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New Hampshire Senate: Shaheen (D) 48% Sununu 43%
Rasmussen Reports ^ | Tuesday, September 18, 2007

Posted on 09/18/2007 7:48:16 AM PDT by MassachusettsGOP

New Hampshire Survey of 500 Likely Voters
September 16, 2007

Election 2008: New Hampshire Senate
John Sununu (R): 43%
Jeanne Shaheen (D): 48%

Shaheen leads by fifteen points among women while Sununu has a four point edge among men. The former Governor has an eight-point lead among New Hampshire’s unaffiliated voters.

While New Hampshire is typically the focus on Presidential campaigns at this time of year, the state is one of several where Democrats hope to pick up Senate seats in 2008. Sununu won his current job by defeating Shaheen in 2002, but the political environment has changed significantly since that time. Recent polls also show Republican Senate seats at risk in Virginia and Minnesota.

Shaheen is viewed favorably by 51% of New Hampshire voters and unfavorably by 44%.

Sununu’s numbers are almost identical—50% favorable and 43% unfavorable.

Any incumbent who polls below 50% early in the campaign cycle is considered potentially vulnerable. An incumbent who trails the challenger at this point in the process is especially so.

(Excerpt) Read more at rasmussenreports.com ...


TOPICS: Politics/Elections; US: New Hampshire
KEYWORDS: 2008; senate; shaheen; sununu
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Its Not Over...
1 posted on 09/18/2007 7:48:19 AM PDT by MassachusettsGOP
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To: MassachusettsGOP

Who lost New Hampshire?


2 posted on 09/18/2007 7:50:31 AM PDT by rhombus
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To: MassachusettsGOP
Nope! I am back in the state now and I will work actively to defeat the bitch who vetoed the Voter ID Bill.

She is just another crooked, vote fraud promoting politician!

3 posted on 09/18/2007 7:52:29 AM PDT by Redleg Duke ("All gave some, and some gave all!")
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To: MassachusettsGOP; Clintonfatigued; fieldmarshaldj; AuH2ORepublican; LdSentinal; NeoCaveman

I trust Raz more than the other pollsters. Sununu is quite dead yet. I’ll move the NH Senate seat from Likely Dem to Lean Dem. Sununu’s fate could rest on whether the GOP Presidential candidate can win NH by a comfortable margin.


4 posted on 09/18/2007 7:55:37 AM PDT by Kuksool
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To: Kuksool

I mean Sununu is not dead yet.


5 posted on 09/18/2007 7:56:24 AM PDT by Kuksool
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To: rhombus
Who lost New Hampshire?

Massachusetts Dimocrats who moved up there because the taxes are lower and the cost-of-living more reasonable.

6 posted on 09/18/2007 7:57:49 AM PDT by Titus Quinctius Cincinnatus (Want authentic 1st century Christianity? Visit a local, New Testament Independent Baptist church!)
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To: Titus Quinctius Cincinnatus
Who lost New Hampshire?

Massachusetts Dimocrats who moved up there because the taxes are lower and the cost-of-living more reasonable.

Truly? I thought there were influxes from Vermont and NY too. I think a lot of it started on the local level with people clamoring for schools. And all those "brick and mortar" projects meant jobs for all the locals - for every plumber, carpenter, and electrician. It's time for the NH GOP to stop blaming the "Massholes" and offer something better than "we're not them".

7 posted on 09/18/2007 8:05:29 AM PDT by rhombus
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To: MassachusettsGOP

It’s not over, but it’s bleak. We’ll lose this one; and Coleman in MN is hanging on by his fingernails against Franken. There is a good chance in VA that we’ll lose Warner’s seat. Likely we’ll keep Hagel’s seat, but even that won’t be easy. It is not a good time for Republicans.


8 posted on 09/18/2007 8:05:58 AM PDT by LS (CNN is the Amtrak of News)
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To: LS

Coleman losing to Franken. Ugh! What is wrong with people?


9 posted on 09/18/2007 8:08:02 AM PDT by rhombus
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To: LS
and Coleman in MN is hanging on by his fingernails against Franken.

When the serious debates/adds began, people will not vote for that freaking idiot Franken.

10 posted on 09/18/2007 8:08:45 AM PDT by AmericaUnited
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To: LS

While anything can happen and it’s a pretty bleak year:

I have not seen a single poll where Coleman is trailing Frankencomic.


11 posted on 09/18/2007 8:09:47 AM PDT by NeoCaveman (Hillary 2008, the willing suspension of disbelief, or I can't remember for those of you in Rio Linda)
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To: Titus Quinctius Cincinnatus

“Massachusetts Dimocrats who moved up there because the taxes are lower and the cost-of-living more reasonable.

if that was the case Rockingham County would have voted for Kerry but if you look at the map Rockingham county voted for the Republican in the last few elections. Even when the blue wave hit Rockingham county still voted for the Republicans.
It is the VT, ME, NY and college kids that turned it blue my friend


12 posted on 09/18/2007 8:15:25 AM PDT by DM1
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To: All

These numbers are far more reassuring than others from New Hampshire for Shaheen. This is a GOP incumbent who has to take some moderate positions because of the liberal influx into the state. We have to support him regardless of that because he is a firm vote for conservatism in the USSC and Shaheen would not be.


13 posted on 09/18/2007 8:18:50 AM PDT by Owen
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To: Owen

Yes. Sununu has often been a disappointment. But Shaheen would be a disaster. It’s vital to get the vote out for Sununu.


14 posted on 09/18/2007 8:22:32 AM PDT by Cicero (Marcus Tullius)
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To: MassachusettsGOP

Shaheen & Sununu ?

Is Rama-Lama-Ding-Dong also in the race?


15 posted on 09/18/2007 8:24:02 AM PDT by alarm rider (Why should I not vote my conscience?)
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To: DM1
The Most Liberal towns in New Hampshire are Durham (UNH), Hanover (Dartmouth), Keene (near VT), Portsmouth (near Maine), Nashua (Lot o' Illegals) and Concord (Capitols attract Hacks).

Surprise, Surprise...
16 posted on 09/18/2007 8:34:45 AM PDT by MassachusettsGOP (May the West and Republicans Always Win...)
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To: Kuksool
Romney, and though many hear would hate to say it, Giuliani would help. Thompson would lead to a sure lose in NH.
17 posted on 09/18/2007 8:36:44 AM PDT by MassachusettsGOP (May the West and Republicans Always Win...)
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To: MassachusettsGOP
Sununu won his current job by defeating Shaheen in 2002

I thought senators had 6 year terms? Are we now polling for these races 14 months before the election too? If so, this poll is beyond worthless.

18 posted on 09/18/2007 8:39:32 AM PDT by 1Old Pro
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To: LS
Virginia is Gone, Warner will get 60%.
Oregon, Minnesota, and Maine will return the GOP, but narrowly.
New Hampshire and Colorado are true toss-ups, things go bad in Iraq/Prez Race, we lose both. Things go good, we could win both.
Nebraska and Idaho will return the GOP with improved Senators over their RINO predecessors.
Dem Scare/Targets on Mitch McConnell, Lizzy Dole, Saxby Chambliss will never materialize, and maybe we get lucky and knock out Landrieu.

I say we lose 2-3 seats.
19 posted on 09/18/2007 8:41:50 AM PDT by MassachusettsGOP (May the West and Republicans Always Win...)
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To: 1Old Pro
Its not totally worthless, its actually good news, Sununu was down 22% points in a Bogus Poll from July. Rasmussen (who is usually right), puts it at 5%. And when Shaheen returns to NH to debate, and people remember her taxing/spending ways, that 5% will quickly deteriorate.
20 posted on 09/18/2007 8:43:33 AM PDT by MassachusettsGOP (May the West and Republicans Always Win...)
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