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Memo To Clear-Eyed Budgeteers: The Clinton Era Was An Anomaly
Investor's Business Daily ^ | March 13, 2008 | J.T. YOUNG

Posted on 03/15/2008 5:36:57 AM PDT by expat_panama

If President Bush's 2007 defense spending had matched the same share of the economy as President Clinton's did, last year's budget essentially would have balanced. Such an observation opens a Pandora's box of policy and politics.

altBy looking in it, we can also see an objective budgetary comparison between the past two administrations. The result is a currently counterintuitive conclusion: In a comparison of the large components, Bush's are more in line with historical levels and current needs than Clinton's.

The best comparative approach for measuring broad federal budget categories is percentages of the economy. Such a yardstick is graspable, unlike astronomical nominal dollar figures. It is also effective across time because it eliminates inflation's effects. It is the most significant measure of economic effect.

As the chart below demonstrates, defense spending has trended downward since reaching 37.5% of the nation's economy in 1945. Within our current period, however, a marked difference exists between the Clinton and Bush administrations.

During his second term, Clinton's defense spending fell to just 3% of GDP. In contrast, Bush's defense spending has averaged 4% of GDP over the past four years.

These small percentage differences have big effects. For example, if Bush last year had matched the defense-spending average of Clinton's second term, the 2007 deficit would have fallen from 1.2% of GDP to a virtually nonexistent 0.2% (less than $30 billion).

Such an impact on the 2007 deficit begs the question: What effect did low defense spending have on Clinton's budgets?

[snip]

At the same time, non-defense spending continues to insist on filling a vacuum that no longer exists. While defense spending confronts our greatest threat abroad, the rest of federal spending constitutes our greatest threat at home.

(Excerpt) Read more at ibdeditorials.com ...


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Editorial; Government; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: budgetspending; clintonlegacy
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To: Moonman62
I am a persistent critic of W's economic policies...

--and will continue to do so until you get a Dem in the White house? 

Come on guy, either you get a little perspective or you admit you're campaigning for Obama.

61 posted on 03/15/2008 1:02:17 PM PDT by expat_panama
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To: expat_panama
I criticize W's economic performance because it is poor and I want Republicans to do better than that.

And there you go with the insults again. Calling someone a Democrat is about as bad as it gets.

62 posted on 03/15/2008 1:16:42 PM PDT by Moonman62 (The issue of whether cheap labor makes America great should have been settled by the Civil War.)
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To: Moonman62
Calling someone a Democrat is about as bad as it gets.

That's true. LOL!

63 posted on 03/15/2008 1:20:51 PM PDT by Toddsterpatriot (Why are goldbugs and protectionists so bad at math?)
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To: Toddsterpatriot

I figured it was something like that: if I had taken a dollar in 2000, converted it into another currency in 2000, bought into the DJI with it in 2000, liquidated my position in 2008, then converted the result into dollars, I would have lost my hat. Do I have it correct?


64 posted on 03/15/2008 2:17:07 PM PDT by 1rudeboy
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To: expat_panama

Drop non defense spending by 3 points and then bush would get a passing grade.


65 posted on 03/15/2008 2:23:33 PM PDT by mamelukesabre (Quantum materiae materietur marmota monax si marmota monax materiam possit materiari?)
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To: 1rudeboy
I figured it was something like that: if I had taken a dollar in 2000, converted it into another currency in 2000, bought into the DJI with it in 2000

Almost. To buy the DJI, you'd use dollars. An investor trading his Euros for dollars in 2001 to buy the DJI and then selling in 2008 and converting back into Euros would have lost his shirt (in Euros). An investor using dollars in 2001 to buy the DJI and then selling in 2008 would still have a profit (in dollars).

66 posted on 03/15/2008 2:26:23 PM PDT by Toddsterpatriot (Why are goldbugs and protectionists so bad at math?)
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To: expat_panama

It’s simply a fixed frame of reference by which to measure performance and come to some conclusions as to the state of the economy relative to prior points in time. Any fixed frame of reference would do for the calculations. The only purpose of this is that I’m trying to make a point about wealth, that to get an accurate measure of relative value over time, one needs to take into account not only price changes but currency value changes as well. In the past, the CPI was adequate to measure the change in the value of the currency, but since the mid-90s this is no longer true.


67 posted on 03/15/2008 3:43:09 PM PDT by Content Provider
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To: Content Provider
Any fixed frame of reference would do for the calculations

In other words, this "convertability" stuff isn't really a number thing after all, it's just how it's all been feeling to you lately.

68 posted on 03/16/2008 10:58:49 AM PDT by expat_panama
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To: mamelukesabre
3 points and then bush would get a passing grade.

Go ahead and flunk him if you want, but the point here is that W's done better than his predecessor at cutting non-defense spending.

69 posted on 03/16/2008 11:01:12 AM PDT by expat_panama
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To: Moonman62
Insult schminsult.

When someone says that my posts lack proportion, I clarify the logic so as to make the point more clear. Please explain why you're "criticizing economic performance" that results in 4.8% unemployment, increasing productivity, rising exports, and zero inflation.

70 posted on 03/16/2008 11:04:22 AM PDT by expat_panama
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To: expat_panama

Oh golly gee. A republican did better thana democrat! How amazing!


71 posted on 03/16/2008 11:38:44 AM PDT by mamelukesabre (Quantum materiae materietur marmota monax si marmota monax materiam possit materiari?)
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To: mamelukesabre
A republican did better thana democrat! How amazing!

That's a fair point; next we'll be happy that W's foreign policy is better than Carter's --talk about damning with faint praise.  The weird part here is that there're freepers who actually think W's spending is worse than Clinton's and they want us all to sit out the next election.  That's where I draw the line there...

72 posted on 03/16/2008 12:54:08 PM PDT by expat_panama
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To: expat_panama

If you consider defense spending PLUS non-defense spending...then they are right. Bush did do worse than clinton.

If you then compare total spending to total revenue, bush really starts to look pathetic.


73 posted on 03/16/2008 1:17:44 PM PDT by mamelukesabre (Quantum materiae materietur marmota monax si marmota monax materiam possit materiari?)
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To: mamelukesabre
If you consider defense spending PLUS...

You're for cutting defense, say no more.

--and no, I don't want to hear you tell me why Obama would be a great president.

74 posted on 03/16/2008 1:57:55 PM PDT by expat_panama
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To: expat_panama

I give up. You win. Anybody who ignores everything I’ve already said and especially someone who insists we have zero inflation based on one month’s numbers is too good for me.


75 posted on 03/16/2008 1:58:43 PM PDT by Moonman62 (The issue of whether cheap labor makes America great should have been settled by the Civil War.)
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To: Moonman62
I give up. You win.

Now I can agree with you, Cheers!

76 posted on 03/16/2008 2:05:28 PM PDT by expat_panama
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To: expat_panama

Oh buzz off. I never said anything like that.


77 posted on 03/16/2008 2:38:44 PM PDT by mamelukesabre (Quantum materiae materietur marmota monax si marmota monax materiam possit materiari?)
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To: mamelukesabre
"...consider defense spending ...   ... bush really starts to look pathetic."   "I never said anything like that."

Oh, so now the story is that you liked W's defense spending.  

Erasable reprogrammable memories --never freep without 'em.

78 posted on 03/16/2008 2:56:49 PM PDT by expat_panama
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