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Yes, Donald Trump Has a Path to 270 Electoral Votes
The Weekly Standard ^ | September 1, 2016 | Jeffrey H. Anderson

Posted on 09/04/2016 9:20:50 PM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet

It's hard to think of a more irresistible morsel of dubious conventional wisdom than the claim that, driven by demographic change, the presidential electoral map now greatly favors the Democrats. The latest propagation of this myth is found in a long piece by National Review Online's chief political correspondent, Tim Alberta ("Does Donald Trump Have a Path to 270?"), from which Mark Levin read aloud at great length during his radio program on Tuesday. Levin, who has yet to say how he'll cast his vote for president, framed Alberta's piece as being authoritative in portraying dire straits for Donald Trump.

Alberta asserts that the Democrats "entered 2016 with a decided advantage" in the race to get to 270 electoral votes and asks whether Trump "has any realistic path to defeating Hillary Clinton." He immediately responds, "The answer, barring unforeseen and politically transcendent developments, is no." As Alberta explains it, this is largely because, even if Trump were to turn in "a series of virtuoso performances" in the upcoming debates—an unrealistically high bar for any candidate—he "would still be hampered by the one thing he cannot change: the Electoral College." In other words, Alberta claims, Trump likely wouldn't be able to scale "the blue wall" that holds Republicans' presidential hopes at bay.

In truth, however, this "blue wall" doesn't exist. The Electoral College does not give a clear advantage to either political party. Democrats have won the electoral vote in four of the past six presidential elections because they have won the popular vote in five of the past six presidential elections. Indeed, one need look back only four Olympiads—to the year of Michael Phelps's first Olympics—to find an example of a Democratic nominee losing the electoral vote despite winning the national popular vote—and by more than half a percentage point....

(Excerpt) Read more at weeklystandard.com ...


TOPICS: Campaign News; Parties; Polls; State and Local
KEYWORDS: ec; electoralcollege; hillary; trump; votes
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1 posted on 09/04/2016 9:20:50 PM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

DONALD TRUMP/MIKE PENCE will win by a landslide.


2 posted on 09/04/2016 9:21:36 PM PDT by stars & stripes forever (Blessed is the nation whose God is the Lord. Psalm 33:12)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

One word for all the prognosticators:

BREXIT


3 posted on 09/04/2016 9:27:44 PM PDT by jessduntno (The mind of a liberal...deceit, desire for control, greed, contradiction and fueled by hate.)
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To: stars & stripes forever

I’ll go so far as to say 295-300.


4 posted on 09/04/2016 9:29:08 PM PDT by dp0622 (The only thing an upper crust conservative hates more than a liberal is a middle class conservative)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

I am so fed up with Mark Levine.

He hates it when you spell and pronounce it Levine.


5 posted on 09/04/2016 9:31:11 PM PDT by E. Pluribus Unum (If you are not prepared to use force to defend civilization, then be prepared to accept barbarism.)
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To: E. Pluribus Unum

Trump will win back all the states Bush won in 2000, plus he will win PA, WI, MI, and NY.


6 posted on 09/04/2016 9:34:25 PM PDT by EQAndyBuzz (It appears as if Trump is our Yeltsin.)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

All Trump has to do to win is to beat Mitt’s share of the vote in 2012.

This he will do very easily. Conversely, Hillary will draw far fewer votes than Obama.

And leading from behind on Labor Day is not a path to victory for her.


7 posted on 09/04/2016 9:35:02 PM PDT by goldstategop ((In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives In My Heart Forever))
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To: EQAndyBuzz

And no “selected not elected” BS this time.

If it ain’t close, they can’t cheat.


8 posted on 09/04/2016 9:37:55 PM PDT by E. Pluribus Unum (If you are not prepared to use force to defend civilization, then be prepared to accept barbarism.)
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To: goldstategop
All Trump has to do to win is to beat Mitt’s share of the vote in 2012.

I wonder what the comparison is of the number of people who refused to vote for Romney to the number of Romney voters who refuse to vote for trump?

Of course, that doesn't count the number of people who will cross over and vote for Trump.

Some of you may be too young to remember when Trump was considered "America's most eligible bachelor." How many women of a certain age may vote for Trump because he was a catch when they were?

9 posted on 09/04/2016 9:46:40 PM PDT by Jeff Chandler (Everywhere is freaks and hairies Dykes and fairies, tell me where is sanity?)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet
Another example of how Levin is just doing everything humanly possible to undermine Donald Trump.

Levin is a traitor to conservatives, plain and simple. However effective or ineffective it is, the damage he's doing to Donald Trump's chances cannot be justified or rationalized. Such malicious behavior, at a moment when the Republic is clearly at stake, is unforgivable.

Mark Levin should be spending every moment of every broadcast informing Americans about the danger that Hillary Clinton represents to the Republic, and the damage Hillary's policies and judicial appointees will do if she wins.

Mark Levin should be supporting Trump wholeheartedly. Anything less than that only helps Hillary. He's insane.

And, of course, Trump's policy proposals are magnitudes better than Hillary's.

Join the Revolution!

Vote Trump!

10 posted on 09/04/2016 10:05:42 PM PDT by sargon (Anyone AWOL in the battle against Hillary is not a patriot. It's that simple.)
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To: sargon
The latest propagation of this myth is found in a long piece by National Review Online's chief political correspondent, Tim Alberta ("Does Donald Trump Have a Path to 270?"), from which Mark Levin read aloud at great length during his radio program on Tuesday. Levin, who has yet to say how he'll cast his vote for president, framed Alberta's piece as being authoritative in portraying dire straits for Donald Trump.

That was the excerpt I was referencing when I made my comment above about how Levin is doing everything humanly possible to undermine Donald Trump...

11 posted on 09/04/2016 10:08:14 PM PDT by sargon (Anyone AWOL in the battle against Hillary is not a patriot. It's that simple.)
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To: EQAndyBuzz

12 posted on 09/04/2016 10:14:12 PM PDT by entropy12 (Majority of Politicians are either Globalists pushing cheap labor express or are Neocons.)
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To: entropy12

Why MO is blue? It will be Red.


13 posted on 09/04/2016 10:32:31 PM PDT by jennychase
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To: entropy12

Even IA may go red.


14 posted on 09/04/2016 10:33:30 PM PDT by jennychase
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To: entropy12

I do believe that Nevada will go red this go around....


15 posted on 09/04/2016 11:11:36 PM PDT by yadent
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

I thought i heard heard him say he will vote for Trump


16 posted on 09/04/2016 11:42:39 PM PDT by dila813 (Voting for Trump to Punish Trumpets!)
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To: holdonnow

Get off the air, ya big dope!


17 posted on 09/05/2016 12:04:29 AM PDT by Windflier (Pitchforks and torches ripen on the vine. Left too long, they become black rifles.)
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To: yadent

Yup, I know many libs who left NV for CA and conservatives who left CA for NV.

Paint NV red.


18 posted on 09/05/2016 12:23:42 AM PDT by Vision Thing (You know the depths of my heart, and You love me the same...)
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To: E. Pluribus Unum; 2ndDivisionVet

Mark Levine is despicable.

Not supporting Trump is outrageous for a guy who has sold thousands of books claiming he is a conservative and
patriot.

He’s a traitor to the cause. BTW, when I scanned a couple of his books at the library, I found his thoughts muddled. He doesn’t make himself clear.

Well, maybe now we know why: he needs to speak with a forked tongue because he’s go an agenda, and it’s globalist and Anti-America.

So Mr. Levine. “Get off the Air! And go live in a dog house!”


19 posted on 09/05/2016 1:11:27 AM PDT by poconopundit (When the people shall become so corrupted as to need despotic government. Franklin, Const. Conv.)
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To: Aaron0617

I dont like how Trump has to win BOTH PA and Michigan. How about Iowa/Missouri in place of Michigan. I feel better with that combo, but he would also have to win PA.


20 posted on 09/05/2016 1:59:09 AM PDT by Aaron0617
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