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The Week Elizabeth Warren Decided to Run for President
The New Republic ^ | December 12, 2014 | Danny Vinik

Posted on 12/12/2014 7:34:34 PM PST by 2ndDivisionVet

Or may have decided. We won’t know for a few months whether the Massachusetts senator will challenge Hillary Clinton for the Democratic nomination, but if she chooses to run, we’re going to look back at this week as a pivotal moment in Warren’s decision-making.

Warren has been waging two battles against mainstream Democrats over the past month in an attempt to reduce Wall Street’s influence within the party. Both of those battles hit inflection points this week. The first is over President Barack Obama’s nominee for the under secretary for Domestic Finance, the number three position at the Treasury Department. It’s rare for such a nomine to become a political issue, much less a political issue within a party. But that’s what has happened to Antonio Weiss, whom Obama nominated on November 12.

A week later, Warren came out vocally against Weiss, arguing that he was both unqualified for the job and another example of Democrats' filling senior government positions with people from Wall Street. “The over-representation of Wall Street banks in senior government positions sends a bad message,” she wrote in the Huffington Post. “It tells people that one—and only one—point of view will dominate economic policymaking. It tells people that whatever goes wrong in this economy, the Wall Street banks will be protected first. That's yet another advantage that Wall Street just doesn't need.”

On Tuesday, Warren took her criticism of Weiss’s nomination up a notch. Speaking at a conference on the Federal Reserve, Warren tore into Weiss’s qualifications and ripped her party for cozying up to Wall Street. Writing at this site, David Dayen argued that the speech was a direct attack on the Democratic establishment. “In the wake of another midterm wipeout,” he wrote, “the Democratic Party has been flailing around for some guiding principles, and Warren has seized on this moment to provide them.” During the week, a collection of Democratic senators—Joe Manchin, Jeanne Shaheen, and Al Franken, among others—announced that they opposed Weiss's nomination. Obama will need significant Republican support in the next Congress if Weiss is to be confirmed.

But Warren’s biggest moment this week was her crusade against a must-pass spending bill over a little-known policy rider that would have eliminated a part in the Dodd-Frank financial regulation bill. Section 716 prevents banks from using taxpayer-backed funds to trade in riskier financial products known as custom swaps. On Wednesday, Warren delivered a vicious speech on the Senate floor in which she implored House Democrats to kill the bill.

“Now, the House of Representatives is about to show us the worst of government for the rich and powerful,” she said. “The House is about to vote on a budget deal, a deal negotiated behind closed doors that slips in a provision that would let derivatives traders on Wall Street gamble with taxpayer money and get bailed out by the government when their risky bets threaten to blow up our financial system.… This provision is all about goosing the profits of the big banks.”

The provision has also garnered significant Democratic support in the past. In 2013, for instance, 70 Democrats voted for it in a bill that died in the Senate. Warren’s speech had made the issue toxic and persuaded other House Democrats to vote against not just the provision but a massive spending bill.

This position put her at direct odds with the White House. President Obama not only supported the bill, but he and Vice President Joe Biden made calls to individual Democratic congressman asking for their votes and White House Chief of Staff Denis McDonough was dispatched to the Hill as well. In the end, Obama prevailed. Fifty-seven Democrats sided with 162 Republicans and the bill barely passed. But Warren had taken on the Democratic establishment and came within just a few votes of winning.

What’s striking about these two battles is that they mean much more politically than substantively. Weiss’s nomination is for a technocratic position that requires experience in financial markets, for instance. “I don’t know the long history of this position but at least since I’ve been paying attention, it’s typically been filled by someone with precisely the market experience that Weiss brings to the table,” Jared Bernstein, the former chief of staff to Biden, wrote on his blog. Four former under secretaries for Domestic Finance released a letter Thursday in support of Weiss as well. Even the provision in the spending bill, while certainly harmful for financial regulation, does not undermine Dodd-Frank. "In the grand scheme of things," Matt Yglesias writes at Vox, "Section 716 is not earth-shattering in its impact."

But these two issues hold significant appeal for the Democratic base that believes Obama has grown too close to Wall Street and worries that Clinton will be more of the same. This has given Warren an opening to gain even more influence in the party as the primaries approach, and she's taken it.

This doesn’t mean that she will run. On Tuesday, her press secretary said, "As Senator Warren has said many times, she is not running for president." But note the present tense—Warren could still run in the future.

It’s a tough decision, since Warren still has little chance of winning the Democratic nomination. A CNN poll released on December 2 found that 65 percent of Democrats support Clinton, with just 10 percent favoring Warren. For comparison, Clinton’s current lead is about three times as large now as it was over Barack Obama during the comparable period before the 2008 election.

That may not matter, though. Warren can have a significant influence on Hillary Clinton and the Democratic primary even if she doesn’t come close to winning. In fact, she could lose the primary and come out an even larger force in the party. That’s exactly what happened with her losing battle this week. It could be a sign of bigger fights to come.


TOPICS: Campaign News; Issues; Parties; U.S. Senate
KEYWORDS: 2016; elizabethwarren; hillary; shutdown
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To: Forward the Light Brigade

After Obama, I think the nation has learned to look beyond irrelevancies like hair color, race or sex.

Ted Cruz would work. So would Palin or West.


41 posted on 12/12/2014 11:08:35 PM PST by reasonisfaith ("...because they received not the love of the truth, that they might be saved." (2 Thessalonians))
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To: 2ndDivisionVet
Back when Jesse Jackson decided to run for president, some strategically-minded Republicans thought that switching parties and voting for him in the primary might be a good idea to help guarantee a Republican victory.

Similarly, I could see voting for Warren in a California Primary, for strategic reasons only.

I know that when Romney or Christie or Bush finally ends up as the Republican candidate there will be plenty on FR saying that although they are all detestable candidates, the strategic thing to do is vote for them in order to keep the Supreme Court from going liberal.

Well I think an even better strategy is for every Republican in a Blue State to switch to Democrat, if you don't have open primaries, and vote for Warren.

Warren would never win the election, and another Clinton presidency is just too horrible a thought to consider.

42 posted on 12/13/2014 12:16:48 AM PST by who_would_fardels_bear
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To: entropy12
Don't forget early voting.

Santorum would have had a better chance in Michigan if every anal retentive Republican hadn't done the practical thing and voted as early as they possibly could. And most likely by mail on account of their hectic schedule what with soccer games for their kids, and errands, and etc.

43 posted on 12/13/2014 12:18:51 AM PST by who_would_fardels_bear
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To: Diana in Wisconsin

I still get a good chuckle out of that one.


44 posted on 12/13/2014 1:40:28 AM PST by PLMerite (Shut the Beyotch Down! Burn, baby, burn!)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

look for ads saying that Warren is related to Tonto and the Lone Ranger supports her candidacy...


45 posted on 12/13/2014 4:16:59 AM PST by trebb (Where in the the hell has my country gone?)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet
Why not a Warren candidacy?
There is precedent for incompetent, unqualified, lying Marxists to campaign for --- and even steal --- the presidency now.
46 posted on 12/13/2014 5:04:52 AM PST by Amagi (Lenin: "Socialized Medicine is the Keystone to the Arch of the Socialist State.")
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To: bluejean

I’m thinking Condi Rice


47 posted on 12/13/2014 5:35:20 AM PST by SouthWall (If we are having diversity classes, shouldn't we be having unity classes?)
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To: Thunder90

“Scott Walker will shut Elizabeth Warren down.”

After the Mary Burke Fiasco, he has proven that he can debate in a calm, cool, collected manner with airhead Leftists. Pretty easy when you just stick to the facts.

Love My Gov! :)


48 posted on 12/13/2014 6:38:12 AM PST by Diana in Wisconsin (I don't have 'Hobbies.' I'm developing a robust Post-Apocalyptic skill set...)
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To: FlingWingFlyer

I knew it! :)


49 posted on 12/13/2014 6:38:33 AM PST by Diana in Wisconsin (I don't have 'Hobbies.' I'm developing a robust Post-Apocalyptic skill set...)
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To: PLMerite

:)


50 posted on 12/13/2014 6:39:22 AM PST by Diana in Wisconsin (I don't have 'Hobbies.' I'm developing a robust Post-Apocalyptic skill set...)
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To: txnativegop
please no candidates from Massachusetts, the Kennedy’s were enough and then came Romney. no more.

You forgot John Kerry and Mike Dukakis, the only guys a Bush can win the popular vote against. We WANT a Massachusetts Dem to go against the Hillster. A Cruz, Walker or Pence can take her out easily in the general election.
51 posted on 12/13/2014 7:14:00 AM PST by Dr. Sivana (There is no salvation in politics)
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To: txnativegop

Anything is possible...One guy suggested that even after a dirty Dem fight, they could still team up, but only if Hillary wins, because Hillary would never agree to run as the VP

So worse scenario I guess is that Hillary wins and reaches out to Warren as the #2

Still I want Warren to run, embarrass Hillary and have our side come out on top


52 posted on 12/13/2014 3:35:01 PM PST by Friendofgeorge (I AM OFFICER DARREN....CRUZ 2016 OR BUST)
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To: Friendofgeorge

IMO It doesn’t matter how dirty a primary battle between Hillary and Warren becomes.

Once there is a winner, the media, and everyone else with a stake in a Dem victory in the general election with come out of the “proverbial” woodwork ignoring whatever dirt got thrown to restore the Dem candidate to electability.

and the GOPe is one of those stake holders; they will find a way to sabotage their own candidate to make their DNC masters happy.


53 posted on 12/13/2014 4:56:52 PM PST by txnativegop (Tired of liberals, even a few in my own family.)
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To: txnativegop

you may be right, probably are but would still be fun to see someone embarrass Hillary


54 posted on 12/13/2014 6:38:13 PM PST by Friendofgeorge (I AM OFFICER DARREN....CRUZ 2016 OR BUST)
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To: Friendofgeorge

How can Hillary get embarrassed?

She would need to understand just how ignorant and uninformed she actually is.

Hillary doesn’t understand anything but an all-consuming desire to be in charge.

therefore we’ll both be denied the fun of watching Hillary squirm.


55 posted on 12/13/2014 7:32:30 PM PST by txnativegop (Tired of liberals, even a few in my own family.)
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