HURRICANE ISABEL (13L) WARNING NR 034

NAVLANTMETOCCEN NORFOLK VA. ^ | Sun Sep 14 19:26:56 2003 | Naval Atlantic Meterorlogy and Oceanography Center

[Timesink]

Why I oughta...

[Rain-maker]

 

</DIV

[Rain-maker]

Most do turn east into the Atlantic at this latitude, they call them fish when they do. It is a matter of timing and how far south the frontal boundry extends in the US on whether it effects the path of tropical systems.

Also large storms like Isabel generate their own high pressure zone to the north of them and this can stall out approaching fronts. Thus letting the hurricane continue a western trajectory.

[Trust but Verify]

I'm praying it misses you and your lovely family.

[11th_VA]

Might see some cheap property for sale in the Tidewater area tomorrow, especially on Willoughby Spit. It's on the coast right after you go thru the Hampton Tunnel. (Tunnel goes under the channel so ships from Norfolk can get to sea.)


1749 October 19 - Tremendous hurricane. A sand spit of 800 acres was washed up and with the help of a hurricane in 1806 it became Willoughby Spit. The Bay rose 15 feet above normal.


PS - 100 knot winds that far inland would be incredible. I've waited all my life for this one...

[11th_VA]

Here's a track of Gloria from 1985, the 13th costliest hurricane to hit the states at the time..

[tob2]

It's a large, dangerous storm. Remember what happened when Hurricane Floyd stormed through? It flooded inland and the evacuation routes were flooded too. I plan on staying put as I'm not near the oceanfront.

[KC Burke]

From your map it looks like I ought to visit Lake Erie with my surf board. LOL

[JOHANNES801]

Way to go,you must have really messed up Battle Axe.

[Rain-maker]

Well if that's the case I live in the desert, so I'll take a hurricane...LOL.

On to Valhalla...

[Moonman62]

Also large storms like Isabel generate their own high pressure zone to the north of them and this can stall out approaching fronts.

Wouldn't it also create high pressure to the south to balance that out?

[NittanyLion]

Any idea what the current track would do to Richmond? How much wind could we see?

[Rain-maker]

Hurricane is a low pressure zone. The creation of a high pressure zone is already the balance.

[11th_VA]

Any idea what the current track would do to Richmond? How much wind could we see?

That one chart shows 100 kt winds inland - I can't believe it. The 'safest' side of a Hurricane would be the SW quadrant (less winds) so Richmond could be OK. But a storm 4 days out could go almost anywhere.

[NittanyLion]

That one chart shows 100 kt winds inland - I can't believe it.

Nor can I. My assumption was in the range of 50 MPH...but some of these charts show double that...

[SamAdams76]

Actually hurricanes (and other storms) are necessary to regulate atmospheric pressure. Those storms help the earth "let off steam" in much the same way a boiling tea kettle lets out steam. Otherwise, we would have catastrophic consequences (not that a Cat 5 hurricane isn't catastrophic but it could be far worse).

Thus, even if we had the ability to weaken hurricanes, it probably wouldn't be a good idea.

[biss5577]

Well, not to sound simple, but I live in Annapolis and am a bit nervous. Wouldn't the storm loose some steam from being on land and colder waters? I guess it's time to stock up.

[11th_VA]

I guess it's time to stock up.

Just don't buy any 'Frozen' foods. We could see alot of hundred year old trees fall if this is the 100 year storm...