Bret Hume was whining the same thing last night as was Krauthammer; both saying 50 in the House. We’re aiming for 100. Dick Morris has a totally different take on this election and he’s been in all these states talking with the campaigns.
The arrogant commentators, Elitist mouth pieces like Krauthammer think they’re so smart. Ugh! I turn them off as they make me sick.
That would be comforting if he was ever right...his track record for predictions stink.
The only problem is that Dick Morris is always wrong.
These folks are no more plugged into thing that you and I are.
So they are looking to cover themselves if things don’t go as well as expected. Better to be under than over as far as credibility goes. If they say 100, and it turns out to be 60-70, then they are shot. If the predict 50 and it turns out to be 60-70 then they are still credible.
I suspect that it is going to be more like 80-90 in the house and 10-11 in the senate. The anger out there at the democRATS is much higher than they are able to imagine from their lofty perches inside DC.
You are off on Hume’s assessment. I saw him on Hannity and his comment was that he was not trusting the polls because he did not think that they included proper intensity. That is why he was suprised the GOP was not farther ahead.
I agree. I have noticed that the polls are factoring in ‘08 Rat intensity with Obummers recent barnstorming. His approvals are in the mid 30’s. Clinton and Biden are campaigning to empty venues. GOP early ballots are outpacing Dims where they shouldn’t.
Something is not adding up and that makes sense because midterms usually leave the pollsters looking stupid.
Most of the trends I see, including the early voting (GOTV is huge this year), are pointing to a mega wave. 10 Senate seats, 70 House seats. 10-70, a nice ring to it for some reason, I wonder why. Oh yeah, SB1070.
100 seats is overconfidence and raising the bar of high expectations. I'm thinking 80 tops, with a minimum of 60.
50 is a safe bet. What are you gonna do if it's not 100?