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Insiders: Trump’s grip on Iowa is tenuous
The Politico ^ | November 27, 2015 | Steven Shepard

Posted on 11/27/2015 5:03:25 PM PST by 2ndDivisionVet

POLITICO Caucus shows Cruz gaining ground and Clinton pushing Sanders aside in the early voting states.

After months of waiting for Donald Trump’s decline, Republican insiders now concede the poll leader could take two of the first four early voting states, though they caution his hold on Iowa is weak.

That’s according to the POLITICO Caucus, our weekly poll of the top strategists, operatives and activists in Iowa, New Hampshire, South Carolina and Nevada.

For this Thanksgiving holiday week, POLITICO analyzed seven months-worth of responses to our weekly benchmark question: Who would win your state if the voting were today? The result offers a snapshot of the current state of primary play — with Trump, Cruz, and Rubio grappling for wins in the early states — and chronicles Republicans’ slow acceptance of the real estate mogul as a contender with staying power.....

(Excerpt) Read more at politico.com ...


TOPICS: Iowa; Campaign News; Polls
KEYWORDS: 2nddivisionvetagrees; cruz; delusional; karlrove; politico; rubio; tds; tedcruz; trump
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1 posted on 11/27/2015 5:03:25 PM PST by 2ndDivisionVet
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

In September I was at a parade in Marshalltown. There were 4 people marching for Carly, 1 person for Graham, 1 person for Santorum, 1 pickup decorated for Ben Carson and about 30 or 40 marching for Trump. I spoke to the Trump people. Don’t think any of them are changing their mind. They told me the would only vote for Trump, Carson, or Carly. Otherwise they stay home.


2 posted on 11/27/2015 5:07:36 PM PST by w1andsodidwe (Barrak has now won the contest. He is even worse than Jimmah.)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Yeah, I’ve been surprised at how well he does in the polls among ‘likely caucus goers’.
He just doesn’t seem to fit the Iowa caucus mold. I think he’d do well in a regular primary there.


3 posted on 11/27/2015 5:08:41 PM PST by mrsmith (Dumb sluts: Lifeblood of the Media, Backbone of the Democrat/RINO Party!)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

The Iowa Caucus is so stupid. It isn’t even a private ballot. It is meaningless anyway!


4 posted on 11/27/2015 5:12:14 PM PST by Jim from C-Town (The government is rarely benevolent, often malevolent and never benign!)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

More PolitiCrap and their usual lying about “how the Trump Campaign is dying, etc.”

Man the leftists are desperate now, they realize Hillary is gonna get crushed


5 posted on 11/27/2015 5:13:26 PM PST by canuck_conservative
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To: Jim from C-Town

I’ve never understood the hype around the Iowa caucus.


6 posted on 11/27/2015 5:15:26 PM PST by rdl6989
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

There is supposed to be a large number of evangelicals in Iowa and I have noticed that in each debate Cruz will say something religious and Biblical to get that group salivating. It is all about building momentum going into New Hampshire.


7 posted on 11/27/2015 5:16:02 PM PST by odawg
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To: odawg
"There is supposed to be a large number of evangelicals in Iowa and I have noticed that in each debate Cruz will say something religious and Biblical to get that group salivating."

LOL...wow.

Sounds like something I used to hear from liberals in the old AOL chat rooms.

8 posted on 11/27/2015 5:17:57 PM PST by CatherineofAragon ("A real conservative will bear the scars...will have been in the trenches fighting."--- Ted Cruz)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Who cares about idiot Iowa voters? Not me.


9 posted on 11/27/2015 5:22:53 PM PST by montag813
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To: Jim from C-Town

It’s Iowa, it’s February...I bet most of them have treats too...


10 posted on 11/27/2015 5:23:50 PM PST by bigbob
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To: odawg; All
"There is supposed to be a large number of evangelicals in Iowa and I have noticed that in each debate Cruz will say something religious and Biblical to get that group salivating."

Given that the 1st Amendment prohibits Congress from making religion-related laws, are these evangelicals expecting Cruz as president to make unconstitutional executive orders actions excuses like Obama does, except to favor Christians?

11 posted on 11/27/2015 5:29:04 PM PST by Amendment10
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To: w1andsodidwe

It would probably be better for them to stay home. I wish all LIV would stay home.


12 posted on 11/27/2015 5:30:44 PM PST by demshateGod (The fool hath said in his heart, There is no God)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet
"I do not think the media or the party establishment have a real grasp on how deep the anger and frustration is around the country," that insider said when most recently surveyed last week.

Thank you, Captain Obvious.

It will be interesting to see how accurate these insiders are with their feel for the electorate. If they're the same insiders who've "helped" the GOP for years, color me skeptical.

13 posted on 11/27/2015 5:32:27 PM PST by FourPeas (Tone matters.)
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To: CatherineofAragon

Rush warned Mitt Romney and the GOPe to ignore them at their peril.


14 posted on 11/27/2015 5:32:37 PM PST by cripplecreek (Pride goes before destruction, and a haughty spirit before a fall.)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Gotta love the insiders. Karl Rove is most likely one.


15 posted on 11/27/2015 5:33:31 PM PST by Parley Baer
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To: mrsmith

Here the deal. These Trump marchers that I talked to were a lot of independents who are registering republican so they can vote in the primaries. Pretty much fed up with the establishment who vote like the lobbyist tell them to.


16 posted on 11/27/2015 5:33:41 PM PST by w1andsodidwe (Barrak has now won the contest. He is even worse than Jimmah.)
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To: Amendment10

“Given that the 1st Amendment prohibits Congress from making religion-related laws, are these evangelicals expecting Cruz as president to make unconstitutional executive orders actions excuses like Obama does, except to favor Christians?”

No, they just would prefer to have a fellow-believer in the White House. American Christians have always been stringent upholders of the Constitution.

When I see Cruz make his comments, it comes across to me as pandering. He has some backers who certainly are not evangelicals, to put it mildly.


17 posted on 11/27/2015 5:38:23 PM PST by odawg
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To: montag813
Who cares about idiot Iowa voters? Not me.

Is that you, Donald Trump? :-)

18 posted on 11/27/2015 5:40:24 PM PST by Charles Henrickson (Social and constitutional conservative)
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To: cripplecreek

Liberal Repubs don’t learn.


19 posted on 11/27/2015 5:50:54 PM PST by CatherineofAragon ("A real conservative will bear the scars...will have been in the trenches fighting."--- Ted Cruz)
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To: canuck_conservative

Man the leftists are desperate now, they realize Hillary is gonna get crushed
*********************************************************************************
I agree. This Politico article is simply an attempt to goad Trump into attacking Cruz. Both Trump and Cruz are too savvy to take the bait IMHO, so this is simply another mainstream Uniparty tactic doomed to fail.


20 posted on 11/27/2015 5:53:52 PM PST by House Atreides (Cruz or lose! Does TG have to be an ass every day?)
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