Posted on 11/01/2008 5:07:01 AM PDT by vwatto
I’m more confident than I’ve been.
With only 80% of his base, he loses in a landslide. Only fraud can prevent that, and fraud is usually only good for a couple percent.
And if he’s down to 75% of his base, this is one for the history books. He has spent more money than anyone in history, he has more uniformly positive news coverage, he has managed to dominate the airwaves and control the message, and all he gets is 75 or 80% of his own party.
This is going to be epic.
It’s never too late until election day. Sarah Palin guaranteed McCain would in PA. I would trust her judgment on any day of the week over pollsters who tend to oversample Democrats, ignore the results of Operation Chaos, and who cannot detect when PUMA’s and union members of PA are blatantly lying to them. And pollsters who are in the tank for Obama just skew the results even more.
Amen!
Now come on Al Gore didn’t even win his own state.
If one had registered fraudulently with ACORN and a significant percentage has been caught, might that discourage you from voting if you werent sure if your registration was one that was caught? Just a thought.
itsthejourney
Astroturfer since April 22, 2008.
how in H E double toothpicks can he be ahead while losing 25% of his party’s support?
The Rasmussen PA poll is no fluke either. The trend in PA is pro-McCain.
A 10/30 Mason-Dixon PA also shows a 4 point difference: Obama 47 v. McCain 43, with 9% undecided. This is an even better result for McCain, because Obama is under 50%, and because of the higher percentage of undecideds, who tend to swing toward McCain.
http://www.politickerpa.com/danh/2414/mason-dixon-poll-shows-tighter-race-pa
>Sugar-coated poison?
My mistake, Cedric, the wife and I voted early for McCain Palin.
Cumberland is not far from me but they are the lone “Dem blight” on W.MD.
Nearby Frostburg college is full of liberals and Cumberland, slowly decaying railroad town that it is, has a lot of “non-workers” on the public dole.
They have attempted to “revive” Cumberland by touting it as a C&O Canal tourist attraction.
[with not very stellar success...much of the downtown area looks like “Bawlmer, West”, which is what we call it]
Our fiberglass man is up there and we go quite often to pick up trike bodies and I’ve noticed a surprising lack of Zero signs.
In 2004, the place looked like Kerry campaign sign factory had blown up.
Having said that, few places are as utterly beautiful as the mountains of Cumberland and westward.
It’s one of my favorite places to go for getting in touch with my ancestral roots.
I’d rather have a rash than visit Bawlmer *but* the Inner Harbor Aquarium is a definite must-see.
Go in the -daytime- and have a look.
It’s amazing....:)
Sounds like my kind of place Salamander? I've got four Obama signs on my street, all union. Good neighbors, just not too bright?
Looked up 2004 results. Kerry got 85% of DEM vote in PA in 2004 and won the state by only 2.5%.
Bush got 89% of the GOP vote in 2004.
Something with math skills better than mine could apply the results to this year’s election.
For PA demographic 2004 breakdown, see http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2004/pages/results/states/PA/P/00/epolls.0.html.
86 percent in the last survey? I don’t know who he’s polling up to 40 percent of HRC voters won’t vote for Obama.
PA. It had 8% Dem overweighting relative to 2004.
Seeing an Obama sign is like listening to chalkboards mate.
They just *grate* me on an almost cellular level.
Happily, I only have to pass 2 others placed discretely off the road on the way to town if I take RT 40 east.
The rest are McCain signs...a lot of them being the huge 4x8 foot jobs.
Don’t see many 0 bumperstickers either...and those few are on new, expensive cars.
All the old ‘hillbilly’ trucks and cars are sporting McP stickers right alongside their NRA badges.
Funny how the local rich folks and welfare ‘Rats support the “poor people’s party” and the “poor hard working people” support McCain.
There’s the real truth of things, right there.
We stayed in the Inner Harbor and I hadn’t been there since 1983 when only one of the mini-malls was in place. This visit was OK but I liked it better in 1983 although even then it was only a little better than OK. I studied what was essentially criminal psychiatry and worked out of the Supreme Bench of Baltimore doing pretrial screening examinations in the Baltimore city jail. We also spent a lot of time doing forensic examinations at Clifton T. Perkins Hospital for the Criminally Insane in Jessup and the Patuxent Institute. I stayed about 3 blocks from the inner harbor since U of M had a dormitory there with all their nursing students. Tough duty.
So come visit us for the next 3 days.
We’ll make ya feel ‘rat tuh home’....:)
Dems will rally if it's the 'little guy' vs evil corporations, or ways in which union wages can be raised, etc. In these cases, blacks were always used as a convenience to help them reach an electoral advantage, but that alliance is rendered moot when their interests collide.
If you haven't seen this Youtube video, I suggest you do so.
Is he using a >7% Dem advantage in the PA state poll? If so, thats good for McCain because many Republicans changed parties in May so they could vote for Hillary in the Dem primary there. I don't think any of them will really vote for Obama on Tuesday.
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