the Cook Political Report, estimates that Republicans will pick up between 15 and 20 seats”
Cook is full of crap. Period.
Current Intrade contract odds
The Republicans to control the House of Representatives after 2010 Congressional Elections Last Price: 90.0
SENATE:
The Democrats to control the Senate after 2010 Congressional Elections Last Price: 54.5
Republicans to hold 52 or more seats after 2010 mid-term elections Last Price: 12.9
Republicans to hold 50 or more seats after 2010 mid-term elections Last Price: 31.0
Republicans to hold 48 or more seats after 2010 mid-term elections Last Price: 80.0
HOUSE:
Republicans to gain 70 or more seats in 2010 mid-term elections Last Price: 25.0
Republicans to gain 60 or more seats in 2010 mid-term elections Last Price: 45.0
Republicans to gain 55 or more seats in 2010 mid-term elections Last Price: 69.9
Tsunamis come in multiple waves. The first wave came and went. And now, in the major GOP trending we are seeing this week around the country, the second, far more devastating tsunami is arriving.
I have to admit, the commie ‘RATS did an outstanding job sweeping ObamaCare, Crap’n Tax, TARP and the stimulus under the rug. Mudslinging worked for them. As it always does. This whole election cycle was about mud and “gotcha”. We the People are the big losers for letting the ‘RATS get away with it.
Gerson is the horn of the RINO.
Coupled with Republican enthusiasm, it's going to be a bloodbath for the Dems, and Obama’s nightmare.
Most of the polls I've reviewed have either oversampled Democrats - even among "likely voter" cohorts - or alternatively, have failed to account for a shift away from party identification as a means of predicting electoral behavior.
We'll see. But as of now, I'm pretty confident that the Democrats are in a heap of trouble nationwide, with only a few high-profile races moving counter to the trend. Some states, having lost sizable portions of their middle class, are captive to perpetual Democrat lever-pullers, and there's not a thing the GOP can do about it, no matter who they run for office.
I have a question. We’re always hearing this election being compared to 1994. Now I still remember 94. Sure there were some of us who couldn’t stand Clinton but he hadn’t rammed bill after bill down our throats. A third party hadn’t formed in opposition. Long time incumbents weren’t thrown out in the primaries. The mood in 94 seemed meek compared to today. Am I hoping for too much?
I think there was a bit of a lull, but the NPR scandal reignited the GOP base, and the TP overall.
Pesonally, I think the GOP picks up 70 plus seats, and at least the ten seats required to win back the Senate.
We’ll see.
It does?
Haven't seen any evidence that GOP zeal to vote has 'crested'.
Not "tone-deaf". Ignorant!
Fact is, most Democrats (and many politicians of both parties) have no idea how business works. They've never run a business, they've never worked in a business. They have no experience at actually creating economic growth...and the jobs that come with it.
Follow that with the way Democrats address any "problem" in a given industry. If there is a "problem" in the oil industry, for example, Republicans would rely on expert advice from people in the oil industry. The Democrats would instead rely upon the expert advice of academics and lawyers.
I say we assume and broadcast “about 50” as our official expectation. That way, if only get that, we’ll appear right and not look like we’ve performed “worse than expected.” And if we get more, it will look “better than expected” and far more meaningful.
Frame public expectations to work in your favor, regardless of what happens. Privately, believe whatever makes you feel good.
I’m getting a sense lately that the talking heads and other elitists are using past models and thought processes. The models that were used in the past to predict or gauge what is or will happen was perhaps working but I sense that this year is way different. There is something going on (a deep, deep, awaking that wasn’t even present in 1994?) in the country that makes those models useless. They are unaware of how deep the feelings and motivations this year are and will not understand what happened come Nov 3.