Pre-emptive strike on the Dean machine(MEDIA CONSPIRACY!)

Howard Dean's online campaign threatened to sideline traditional Washington powerbrokers. No wonder they went on the attack, writes Vince Stehle

The flu season is just about over for the year. As bad as it was, this year's outbreak failed to reach the epidemic proportions predicted by the overheated media coverage. Indeed, maybe it was the urgent warnings of news publications and 24-hour cable broadcasters that prompted people to be more vigilant in preventing the disease from spreading further. In much the same way, Dean fever is also all but extinguished in the current political season, as he withdrew from the presidential race after coming a poor third in the Wisconsin primary.

But before Mr Dean disappears from the political stage altogether, it is important to understand what happened to his campaign, because here again it appears that the media played a significant role in driving Dean fever from the body politic.

The Dean campaign, like no other campaign in history, was able to quickly amass a following by employing the new organising tools of the internet. Tapping new online communities through the effective use of internet technology and working in conjunction with the activist powerhouse, Moveon.org, and upstart Meetup.com, it was quickly able to reach an ever-expanding network of supporters.

In the jargon of web marketers, the Dean campaign was a classic viral marketing campaign. It spread rapidly - like a virus - by delivering a compelling message to prospective supporters, who in turn forwarded email copies to their friends and colleagues.

Democratic activists, hungry for the sharp rhetoric Mr Dean was serving up, flocked to his campaign: first by connecting online through the campaign's elaborate network of websites, then off-line in hundreds of meetings across the country and finally at packed campaign rallies that had the air of rock concerts.

The campaign was also the first to effectively harness the internet for large-scale fund-raising success, to a degree that it challenged the fundamental principles of campaign finance.

Most importantly, the Dean campaign demonstrated the power of an intelligent network, not just to expand and pay for itself but to actually perform the vital functions of the campaign. More than any other campaign, it devolved critical campaign tasks to its burgeoning network of supporters.

But like a virus, the Dean campaign also represented a fundamental threat to the health of powerful forces in Washington - the national political media and the city's professional political establishment.

Its rapid rise, independent of the anointing touch of these two pillars of political power, threatened both institutions. Consciously or subconsciously, the political elite understood that their role in providing expert guidance to the vast electorate would have been undermined if the Dean campaign had succeeded.

Political consultants and fundraisers would see their influence wane if candidates could tap their networks for volunteer labour rather than paying millions of dollars in consulting fees.

Campaign fundraisers recognise that their jobs are in peril if politicians no longer need them to provide most of their funds. And political reporters have every reason to fear that voters will cease to take their guidance seriously when they are able to find commentary that is equally compelling on campaign websites and from independent blogs.

The political press and the Washington campaign consulting industry recognised that Howard Dean posed a grave danger to their position and they responded with a fierce campaign to undermine and discredit his message.

The first major shot was fired back in June 2003 when Meet the Press presenter Tim Russert subjected Mr Dean to a withering interrogation that left many viewers doubting the candidate's abilities. Mr Russert peppered Mr Dean with queries about the exact number of US troops in Iraq and how many active duty troops were in the military at that time.

Mr Dean's ballpark answers - which were well within the mark - were met with a ticking off for failing to be more precise. "As commander in chief, you should know that," Mr Russert scolded.

There are countless examples of harsh media coverage. Dean partisans have devoted an entire website to criticising and debunking the stories filed by New York Times reporter Jodi Wilgoren, and taken as a whole, coverage of Mr Dean was far more negative than other primary contenders.

In 2003, only 49% of all on-air evaluations of Mr Dean were deemed positive. The rest of the democratic field collectively received 78% favourable coverage by network news teams at ABC, CBS and NBC, according to a survey of conducted by the non-partisan Centre for Media and Public Affairs.

It got so bad by the end of January that the Columbia Journalism Review's online political monitor called the media to task. The Review's campaign desk stated that it was no Dean booster, "but we do give two hoots when the press singles out one candidate for the kind of mauling and piling on by exaggeration and distortion that Dean has endured in the past week".

In the end, it is hard to know why Mr Dean's erstwhile supporters shifted their allegiance to other candidates. For most of them, getting George Bush out of the White House was more important than getting Howard Dean into the White House. And if the constant drone of media reports suggested that Mr Dean was unelectable, it stands to reason that they would look for candidates that might have a better chance of prevailing.

It is probably fair to concede that Mr Dean contributed to his own demise, insofar as he failed to make adjustments in his campaign when it was clear that some of his statements and tactics were meeting with such unrelentingly bad press. Mr Dean was fond of saying that he did not look at the polls before he spoke. But he was reckless not to look at the videotape after he spoke.

The point is not that individual reporters were involved in some sort of vast conspiracy to deny Mr Dean the nomination. Rather, they instinctively sought to marginalise him because they understood that his success could undermine their role in shaping political debate. In internet terms, the dynamic is known as disintermediation. But most people call it "cutting out the middleman".

The lesson of the Dean implosion is not that internet-based campaigns are inherently weak, but that the combined force of traditional media outlets and the Washington political establishment working in concert are still strong enough to contain the new form of political organising.

The viral force of the Dean campaign may be subsiding in this electoral cycle. But like other viruses, it has not gone away for good. And there is no way of knowing what it will look like, or how powerful it will be, next time it appears.

· Vince Stehle is a director of the Nonprofit Technology Enterprise Network in San Francisco, a technology support group for non-profit organisations.

Yes, the lead dog does draw most of the fire. That's part of it. But the component the article is about DOES enter into the equation. The mainscream media's gatekeeper status has been severely threatened by new media - this is only the latest incarnation, and one the media could easily use to fight back. That said, Beano-Deano did pretty much bury himself with his behavior toward the end. It became obvious that Dean was not only unelectable BUT not presidential material in the first place.

The Dean virus campaign had an underbelly you won't hear much about in Der Media - SEX. Deaniacs were using the campaign as a means of finding quick and easy hook-ups with like-minded people. That's one reason the undercurrent was so powerful.

Michael

What's President Bush's favorable coverage rating? And why doesn't Columbia's Journalism Review give "two hoots" about the mauling the press give him every day?

I have spent some time over on DU, and have found, BTW, that some of the folks over there seem to be reasonably nice folks. I do not need a shower as much as people around here say, but they do have a lot of foul language in messages (their rules prohibit foul language in titles, but not in messages). I can say that there is NOT a lot of enthusiasm for Kerry among those particularly activist Democrats. They want anyone but Bush (ABB), and will vote for Kerry for that reason and perhaps no other.

It makes me wonder who voted for Kerry in the primaries. The DUers seem concerned about electronic voter fraud by Republicans in the future. I know it is hard to imagine Republicans engaging in voter fraud, so long the province of activist Democrats, but they seem truly concerned.

Their biggest problem seems to be that they believe too much of their own propaganda. They really believe that Bush is stupid, and call him "the chimp." This works to their disadvantage, because you cannot fight an enemy or rival effectively if your underestimate him.

What's with all the cats? They love pictures of cats over there, and I notice that cats figure in zot threads here, too. Is the cat the mascot of DU, or something?

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