The Poll The Media Will Not Conduct in California

August 31, 2003 | Allan J. Favish

[AJFavish]

The media and many Republicans are telling us that only Arnold can beat Cruz and unless we vote for Arnold, Cruz will win. Even people who state publicly and privately that they think McClintock is the best person for the job. But this kind of talk is a self-fulfilling prophecy and will doom McClintock by keeping down in the polls because nobody is asking the right question needed to gauge the real support for McClintock. If the right question was asked, I think McClintock would do great in that poll and that will turn the tide of his candidacy.

Somebody has to do a major credible poll, and fast, that asks a question like the following:

Among the candidates running to replace Gray Davis as Governor, who do you think would be the best Governor, without regard to who you think will win and without regard to trying to defeat any particular candidate?

Regards,

Allan J. Favish
http://www.allanfavish.com

[Amerigomag]

The media and many Republicans are telling us that only Arnold can beat Cruz and unless we vote for Arnold, Cruz will win.

Not withstanding the rapidly increasing percentage of Hispanics within the California electorate, there is sufficient cultural bigotry within the state, aggravated by the illegal alien issue, that Bustamante has, at the very least, an uphill battle.

[goldstategop]

Large Breasts in all the polls gets just 35% of the vote. He should be over the top by now in a state where Democrats have 45% of the electorate.

[Servant of the Nine]

Who cares who they think would be best regardless of winning.
Reagan or Elvis would probably win this poll.

Who will you vote for to win is all that matters in this race.

SO9

[South40]

Don't kid yourself. Liberals aren't bothered in the least by the illegal alien issue. Their "more the merrier" attitude is reinforced by the thought that an increase in the population of the collective can only help their party. If they can make these people citizens they'll surely one day vote democRAT.

[DoctorZIn]

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[daviddennis]

This is an unusual situation, though.

* Many people in the middle may blame the Democratic party for the Davis fiasco - and they'll be right.

* 35% of the vote might win this one, with 134 other candidates, including at least two others with over 10%.

* Nobody knows much about Bustamante, and the consensus based on what we do know appears to be that he's not terribly bright and certainly not up to fixing our problems.

D

[Mind-numbed Robot]

Liberals aren't bothered in the least by the illegal alien issue. Their "more the merrier" attitude is reinforced by the thought that an increase in the population of the collective can only help their party. If they can make these people citizens they'll surely one day vote democRAT.

If Davis and the Dems give the illegals drivers licenses isn't it just one short step from drivers license to registered voter? I think that is the plan.

[John Valentine]

The questiuon you want to pose is of NO interest to pollers, and for good reason.

It is totally hypothetical and unrelated to actual voter behavior.

That's why it is of no interest to me either. Heck, without concern for reality, I think that Walter Williams would make a bang-up Governor.

[RJayneJ]

McClintock voters are important to help put the first question concerning the recall of Davis over the top, so he does not stay in office.

[AJFavish]

The questiuon you want to pose is of NO interest to pollers, and for good reason.

It is totally hypothetical and unrelated to actual voter behavior.

That's why it is of no interest to me either. Heck, without concern for reality, I think that Walter Williams would make a bang-up Governor.

Walter Williams is not "Among the candidates running to replace Gray Davis as Governor" so that would not be responsive to the question. The point of the question is to see if a plurality of the people polled would like to see McClintock as Governor. With the present polls, we don't know the answer to that question because people are basing their answers on who can beat somebody else. If McClintock has the strong support I suspect he has, then the results of this poll will make people realize that the person they most want as Governor can also win if they would just vote for him!

[Rabid Dog]

I remember very clearly that Prop. 187 was never, ever going to pass - even on election day.

And it passed - with a 60% majority.

[heleny]

If Davis and the Dems give the illegals drivers licenses isn't it just one short step from drivers license to registered voter? I think that is the plan.

I guess I've never understood this issue. Clinton's motor-voter law required the DMV to provide voter registration application forms with drivers license application forms. You don't need the latter to apply to vote; you just have to provide name/birthdate/address and sign an oath that you're a citizen.

Obviously illegal aliens should be deported, not given drivers licenses that establish (illegal) residency and help them pretend to be legally here. But, how do the licenses help illegal aliens vote in CA, where pollworkers do not check voters' ID?

[Mind-numbed Robot]

Perhaps the idea is that by authorizing drivers licenses for illegals that will encourage thousands of them to go to DMV for the licenses and while there they will be encouraged to fill out the voters registration cards. Most will have been prepped as to what to do. Then, bingo! A bonanza of new Democrats.

[Susannah]

Perhaps the idea is that by authorizing drivers licenses for illegals that will encourage thousands of them to go to DMV for the licenses and while there they will be encouraged to fill out the voters registration cards. Most will have been prepped as to what to do. Then, bingo! A bonanza of new Democrats.

You've got the idea! - - - And, always remind them WHO gave them this privilege.

[John Valentine]

I accept your point about Walter Williams, too bad he's not on the list.

But still, this kind of question is really not normally included in objective polling.

Now, in push polling, that is turned right round and this kind of question is de rigeur, as the intent of the poll is not to try to discover voter intent, but to influence voter thinking.

And that's what you are after, too. You want to give people some motive for pushing the McClintock candidacy. That may well be a delightful prospect for a McClintock supporter, and a strategic objective of the McClintock campaign, but it certainly is not an agenda item for a "objective" polling organization.

[Yaelle]

Allen, with all due respect, I am not sure McClintock would be the best governor. He is / sounds like a great conservative, but my DH had some communications with him years ago and ended up with Tom falling from grace in his eyes. He may not be as much of an achiever as a talker. He also seems to have a little mean streak apparent in the campaign. It really gets him and us nowhere when he spends whole interviews bashing Arnold and not Cruz.

I think McClintock supporters just might be wearing rosy sunglasses, and the glint off of Arnold's past might be blinding everyone. The man has achieved everything he set out to achieve. He is not pretending to be a Republican; he really means it even if he is to the center side of the party. Life would be much easier for him if he were a Democrat, both personally and business-wise. He had no qualms about sticking to his party through THIN. I am going to give him my vote.

[calcowgirl]

Easy quiz.
Answer: McClintock