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James Bennett column: Trump vs. Cruz
The Daily Herald ^ | November 29, 2015 | James Bennett

Posted on 11/29/2015 12:00:39 PM PST by 2ndDivisionVet

Donald Trump’s fall from atop the GOP presidential polls has started, turning Decision 2016 into a two-horse race with U.S. Sen. Ted Cruz, R-Texas, in my opinion.

A national Reuters poll, released Friday, showed Trump’s support has tumbled 12 percentage points since making controversial, indefensible remarks about the Nov. 13 Paris terrorist attacks.....

(Excerpt) Read more at columbiadailyherald.com ...


TOPICS: Campaign News; Parties; Polls
KEYWORDS: 2016trump; carson; cruz; cruz2016; elections; mediabias; tedcruz; trump; trump2016
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1 posted on 11/29/2015 12:00:39 PM PST by 2ndDivisionVet
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Hey Louise, we got another one. Get that bottle of brandy from the cellar...


2 posted on 11/29/2015 12:01:49 PM PST by BigEdLB (If something happens because of the Iran Agreement all of DC will have blood on their hands)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

What fall are you talking about? Trump hasn’t fallen and he isn’t going to either....sorry folks, but the government controlled media is at it again...

Go Trump!!!


3 posted on 11/29/2015 12:08:16 PM PST by HarleyLady27 (I have such happy days, I hope you do too!!!)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Trump and Cruz are a tag-team.


4 posted on 11/29/2015 12:11:41 PM PST by E. Pluribus Unum (In a time of universal deceit, telling the truth is a revolutionary act. --George Orwell)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Wow...Yet another Trump hit piece.

What is this, Trump hit piece article #1503?


5 posted on 11/29/2015 12:15:14 PM PST by dragnet2 (Diversion and evasion are tools of deceit)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet
LoL there was no fall. Roooters cut the people they polled by almost half. Even if it was the true case, it's not, that Trump fell by 12 he's still has 3 times more the percentages over the nearest competition. Most of the competition would disappear into negative numbers if lost an alleged 12% heh.

Trump still is a few points higher with 'likely voters' in the same poll.


6 posted on 11/29/2015 12:15:21 PM PST by Red Steel
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

LOL!
Everyone sure is trying to make something of two polls with a 6 point MOE each.
(6 + 6 = 12 BTW)

No doubt Ted is moving up but I think not at Trump’s expense.


7 posted on 11/29/2015 12:17:04 PM PST by mrsmith (Dumb sluts: Lifeblood of the Media, Backbone of the Democrat/RINO Party!)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

8 posted on 11/29/2015 12:17:06 PM PST by FourPeas (Tone matters.)
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To: Red Steel

Why do the percentages change so much with the smaller sampling size? Did they change the demographics of the samples?


9 posted on 11/29/2015 12:17:19 PM PST by Aria (Abortion = murder, the taking of a human life.)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

LOL! Mr. Bennett really doesn’t like Mr. Trump and doesn’t try to hide it.


10 posted on 11/29/2015 12:20:14 PM PST by FourPeas (Tone matters.)
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To: Aria

Smaller sampling size = easier to control the sampling universe attributes...and easier to get the desired results.


11 posted on 11/29/2015 12:20:18 PM PST by newfreep (TRUMP/Cruz 2016 - "Evil succeeds when good men do nothing" - Edmund Burke)
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To: Aria

The liberal at Reuters/Rooooteers don’t like the results they see in their own poll since it’s Trump who is always on top, so they manipulate the numbers polled. It’s easier to manipulate 346 (this poll) nationally than say around 550 to 600 that the usually poll. It’s not hard to play with who they poll and how many they want to poll. And it gives all the Libs, Fox News a narrative for them to talk about that Trump is losing support. Yippeeee.


12 posted on 11/29/2015 12:25:09 PM PST by Red Steel
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To: Aria

If you don’t have 1,000 respondents in your sample, it’s not a reliable poll. And that counts if you narrow down your overall sample to a sub-group...that sub-group has to still have 1,000. That’s what I learned in statistics class.


13 posted on 11/29/2015 12:25:41 PM PST by JediJones (The #1 Must-see Filibuster of the Year: TEXAS TED AND THE CONSERVATIVE CRUZ-ADE)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Has someone started to collect all these pieces so that they can be published the day after we start calling him President Elect Trump?


14 posted on 11/29/2015 12:26:09 PM PST by navymom1
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15 posted on 11/29/2015 12:26:10 PM PST by RedMDer (Support Free Republic and Keep FReedom ALIVE!)
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To: 2nd Amendment; 2ndDivisionVet; alstewartfan; altura; azkathy; aposiopetic; AUTiger83; arderkrag; ...
TC FR photo Ted-Cruz-Ping-Donate_FR.jpg
16 posted on 11/29/2015 12:29:17 PM PST by erod (Chicago Conservative | Cruz or Lose!)
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To: dragnet2

This must be the fourth or fifth variation of this I have read. Is the same guy writing them all or did a memo go out - push Cruz to take down Trump?


17 posted on 11/29/2015 12:30:23 PM PST by Duchess47 ("One day I will leave this world and dream myself to Reality" Crazy Horse)
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To: Duchess47

They live in a fantasy world.


18 posted on 11/29/2015 12:33:02 PM PST by FR_addict (Ryan needs to go!)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Go Trump! Go Cruz! I don’t really care which one wins the nomination as long as it is one of those two!


19 posted on 11/29/2015 12:33:24 PM PST by piytar (Good will be called evil and Evil will be called good.)
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To: JediJones

ok, thanks. I didn’t take statistics but I do accounting and to me a % is a %. Obviously more to play with when you’re dealing with statistics.


20 posted on 11/29/2015 12:36:00 PM PST by Aria (Abortion = murder, the taking of a human life.)
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