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Let’s Be Serious About Ted Cruz From The Start: He’s Too Extreme And Too Disliked To Win
FiveThirtyEight ^ | March 23, 2015 | Harry Enten

Posted on 03/26/2015 10:49:11 PM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet

Texas Sen. Ted Cruz’s newly minted presidential campaign is the media equivalent of a juicy rib-eye that robbers use to distract a guard dog during a heist. He’ll get a ton of media attention, and he’ll get to spread his message — which may be all that Cruz is after — but Cruz almost certainly has no shot of winning the nomination, according to every indicator that predicts success in presidential primaries.

First, Cruz doesn’t have enough support from party bigwigs. To win the Republican or Democratic nomination, you need the backing of at least some of the party apparatus. At a minimum, your fellow party members shouldn’t hate you. Otherwise, you end up getting the Newt Gingrich 2012 treatment. That is, you get pounced on the moment you’re seen as a threat to win the nomination.

If we’re ever in a world where it looks like Cruz could win the nomination, you’ll very likely see such pouncing. You can read article after article about how Cruz has isolated himself in the Senate. It got so bad that he recently had to apologize to his Republican colleagues.

And the Cruz hatred doesn’t stop at the edges of the Senate cloakroom. Influential party actors dislike him, too. I can’t remember another Republican who united Ann Coulter, Pat Robertson, Jennifer Rubin and Thomas Sowell in opposition....

(Excerpt) Read more at fivethirtyeight.com ...


TOPICS: New York; Campaign News; Issues; Parties; U.S. Congress
KEYWORDS: 2016election; cruz; cruz2016; election2016; gop; newt; tedcruz; texas
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To: erod

See, now thats the proper age. lol


81 posted on 03/27/2015 8:30:10 AM PDT by MaxMax (Pay Attention and you'll be pissed off too! FIRE BOEHNER, NOW!)
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To: spel_grammer_an_punct_polise
That is what I fear.....not the dims.....Mr. Ted Cruz can chew up and spit out the dims. I fear the GOPe, and Jeb and Christi!

It happens every election.

82 posted on 03/27/2015 11:12:52 AM PDT by gunsequalfreedom (Conservative is not a label of convenience. It is a guide to your actions.)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet
Verbal flatulence personified...


83 posted on 03/28/2015 7:51:41 AM PDT by Caipirabob (Communists... Socialists... Democrats...Traitors... Who can tell the difference?)
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To: don-o

I am guessing you remember a time when if someone did not switch off a bold tag in their post all the rest of the posts after it would be in bold until someone switched off the bold.


84 posted on 03/28/2015 10:01:06 PM PDT by gunsequalfreedom (Conservative is not a label of convenience. It is a guide to your actions.)
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To: xzins

I remember how bad it was between Reagan and Bush...and what a shrewd move it was to pick Bush as his VP.


85 posted on 03/28/2015 10:04:03 PM PDT by gunsequalfreedom (Conservative is not a label of convenience. It is a guide to your actions.)
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