Malloy leads by 8 in Connecticut Governor's Race

Public Policy Polling ^ | October 06, 2014

[campaignPete R-CT]

Public Policy Polling's first Connecticut poll of 2014 finds Dan Malloy with an 8 point lead for reelection over Republican foe Tom Foley, 43/35. Independent Joe Visconti is polling at 9%. Visconti is largely drawing voters away from Foley- his supporters say their second choice would be Foley by a 46/27 spread. In a head to head, Malloy's advantage over Foley is 6 points at 45/39.

Malloy's had low approval numbers throughout most of his term and that hasn't changed- only 40% of voters approve of the job he's doing to 50% who disapprove. But Foley's numbers are even worse with just 34% of voters holding a favorable opinion of him to 49% with an unfavorable one. The dislike of both candidates helps to explain why Visconti is getting such a high level of support. Malloy is actually winning more Republicans (17%) than Foley is Democrats (12%) which makes it very hard for a Republican to be successful in a state where Democrats have a substantial registration advantage.

Democrats are headed for a sweep up and down the ballot in Connecticut this fall. George Jepsen leads 45/30 for Attorney General, Denise Merrill is up 42/33 for Secretary of State, Denise Nappier is up 45/37 for Treasurer, and Kevin Lembo leads 38/33 for Comptroller.

[Impy]

I’m pretty skeptical of PPP this year.

[fieldmarshaldj]

This poll doesn’t pass the smell test.

[nutmeg]

Oh gosh what a mess. Dan is getting his points across and handing out checks all over CT. Foley is boring and needs to step up his game.

Thanks for the ping, FRiend. I've only been casually following this race. Yikes, PPP *can* be accurate... :-(

Foley is SO damn boring. Can you believe this is the best candidate the CT GOP can give us? Ugh.

And Joe Visconti is running as a third-party candidate... someone tell me WHY he is doing this? He will siphon votes from Foley. The CCDL and just about all CT Tea Party groups have endorsed Foley, BTW. They're also worried about splitting the GOP vote, thus ending up with Malloy again.

My husband and I cannot stand the thought of enduring another four years of Dannel F'in Malloy and the 'RAT one-party rule of tax hikes and "sensible" gun laws. It's getting nearly impossible to live in this state...

[nutmeg]

I don’t know. PPP *is* a ‘RAT polling outfit, but they can be accurate. Unfortunately.

[campaignPete R-CT]

I wish I agreed.
Life behind the Iron Curtain hasn’t changed and we are in the middle of the left-wing full court press toward election day with no counter-balancing force in the media.

Greenberg got some good news today
http://courantblogs.com/investigative-reporting/claim-check-elizabeth-esty-misleads-on-social-security/

[Impy]

8 points when he’d been trailing, that’s a little hinky to me.

The Tribune had a poll that had Quinn up 11, ridiculous. That race had closed though, it’s close now.

“Greenberg”

I want that seat, who was the last conservative elected to Congress from CT?

[RightGeek]

Don’t know the answer to your question, but one nominee is Gary Franks - http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gary_Franks

[Impy]

Hmm, ACU lifetime rating, 82%.

I knew he was better than Shays and Johnson but I didn’t think it was that high.

[fieldmarshaldj]

Franks was pro-abort, unfortunately, not a Conservative position. There hasn’t been a bonafide Conservative from CT in better than decades.

[AuH2ORepublican]

We came very close to electing a conservative in the New Haven-based CT-03 in 1990 (DeLauro’s first election); Scott lost by, what, 3%?

[fieldmarshaldj]

Any Republican elected in that district would’ve lost in 1992 (like DeNardis did in 1982).

[BlackElk]

Probably the last serious social conservative Republican Congressman from CT was Tom Meskill elected in 1966 and 1968 who was then elected governor in 1970 over leftist Demonrat Emilio Q. "Mim" D'addario. Elected as an unapologetic conservative, Meskill nonetheless had the major flaw of getting the legislature to enact Connecticut's very first general income tax. Public rebellion forced its repeal in a special session before one nickel could be collected. It was left to Lowell Weicker to cram that tax down Connecticut's collective throat twenty years later by bullying and bribing (with good paying state jobs and whatnot) as many legislators as necessary.

Surprisingly, a more recent Democrat Congressman Bill Cotter who replaced D'Addario from the Hartford based district, though something of a liberal generally, was a very dependable pro-lifer and general social conservative. He served from 1971 until his death in 1981.

Tom Scott a five term state senator from a swing district, lost by 1,500 votes to the execrable Rosa DeLauro in 1990 when the New Haven area Third District fell vacant. I may be wrong but I think the votes totaled about 100,000 in which case, Tom lost by 1.5 % The New Haven Demonrat Machine stole more fraudulent absentee votes than that before the polls opened. Likewise West Haven Demonrats.

Tom was not only pro-life and opposed to all things lavender, but was strongly pro-military, a leader in English First, the #1 proponent of restoring the death penalty, the unparalleled anti-tax leader in the state, etc. He was also quite young, dropping out of college to take his seat in the state senate in 1981.

[BlackElk]

Yeah, but the Republican party organizations in most of the other 49 states are not chaired by brainless, unprincipled twits like Gerry Labriola, Jr.

[fieldmarshaldj]

Actually, Scott lost by 7,300 votes to DeLauro in 1990. (90,772 to 83,440 or 52.1-47.9%). It was largely the same margin DeNardis lost by in 1984 running against Bruce Morrison in a rematch. When Scott ran again in 1992, he lost by a margin of 66-34%, getting virtually the same amount of actual votes that he did in 1990 (85k vs. 83k), but DeLauro almost doubled her votes. Remarkable considering just how thoroughly vile an individual she is.

[fieldmarshaldj]

Labriola has nothing on the execrable Jennifer Nassour in MA.

[BlackElk]

Yeah, but I know Labriola and I don’t know Nassour, Whoever the Illinois GOP state chair may be, he/she is probably as bad but, totally anonymous. I listen to as many as 6 hours M-F of locally generated (in Chicago) conservative talk on WLS 890, Bruce Wolf and Dan Profft from 5 AM to 9AM and John Kass and Lauren Cohn 9AM to 11 AM. The Illinois GOP has a chairman in all likelihood, but I have not heard his/her name. Probably just as well. One less person to despise.

[fieldmarshaldj]

Nassour goes out of her way to ensure only far-left Socialists (either as left as or further to the left of Democrats) get nominated in MA and willfully obliterating or keeping off the ballot non-Socialists. Unquestionably the worst, most offensive GOP State Chair in the country.

[Impy]

http://www.ourcampaigns.com/RaceDetail.html?RaceID=33808

4 points. hard to imagine a close race in that district.

So this Scott guy was a State Senator, and ran for Governor in ‘94?

Our campaigns is confused because a same name rat ran against him for State Senate in 1988. They have the ‘88 rat running against De Lauro in 1990 and the State Senator running in 1992 (and getting crushed). I assume this is an error.

[BlackElk]

Tom Scott was the State Senator from the then competitive 14th District along the Long Island Sound shoreline and slightly inland west of New Haven (typically Milford, part of westernmost West Haven, Orange, Woodbridge, Derby). That district with some redistricting changes is now held by a woman named Schlossberg, a leftist Demonrat. Tom was elected in 1980 and served until the early days of 1991 when his last term expired. He had run against Rosa (My other car is a broom) DeLauro in 1990 and lost narrowly. The Demonrats got their act together and took Tom more seriously in 1992 and DeLauro won decisively as she has ever since.

In that district, in 1976, John Pucciano ran a close race against Robert Giaimo (first elected in 1958) in the 3rd District. When Giaimo retired in 1980, liberal Republican State Senator Larry DeNardis was elected as the only GOP Congressman since 1958, defeating then State Senate Majority Leader Joseph Lieberman who, was eventually elected to four terms in the U.s. Senate. DeNardis was defeated by Bruce Morrison in 1982 after a single term.

Tom Scott ran for governor as an independent candidate in 1994. Although he garnered some serious labor union support, (Food and Service Workers, Electrical Workers and others) and it took less than a week to petition him onto the ballot, Tom got about 15% of the vote. The winner was Republican John Rowland who was recently convicted of his second set of federal corruption charges, having been forced out as governor by a prison sentence during his third term.

"Our campaigns" is totally confused. However, they have Tom Scott being crushed by DeLauro (as he was) in 1992. They omitted the much closer 1990 race. DeLauro's predecessor was Democrat Congressman Bruce Morrison who ran for governor in 1990, lost, and never ran for office again. He had been Executive Director of New Haven Legal Assistance Association before being elected to Congress.

[BlackElk]

Granted that the vote stealing will continue in Bridgeport, New Haven and Hartford while Labriola sleeps peacefully oblivious of the fraud and uninterested, the Quinnipiac poll out today has this governor’s race has it as a dead heat.