Posted on 05/15/2024 8:18:50 AM PDT by SJackson
On Nov. 5, 2023, the New York Times published a story headlined, “Trump Leads in 5 Critical States as Voters Blast Biden, Times/Siena Poll Finds.” Focusing on the states most likely to decide the 2024 election, the Times reported, “The results show Mr. Biden is losing to Mr. Trump, his likeliest Republican rival, by margins of four to 10 percentage points among registered voters in Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada and Pennsylvania. Mr. Biden is ahead only in Wisconsin, by two percentage points, the poll found.”
The story set off a mass freakout in the Democratic Party. A Biden Justice Department-appointed prosecutor had indicted Trump twice, and Democratic prosecutors in New York and Georgia had indicted Trump two more times — and the former president was still leading Biden in the most important 2024 states? How could that be? The poll led to an unusually intense round of the usual fretting over Biden’s age, the state of the economy, the border and the rest of the president’s liabilities.
Fast-forward six months to May 13, 2024 — Monday. The Times published a story headlined, “Trump Leads in 5 Key States, as Young and Nonwhite Voters Express Discontent With Biden.” A new poll showed Biden trailing in the same states by nearly the same margin as the old poll. Compare this sentence with the one from six months ago: “The surveys … found that Mr. Trump was ahead of Mr. Biden in five of six key states: Michigan, Arizona, Nevada, Georgia and Pennsylvania. Mr. Biden led among registered voters in only one battleground state, Wisconsin.”
Think about it. In the past six months, Biden has traveled the country, touting what he believes are his economic accomplishments. He has spent zillions of dollars on advertising, focusing specifically on the key states. And at the same time, Trump was either preparing to go on trial or, since April 15, actually on trial in New York, facing a maximum of 136 years in prison. And Biden is still unable to catch Trump.
Last month, CNN reported that from March 6, the day after Super Tuesday, through April 21, “Biden’s campaign and other Democratic advertisers spent $27.2 million on advertising for the presidential race, while the Trump campaign and GOP advertisers spent about $9.3 million, according to AdImpact data. The Biden campaign’s ad spending has included millions in key battleground states such as Michigan ($4.1 million), Pennsylvania ($3.9 million), Arizona ($2.5 million), Wisconsin ($2.2 million) and Georgia ($2.2 million). The Biden network has used its plentiful airtime to promote the administration’s first-term record and to slam Trump, focusing on key issues such as the cost of living and abortion rights.”
Biden has also built his campaign schedule around trips to the key states. Meanwhile, Trump has had to squeeze in campaign events between time spent in a Manhattan courtroom. Trump has directed lots of contributions that could have financed campaigning into legal expenses instead. And he is obviously distracted; being on trial for a maximum of 136 years in prison will do that. And yet, Trump leads Biden in the states that will determine who wins the presidency.
Look at the Electoral College map. To win, Trump will need to hold all the states he won in 2020, which probably won’t be a problem. Then he will need to win at least some of the states in the Sun Belt, which turn out to be the states in which he has the biggest leads in the latest Times poll: 10 points in Georgia, 7 points in Arizona and 12 points in Nevada. Then, Trump will need to win just one of the upper tier of states — Pennsylvania, Michigan or Wisconsin. In the Times poll, Trump is ahead by 3 points in Pennsylvania and 7 points in Michigan. It is only in Wisconsin, as it was last November, that Biden is ahead, by a mere 2 points.
For months, Democrats had hoped that the specter of Trump on trial would cut into the former president’s support. Now we are in week five of the trial, with wall-to-wall media coverage, and it appears to have not affected Trump’s support at all. Obviously, that means Democrats are now praying especially hard that Trump will be convicted. Then they can create ads labeling Trump a “convicted felon” and hope that at least a few Trump voters will abandon the former president.
Maybe that will happen. But Biden’s position is becoming quite serious. As RealClearPolitics analyst Sean Trende wrote recently, “the political science literature is pretty consistent that this is the time when the electorate’s views about the election start to harden, particularly with respect to the economy.” Yes, the Democratic dream that a prosecutor will save Biden is still alive, but the president’s situation looks more difficult every day.
It is a battle between two dreams - the Democratic dream that a prosecutor will save Biden, vs the conservative dream that the polls are correct. Neither is true.
“...A mass freakout in the Democratic Party...”
$5 says that isn’t happening.
The Nov 5th Vote cheating/corruption/lying/stealing will dwarf 202’s election theft. 4 more years of Obummer/Bidet&Co will finish-off our America.
Biden just told the world the cheat is on for 2024 using illegal votes to get them over the top. He told us in 2020 too, but I guess we didn’t listen.
If the Obama sock puppet dementia patient cannot keep it together much longer even as pretend reading from a teleprompter or hearing device, they will find a way to seat in a Hillary, Gavin, Michelle as VP and quietly stand them into place.
Believe nothing you are about to see in the coming months, it is all scripted lies from the Father of lies.
BTTT
They’ll think of something. They always do. They’re smarter than us.
Yes, right you are.
“They’ll think of something. They always do. They’re smarter than us.”
BS. They have no ethics. They have no problem with hypocrisy. They are emotionally driven animals.
Illegal alien votes...
Well played.
..ethics & hypocrisy are among all individuals ..
Make the best of what you have and can do. Don’t
spend a lot of your time fretting over it. jmo
Did Biden’s Jewish donors demand he restart arms shipments to Israel or their generous funding of the DNC and Democrat candidates will be stopped? (Source: America’s Defense Consortium)
BACKSTORY: George Soros has expressed outright hostility to Israel and Zionism time and time again. It’s no secret. So to discover Soros, is, in fact, one of the largest donors to one of the Israeli lobbies-—— the J Street lobby-—— is a revelation.
James Besser at The New York Jewish Week: “There’s no way this isn’t going to make US politicians supported by J Street (and those who may be considering accepting its endorsement) incredibly nervous. Instead of providing protection for politicians they supported, Israel’s J Street lobby essentially hung them out to dry by lying about their connection to the controversial moneyman Soros.”
News of the Soros J Street donation was accompanied by disclosures about a larger, and stranger , donation, by a resident of Hong Kong.
Congress prepares to vote another billion to Israel: now J Street supporters on Capitol Hill are worried that the organization is using foreign money to provide money to American political candidates, and encouraging foreigners to support Israeli funding in US legislation.
The scandal grows from a decision by Jeremy Ben-Ami, founder and president of J Street, to cover-up, over a long period of time, something he knew to be true: That George Soros, the billionaire moneyman and self-avowed dissident of Israel, provided the Israeli J Street Lobby with
almost $750,000 in funding.
An Atlantic reporter, Chris Good, was one of the journalists lied to by J Street; he ripped the organization a new one once he learned he was the target of J Street’s disinformation campaign.
the conservative dream that the polls are correct. “
If anything the polls underestimate Trump’s support but.. the rats really feel that they need to cheat at an entirely new level to save the country. These deluded fools believe this so they will. As you know the Wi rat drop boxes are returning in Wi. That is just one example of many.
Also, we will conveniently have another pandemic.
What troubles is Trump facing?
Trump should just respond “OK mister tough guy- we’ll debate- but NO RULES - especially not your pansy-ass rules about no audience and only CNN and ABC and their liberal hosts can moderate”
The various lawsuits and their impact on his campaign finances and campaigning. Just because he’s handling them well, ironically they may be benefitting him, doesn’t mean they’re not troubles.
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