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The numbers game: Stats give picture of Pope John Paul's pontificate
Catholic News Service ^ | May 7, 2006 | John Thavis

Posted on 05/07/2006 3:41:01 PM PDT by NYer

VATICAN CITY (CNS) -- Under Pope John Paul II's 26-year papacy, the Catholic Church grew by 45 percent, struggled to replace priests and religious, and experienced a significant "graying" of its hierarchy, according to statistics released recently by the Vatican.

In a sense, the statistics complete a by-the-numbers portrait of Pope John Paul's pontificate. They cover the period from 1978, the year of his election, through the end of 2004, three months before he died.

The worldwide Catholic population increased by 342 million during that time, from 757 million to just under 1.1 billion.

That sounds huge, but it was actually slightly less than the rate of general population increase. As a result, Catholics as a percentage of the world population decreased from about 18 percent in 1978 to about 17.2 percent at the end of 2004.

The continent-by-continent numbers are more significant than the global totals, confirming the church's demographic shift to the developing world.

The church in Africa grew by 172 percent under Pope John Paul, increasing from about 12 percent to 17 percent of the African population. By the end of 2004, Africans represented about 14 percent of Catholics worldwide, compared to 7 percent in 1978.

The number of Catholics in North and South America, where about half the church's members live, increased about 50 percent, virtually the same as the general population growth.

Europe showed signs of stagnation. The Catholic population there increased by 13 million in the first 10 years of Pope John Paul's papacy, but over the last 16 years declined by more than 650,000. The overall European growth rate under Pope John Paul was 4.6 percent, the lowest by far of any continent.

The number of Catholics in Asia increased nearly 80 percent over the same period. The fact that Catholics still represent only 2.9 percent of the total Asian population explains why many Vatican officials see the continent as the great frontier of evangelization.

Oceania's tiny Catholic population managed to increase more than 50 percent under Pope John Paul, slightly more than the general population increase.

When it came to priests, the Vatican statistics highlighted the "good news, bad news" picture that typified Pope John Paul's papacy. The good news was that the number of seminarians increased 77 percent from 1978 to 2004, with the greatest jumps in Africa, 304 percent, and Asia, 153 percent.

The bad news was that the number of priests worldwide has decreased about 3.5 percent since 1978 -- and with the Catholic population up 45 percent, that means the average pastoral workload is much heavier. The Vatican called the global figures "rather disappointing."

If church officials are looking for a silver lining in those numbers, they may find it in the fact that over the last 16 years the number of diocesan priests has increased by 11,634, reversing a trend. The number of religious-order priests continues to decline, however.

Europe showed the greatest drop in the number of total priests, losing 20 percent under Pope John Paul. North America dropped 13 percent, South America gained 29 percent, Africa was up 84 percent and Asia up 74 percent. In the United States, the total number of diocesan and religious priests dropped nearly 20 percent in the period 1978-2004.

The Vatican also examined the numbers of priesthood candidates in relation to the Catholic population and found "greater dynamism" in Africa and Asia, which have more than 150 seminarians for every 1 million Catholics. Europe had 84 seminarians and North and South America about 67 for every 1 million Catholics.

The statistics confirmed two other widely known trends under Pope John Paul: the sharp decline in the number of women religious -- down about 23 percent, from 991,000 to 767,000 -- and the sharp increase in permanent deacons, up about 480 percent, from 5,500 to 32,000.

Not so widely known has been the aging of the episcopate, which was detailed for the first time by the Vatican.

Pope John Paul II appointed a great number of new bishops in his 26 years, and by the end of 2004 had increased the total number of bishops to nearly 4,800, about 29 percent more than in 1978. Africa led the way, with an increase of 46 percent in the number of bishops.

One might expect that, especially with a greater number of Third World bishops, the average age would have decreased. In fact, during the period 1978-2004 the average age of bishops increased more than 5 years, from 62 to 67.4 years, the Vatican said.

The oldest episcopate is in Europe, where the average age of bishops is now above 69. In North and South America, bishops average 67.8 years of age, in Oceania 67 and in Africa 63.6.

The Vatican said another indicator of the same phenomenon was the number of bishops age 65 or older, which rose from 39 percent worldwide in 1978 to 59 percent in 2004. In Europe, 64 percent of today's bishops are over 65.

But even in Africa, where some of the youngest church communities live, 46 percent of the bishops are now over 65, compared to only 22 percent in 1978. That trend may reverse itself as Africa's record numbers of Pope John Paul-era priests move into the age bracket from which new bishops are typically chosen.


TOPICS: Activism; Catholic; General Discusssion; History; Ministry/Outreach; Religion & Culture; Theology; Worship
KEYWORDS: jp2; karolwojtyla; pope; popejohnpaulii; popejp2

1 posted on 05/07/2006 3:41:05 PM PDT by NYer
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To: american colleen; Lady In Blue; Salvation; narses; SMEDLEYBUTLER; redhead; Notwithstanding; ...

2 posted on 05/07/2006 3:43:14 PM PDT by NYer (Discover the beauty of the Eastern Catholic Churches - freepmail me for more information.)
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To: NYer

The decline of monastic spirituality in the Western Church is one of the saddest legacies of the "Spirit of Vatican II"
because the monks and contemplative nuns are the backbone of the Church.

I pray for the revival of traditional monasticism and the revaluation of monasticism. Instead, many of the monastic orders have been polluted by the Modernist ethic of Thomas Merton, and the orders of nuns by feminism.


3 posted on 05/07/2006 3:50:43 PM PDT by pravknight (Christos Regnat, Christos Imperat, Christos Vincit)
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To: pravknight
The decline of monastic spirituality in the Western Church is one of the saddest legacies of the "Spirit of Vatican II" because the monks and contemplative nuns are the backbone of the Church.

I agree that the contemplative orders are the backbone of the Church but would not go so far as you to attribute their decline to VCII.

I pray for the revival of traditional monasticism and the revaluation of monasticism.

Your prayers are answered! There has been a revival of monasticism but not in the so called 'traditional' orders. Mother Angelica's order is contemplative. In fact, Arizona Bishop Olmstead approached Mother Angelica and asked her to send him a group of sisters to establish a monastery in the desert where they could pray for his diocese. She acceded to his request and sent 5 sisters. Since then, this branch, along with the founding order, has grown.


Bishop Olmsted with the Phoenix Phive
Bishop Olmsted has the wonderful gift of putting those with him very much at ease. We especially appreciated this as we nervously took to the stage to tape the Life on the Rock episode for EWTN.

READ MORE

And there are other orders that have formed under the pontificate of JPII. Unfortunately, I don't have links at this time.

4 posted on 05/07/2006 4:11:18 PM PDT by NYer (Discover the beauty of the Eastern Catholic Churches - freepmail me for more information.)
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To: NYer

The monastic orders reworked their constitutions after Vatican II and became drunk on the "Spirit of Vatican II."

There are some fine new orders. I will grant you that, but the Benedictines, Franciscans, etc., are a shadow of their former selves.


5 posted on 05/07/2006 4:17:21 PM PDT by pravknight (Christos Regnat, Christos Imperat, Christos Vincit)
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To: pravknight

I tend to think that, rather than the "spirit of Vatican II" being the pollutant, that the people swept up in liberalism and relativism infected the Church and used V II as their excuse. In other words it wasn't a misunderstanding of Vatican II, but a purposeful injection of ideas designed to hijack the Church. Unfortunately a complacent, catechistically ignorant, and sometimes lazy laity was easy prey.


6 posted on 05/07/2006 4:39:12 PM PDT by visualops (America... www.visualops.com ...is not just a job site.)
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To: pravknight
And what are the stats for the Orthodox Church, the Protestant Church, etc.

I would make a wild guess that compared to world population they all diminished in numbers.

BTW, did you see the thread about the Muslims losing membership and converting to Christianity? Can't find it right now.

7 posted on 05/07/2006 4:49:59 PM PDT by Salvation (†With God all things are possible.†)
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To: Salvation
Here are some threads about growth in the Catholic Church as well as in Christianity in general.

Catholic, Mormon, and Pentecostal Churches Fastest Growing
This Year's Intake (the newest members of the Tiber Swim Team)

Thousands to Join Catholic Church Holy Saturday
This Catholic church is born again (Evangelical approach helps attendance soar)
400 local (Palm Beach) Catholic converts enter new faith
Baptism of adults increasing steadily in France
The number of young parishioners growing in the Russian Church
There Is a Catholic Oasis in Dubai. And Another Has Sprung Up in Venice

Six million African Muslims leave Islam per year

8 posted on 05/07/2006 4:52:56 PM PDT by Salvation (†With God all things are possible.†)
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To: Salvation

The Orthodox, to quote Fr. Alexander FC Webster, of the Orthodox Church in America are a "disorganized religion," they're not particularly good at keeping track of their figures.

However, the Antiochian Archdiocese and the Russian Orthodox Church Outside Russia have attracted a lot of Protestant converts in the U.S.


9 posted on 05/07/2006 8:32:39 PM PDT by pravknight (Christos Regnat, Christos Imperat, Christos Vincit)
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To: pravknight

I dare say all these churches are growing. Stats or no stats. People are searching.


10 posted on 05/07/2006 9:41:35 PM PDT by Salvation (†With God all things are possible.†)
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