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To: strategofr

BTW, he also predicted the rise of Gorbi...

July 4, 1984: ‘At this time, the Soviet Strategists may replace the old leader, Konstantin Chernenko, who is actually only a figurehead, with a younger Soviet leader who was chosen some time ago as his successor, namely Comrade Gorbachev. One of his major tasks will be to implement the so-called liberalization. The strategists may also replace the old ‘hardliner’ Andrei Gromyko with a younger ‘soft-liner’…The new Soviet leadership may introduce economic reforms and striking political initiatives in order to project a clear message that the changes in the Soviet leadership and in Soviet policy require changes in US leadership, in US military policy and in the US budget. Inasmuch as both conservatives and liberals are confused by strategic disinformation about Soviet strategic intentions, it is possible that these manoeuvres, assisted by Soviet agents of influence, will be successful.’


78 posted on 08/23/2006 4:59:11 PM PDT by GodGunsGuts
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To: GodGunsGuts

"BTW, he also predicted the rise of Gorbi..."

Some of Golitzen's predictions were correct. However, there is no getting around the fact that, over time, his view has diverged from reality. This does not necessarily prove that some of his original insights were not real. But one of his core, fundamental beliefs---that Russia would pretend to move away from communism while actually not doing so---has turned out not to be true.


81 posted on 08/23/2006 5:11:54 PM PDT by strategofr (The Temping of America, Robert Bork, read this book and get back the Constitution)
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