Posted on 06/13/2022 4:37:32 AM PDT by McGruff
To anyone standing on a hilltop in Lysychansk, it is clear why this city that is soon to be the focal point of Russia’s offensive in Ukraine’s east seems defendable: it’s on high ground.
Across the sprawling plains of Ukraine’s Donbas region, which is home to Lysychansk, elevation is a rarity, leaving the city’s Ukrainian defenders in an advantageous position.
But it will be impossible to defend Lysychansk, whose pre-war population was around 100,000 people, without a way to get in the necessary supplies: ammunition for Ukrainian tanks and artillery, food and equipment for the thousands of troops garrisoned there.
(Excerpt) Read more at nytimes.com ...
The Russian objective is not so much to take ground as to destroy Ukrainian military units.
If they can surround and kill another 10,000 in Lysychansk, they will happily do so.
“If they can surround and kill another 10,000 in Lysychansk, they will happily do so.”
One of my sources was saying that the Russians were idiots to not first encircle them there, as they were Ukraine’s best troops and would simply withdraw to the west of the country and then train the hordes of new recruits. But given what’s going on there, I’d say Russia knew they would be forced to fight to the death there.
Yep, Russians changed strategy from aggressive mobility to a slow pressure campaign. It seems to be working so far. Ukraine does effectively have all the surveillance NATO can offer, so rapid advances are spotted and countered effectively by Ukraine. Plan B for Russia appears to be an artillery meat grinder. I think Ukraine’s refusal to do tactical retreats is helping the Russians. Leaving men to perish in doomed campaigns seems really stupid to me, but I’m far from an expert.
The ZSU lacks dedicated long endurance artillery drones, severely limiting their artillery effectiveness doing counter battery fire. Also limiting them is the scarcity of shells; the Orcs fire 50,000 shells, the ZSU fires back 2,000.
The incoming US shells amount to only a few days of Orc shelling. The ZSU needs millions of shells and thousands of tubes to counter the massive amount of Orc artillery. Without the drones like the Orc’s Orlon-10, high precision shells are only hitting the few relatively close targets that commercial drones can reach.
Which side is more easily able to handle the attrition?
The Russian’s are in the same bind we were in Afghanistan, Iraq, and Vietnam. Generals boasting about kill stats while not realizing that the enemy has an infinite reserve of manpower.
“Plan B for Russia appears to be an artillery meat grinder”
The cannon is The Lord of Battle.
I bet if we give them another $40B, that will be enough to keep the supply lines open.
….and if it isn’t we can always try another $40B.
Unless the west is sacrificing the Ukrainian Army to make a dent on Russia.
“”and if it isn’t we can always try another $40B.””
Out of our bottomless bucket....sure why not? I can see the wheels spinning in the WH now!
Minus the big guys 10% cut.
It’s 12% now - the Putin Price Hike...
Oh gosh, the New York Times is so brilliant! Why didn't someone think of that before?
My bad for forgetting Bidenflation. Hunters coke usage and in home stripper exercise program have to be paid for. A parents work is never done.
Please provide links to Russian Generals “boasting about kill stats” in Ukraine. And also links demonstrating that the Ukrainian regime “has an infinite reserve of manpower”. I have never heard your unique perspective on this and am assuming that it is based on something other than fantasy.
Of course, recently you have also shared with us your astute observation that "your average 40 year old Russian looks like a 60 year old American...", so who am I to question your latest revelation?
Average 40 year old Russian
vs
Average 60 year old American
Except it hasn't been $40B, Brandon has been slow rolling Us support all the way.
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