Posted on 11/07/2006 4:29:51 PM PST by LS
All right, folks. Guess I have to do it again around here and hand out the chill pills.
1) It is absolutely clear to me that we have won this. We will keep the Senate, and I'm 90% sure we keep the House. We'll probably gain a seat, maybe two in the Senate.
2) I know this from the turnout numbers, just as I did in 2004. The fact is, forget Indies. They don't vote in high numbers. It's all about the two parties, and who gets out their base.
We have done that today beyond my wildest expectations. The info we have from the Hotline on turnout is overwhelming, and in virtually every key state, we have exceeded Dem turnout by 2, 3, 4, or 6%.
As I predicted, we are seeing a Dem UNDERVOTE. They are underperforming, esp. in key states such as OH. However, they are underperforming far worse than even I dreamed. We are looking at 20% in Cuyahoga County! Brown and Strickland couldn't get elected dog catcher with that level of support.
SO HERE IS WHAT TO EXPECT: THE MEDIA IDIOTS HAVE THEIR TEMPLATES. THEY WILL BE VERY SLOW TO COME AROUND. IT WILL BE A LONG NIGHT, BECAUSE THEY WON'T BELIEVE THEIR EYES.
They may even "call" a few House races, maybe a Senate race, based on some ridiculously low "exit poll" and have to recant later. Be patient. The turnout numbers suggest we absolutely cannot lose.
As I predicted, we are seeing a Dem UNDERVOTE. They are underperforming, esp. in key states such as OH. However, they are underperforming far worse than even I dreamed. We are looking at 20% in Cuyahoga County!
What, no "walking-around" crack being distributed?
I expected fifty per cent plus turn-out this year...but the reality is more shocking!
Republicans to add to their majorities in both Houses.
What's with CNN calling for Strickland the minute the polls closed, when some polls didn't even close yet due to court order????
I want to belive, but it looks like the house is going bad. On Fox, OH is going democratic early
I'll help you eat that box if you need help. I don't think so though. Glad that you are getting good inside info.
Gosh I like the sound of all that.
Where do you come by this stuff, if you do not mind me asking?
Thanks! I needed that
Bump for hope!
Will you please give me the Lotto number for tomorrow...??
Everyone here wants to believe. That being said, we can't delude ourselves in the face of data, either. Let the real numbers speak.
Here's hoping you are right!
I expected this. I expect as many early calls from the drive bys as they possibly can get in, whether accurate or not. With these turnout levels, for them to even make a call at 7:40 is utterly absurd.
What are you basing your assertions on?
As long as your 10% doesn't = 15 seats we will be good.
Hope you're right.
I remember some early calls in 2000 and 2004 that proved to be quite, uh, fermented.
Brit just said the GOP reports from MT and VA are that GOP turnout will be BIGGER than 2004...astounding...then Fox keeps citing their stupid telephone survey...
Are fising praying R wins?!
Sheepishly walking away. Couldn't resist. I haven't speeled for carp today nuther. More important things to worry about.
For Senate, Rats win Ohio and Penn for sure.
Montana and Maryland likely Rat.
New Jersey and Rhode Island close.
Missouri and Virginia go GOP.
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