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Arnold Looks to Recover From Dip in Poll
AP ^ | 10/6/03 | DON THOMPSON,

Posted on 10/06/2003 12:16:02 PM PDT by Jean S

Arnold Schwarzenegger struggled to put sexual harassment allegations behind him Monday as a new poll indicated some voters were having second thoughts about recalling Gov. Gray Davis (news - web sites).

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AP Photo


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"The campaign is not losing momentum," Schwarzenegger spokeswoman Karen Hanretty told CBS' "The Early Show." A four-day bus tour of the state that Schwarzenegger concluded in Sacramento on Sunday had drawn thousands of enthusiastic supporters.

A poll of 1,000 registered voters, conducted by Elway-McGuire Research for Knight Ridder from Wednesday through Saturday, found the percentage of people saying they would definitely vote to oust Davis dropped from 52 percent Wednesday to 44 percent Saturday. The poll had an overall margin of error of 3 percentage points, but the margin of error for individual days was not given.

The poll also showed Schwarzenegger's lead over Lt. Gov. Cruz Bustamante to replace Davis narrowing slightly from an earlier survey.

On Monday, the last full day of campaigning, Schwarzenegger planned campaign stops in San Jose, Huntington Beach and San Bernardino. Davis was to appear in Sacramento, San Francisco and Los Angeles, while Bustamante planned appearances in Los Angeles, Oakland and San Francisco.

The shift in support for the recall followed allegations from 15 women that Schwarzenegger had groped and verbally harassed them during encounters dating to the early 1970s and as recently as 2000.

Schwarzenegger, who has acknowledged and apologized for having "behaved badly" toward women in the past, blamed the allegations on last-minute dirty campaign tricks and said some of them are flatly untrue. He has not discussed most of the allegations specifically and said he won't until after the campaign.

"I can get into all of the specifics and find out what is really going on. But right now, I'm just really occupied with the campaign," he told "Dateline NBC" on Sunday.

He told ABC's "This Week" on Sunday that he couldn't remember many details connected to allegations going back more than 15 years but said they could have been true.

"It doesn't make any sense to go through details here with you. What is important is that I cannot remember what was happening 20 years ago, 15 years ago. But some of the things sound like me, which I was the first one to come out and say, you know, some of the things could have happened, I want to apologize to the people if I have offended anyone because that was not my intention," he said.

"No one ever came to me in my life and said to me that I did anything, that said 'I don't want you to do that. You went over the line, Arnold.'"

Lt. Gov. Cruz Bustamante, who began Monday at a rally in East Los Angeles, said he believed the sexual harassment allegations were hurting Schwarzenegger's campaign.

"I think this is a very serious situation that we have right now and, you know, one surprise after another with this guy. I think we've probably had one too many surprises," he said after addressing a rally of about 100 supporters, including Christine Chavez, the granddaughter of the late United Farmworkers union co-founder Cesar Chavez.

State Sen. Tom McClintock told MSNBC on Monday that he remained skeptical of the allegations because they came so close to the election.

"The conduct that is alleged is reprehensible, and I'm afraid the voters are just going to have to sort through the facts as best they can in the days remaining," he said.

Hanretty didn't answer directly when asked if any of the women had lied. Instead, she accused the Los Angeles Times, which first broke the story of the allegations, of not investigating their claims thoroughly.

"Excuse me, but the L.A. Times failed to investigate a lot of these women," she said, adding that at least one of the women had contributed to independent candidate Arianna Huffington's campaign.

 

On Sunday, Davis demanded that Schwarzenegger give a full explanation of the allegations before Tuesday's vote, and Attorney General Bill Lockyer, a Democrat, said the Republican actor should volunteer for a state investigation whether or not he is elected governor.

Lockyer also noted the one-year statute of limitations for sexual battery has expired on all the complaints.

Schwarzenegger spokesman Rob Stutzman accused Lockyer of engaging in the sort of "puke politics" the attorney general had earlier warned Davis to avoid.

Davis used the power of incumbency to create news Sunday, signing a law making California the largest state to require employer-paid health care for an estimated nearly 1.1 million working Californians currently without job-based coverage.

After the "Dateline" segment aired, two of the women who claim Schwarzenegger harassed them said they were upset the actor said some of the accounts were fictional.

"That incensed me," said Colette Brooks, who claims Schwarzenegger grabbed her buttocks when she was a 23-year-old intern at CNN in the early 1980s. "He's dodging any sort of culpability. He's dodging these allegations."

The Knight Ridder poll that was completed Saturday showed Schwarzenegger leading Bustamante in the race to replace Davis by 36 percent to 29 percent. An earlier poll by the Field Research Corp. put his lead at 36 percent to 26 percent.

Although those definitely planning to vote to oust Davis had slipped to 44 percent, among overall voters surveyed the margin supporting the recall was still 54 percent.

Pollsters surveyed 1,000 registered voters, including 284 people on Wednesday and 200 on Saturday. The margin of error for individual days was not given.

___

Associated Press writers Erica Werner, Beth Fouhy, Paul Chavez and Seth Hettena contributed to this


TOPICS: Front Page News; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: California
KEYWORDS: poll
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1 posted on 10/06/2003 12:16:02 PM PDT by Jean S
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To: JeanS
Trying to talk it down...?
2 posted on 10/06/2003 12:17:03 PM PDT by Eala (If used-car salesmen misrepresented cars the way the press does truth, they'd be jailed.)
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To: JeanS
Oops. I thought this said "Arnold Looks to Recover From Dip in Pool". my bad...
3 posted on 10/06/2003 12:18:10 PM PDT by Chad Fairbanks (My idea of housework is to sweep the room with a glance.)
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To: All
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4 posted on 10/06/2003 12:19:05 PM PDT by Support Free Republic (Your support keeps Free Republic going strong!)
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To: Eala
Media trying to surpress the vote...
5 posted on 10/06/2003 12:19:27 PM PDT by Dog
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To: JeanS
I hope Gray Davis gets sent packing on Tuesday.
6 posted on 10/06/2003 12:22:16 PM PDT by afuturegovernor
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To: JeanS
doesnt matter the time is here.

We will know in less than 24 hours
7 posted on 10/06/2003 12:27:32 PM PDT by hapy
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To: JeanS
If Californians vote to keep that lying sack of s***, Gray Davis, the most corrupt politician in America, they deserve the fiscal and political oppression they get.
8 posted on 10/06/2003 12:29:12 PM PDT by My2Cents (Well...there you go again.)
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To: JeanS
Arnold Looks to Recover From Dip in Poll

Or: How the media is hopelessly trying to sawy an unswayable election

9 posted on 10/06/2003 12:31:48 PM PDT by El Conservador ("No blood for oil!"... Then don't drive, you moron!!!)
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To: Tamsey; Tempest; onyx; My2Cents; EggsAckley; Victoria Delsoul; kattracks; PhiKapMom; ...
More crap about Schwarzenegger "struggling" to deal with this issue, when it's the AP, Reuters, NYT, LAT and other Usual Suspects "struggling" to MAKE it an issue and to hope everyone doesn't notice that they are failing to report that DEMOS DO THIS EVERY TIME!

Dan
10 posted on 10/06/2003 12:33:43 PM PDT by BibChr ("...behold, they have rejected the word of the LORD, so what wisdom is in them?" [Jer. 8:9])
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To: JeanS
Hard to recover from a LEAD, isn't it? Arnold may not win, Davis may not be recalled - but so far that's not what the polls say. Did anybody see the ABC This Week interviews with Davis and Arnold? The Arnold interviewer was all over him, implying that even the Hitler story was true. Now to the Davis interview, first question: "Governor Davis, what does it say about us as Americans that we would consider electing a movie star to the governorship?"
11 posted on 10/06/2003 12:34:21 PM PDT by Williams
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To: JeanS
The Knight Ridder poll

If they did the poll and it didn't come up curtains for Arnie, he's probably a shoo-in. I'm not sure he's the right one for the job, but when compared to Davis or Bustamante, he looks like a pretty good deal.

12 posted on 10/06/2003 12:39:58 PM PDT by trebb
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To: BibChr
"DEMOS DO THIS EVERY TIME!"

I'm sick to death of libs playing this game all the time too. I'm just trying to get everyone I know to vote for Arnold. Most were already planning to. Now I just need to beat them over the head to make sure that they actually do go out and vote on election day ;)

13 posted on 10/06/2003 12:40:02 PM PDT by Tempest (9th inning of a winning game and you guys are still whining to trade pitchers?!)
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To: El Conservador
Naw, just trying to "sell papers", as they used to put it in the old days. I remember the media stories from thirty years ago trying to make the Nixon-McGovern race look like it was "narrowing".

The more people who believe in the certainty of a particular outcome, the less are interested in following it in the media. Me, I'm looking forward to Greyout's concession speech. I just don't expect to hear it Tuesday night.

14 posted on 10/06/2003 12:41:37 PM PDT by hunter112
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To: JeanS
I think we've probably had one too many surprises
Cruz Bustamante said.

No, Cruz. I think your biggest surprise will be tomorrow when you see just how many Californians are more repulsed by YOU.

15 posted on 10/06/2003 12:42:54 PM PDT by b9
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To: BibChr
More crap about Schwarzenegger "struggling" to deal with this issue

They also like to use the word "dogged"..

16 posted on 10/06/2003 12:45:00 PM PDT by ambrose
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To: JeanS
A poll of 1,000 registered voters, conducted by Elway-McGuire Research for Knight Ridder from Wednesday through Saturday, found the percentage of people saying they would definitely vote to oust Davis dropped from 52 percent Wednesday to 44 percent Saturday.

What I find curious is that the media keeps mentioning this fact over and over but then fails to mention that those planning to "definitely vote no" on the recall also fell to 33% in Saturday's polling, from the previous high of 38% on Friday. Why does the media keep ignoring this fact?

Source: http://www.bayarea.com/mld/cctimes/news/special_packages/davis_recall/6934728.htm

17 posted on 10/06/2003 12:50:18 PM PDT by ambrose
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To: JeanS
I'll be glad when tomorrow's over. Sheeeeeeesh.
18 posted on 10/06/2003 12:51:27 PM PDT by Saundra Duffy (For victory & freedom!!!)
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To: afuturegovernor
I hope Gray Davis gets sent packing on Tuesday.

Tom McClintock is doing everything in his power to keep Gray Davis in power. He is a real p.o.s.

19 posted on 10/06/2003 12:52:14 PM PDT by montag813 (Fire Tenet...Jail Joseph Wilson...Rally 'Round Our President, Dammit!!!)
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To: Williams
Did anybody see the ABC This Week interviews with Davis and Arnold? The Arnold interviewer was all over him, implying that even the Hitler story was true.

Whoever told Arnold to do ANY of these interviews is a complete imbicile. you don't do interviews when you have a lead. It can only hurt you. That is what I tell all my clients. IDIOTS!

20 posted on 10/06/2003 12:54:18 PM PDT by montag813 (Fire Tenet...Jail Joseph Wilson...Rally 'Round Our President, Dammit!!!)
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