The Trump-Clinton Race Is Not As Close As It Looks

National Journal ^ | May 30, 2016 | Charlie Cook

[houeto]

Sorry. Meant to ping you to the post Vet.

[Lakeshark]

Convinced of what?

Is building a wall and stopping illegals from pouring in you need to be convinced about?

Is stopping muzzies from coming in indiscriminately and destroying our country something you need convincing about?

Is destroying ISIS and radical Islam something you need convincing about?

Is rebuilding our military and rewarding our vets something you need convincing about?

Is returning our economy to the strength of free enterprise and valuing growth something you need convincing about?

Is regaining a conservative SC something you need convincing about?

Is curtailing spending something you need convincing about?

Is replacing bamster care with a free market based health care system something you need convincing about?

If so, you might need to redefine what you mean by conservative. ......

[lquist1]

“The hope is that about 30% of Sanders suporters go to Trump. Problem is that Hillary is closer to the socialists than Trumps is percieved being to the conservatives. I think that 25% of disaffecteds of either party won’t vote for either major candidate.”

Trump will need at least 30% of Sanders supporters to “redraw the political map” as he is supposedly doing. I think if the election were held today, there would be at least that many Sanders supporters open to voting for Trump. The problem though is that, just as most GOP voters will “come home” and vote for the nominee, the same thing is likely to happen on the Dem side.

At the end of the day, the candidate with the highest unfavorables in November is the one most likely to lose. This is one trend that has held true in every election since they started measuring this number in 1972.