Posted on 10/10/2006 10:08:27 PM PDT by freespirited
SurveyUSA has two new polls out tonight one in the House and one in the Senate that show Republicans Bob Corker in Tennessee and Rep. Geoff Davis in KY-4 actually picking up support since their previous polls in September. In Tennessee in polling taken all post-Foley (Oct 7-9) Bob Corker is now ahead of Rep. Harold Ford (Corker 48% - Ford 46%) in the battle for the seat held by retiring Majority Leader Bill Frist. That is a 5-point turnaround for Corker since SurveyUSA's last poll. In Kentucky's 4th congressional district Rep. Geoff Davis has seen a seven-point swing since mid-September and now leads 47% - 44%, again in polling taken all post-Foley (Oct 7-9).
So far there have been six national generic polls in the field after October 5th, and as I wrote earlier this morning, it is pretty clear from the RCP Generic Average that the Foley scandal has hurt Republicans at least as far as the generic ballot is concerned, but how much this would translate to individual races and whether this was only a temporary blip down were still very open questions.
I laid out the concerns for Republicans this morning, but of concern for Democrats is at the end of the day people don't vote for the generic candidate and voters in New York City, San Francisco and Kansas don't have a say in who is going to win Congress this year. It is voters in states like Tennessee and districts like Kentucky 4 where this election will be won and lost. And in a day of bad poll numbers for the GOP they would gladly trade a whole host of individual race polls showing improved Republican prospects in critical toss-up states and districts for every generic ballot predicting doom for the GOP.
Encouraging news. Thanks.
BTTT!
Great news I am soooooooo tired of this Foley crap Will never change my vote here in KY
I have seen estimates that Ford polls 5 points higher than is actually accurate because people don't wish to be seen as racist when asked who they plan to vote for.
The worm is beginning to turn.
I had rather be seen a racist than a complete FOOL!!!!!
Anyone that could vote for Jr. is just plain evil!
bttt
It's nice when a plan comes together...
:)
That corresponds to the last governor's race in Louisiana. Polls consistently showed Bobby Jindal was leading Blank-oh by about three points. However, come election day, he lost by about two points.
The polling logic was that Jindal's polls were inflated by political correctness, while his vote totals were depressed by racism.
That's interesting.
Now if we could just get some encouraging news from those two districts in Georgia.
I think conservatives have a greater tendency not to take polls because don't trust them in the first place.
How are we doing over there in Georgia? Last time I heard it was looking good for the GOP.
I haven't seen anything recent. I'm sure someone in the know will fill us in.
Do you have any information of the Georgia races ?
I pinged someone who might have the answer. I can't find anything recent. Rasmussen latest poll is only available to paid members.
Well, poor polling results do seem to be the result when Libs conduct push polls weighted to give the results they desire...so no, I've seen no evidence Foley hurt them in the polls whatsoever and here is yet another proof it did not.
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