[TexasGurl24]

His district has been rapidly trending to the right. I think he knows that he couldn’t hold it in 2022, so he bailed.

This should be a GOP pickup, particularly in an open seat.

[SpeedyInTexas]

Yep, NC01 will be a flip.

[kiryandil]

You should see how hard he had to work to win the district.

														Obama	Biden
														minus	div
		Obama		McCain	2008 total				Biden		Trump	2020 total		Joek	Obama
Bertie	65%	6,248	35%	3,338	9,608		Bertie	61%	5,939	39%	3,817	9,815		309	95%		1st CD
Edgecombe	67%	17,365	33%	8,416	25,863		Edgecombe	63%	16,089	36%	9,206	25,477		1,276	93%		1st CD
Gates	52%	2,827	47%	2,546	5,416		Gates	43%	2,546	56%	3,367	5,971		281	90%		1st CD
Greene	47%	3,774	53%	4,258	8,067		Greene	44%	3,832	56%	4,874	8,753		-58	102%		1st CD
Halifax	64%	15,726	36%	8,867	24,676		Halifax	60%	15,545	39%	10,080	25,759		181	99%		1st CD
Hertford	70%	7,479	29%	3,083	10,610		Hertford	67%	7,097	33%	3,479	10,634		382	95%		1st CD
Martin	52%	6,488	48%	5,914	12,447		Martin	47%	5,911	52%	6,532	12,540		577	91%		1st CD
Nash	49%	23,013	50%	23,660	46,964		Nash	50%	25,947	49%	25,827	52,271		-2,934	113%		1st CD
Northampton	65%	6,893	35%	3,662	10,599		Northampton	60%	6,069	39%	3,989	10,110		824	88%		1st CD
Pitt	54%	39,763	45%	33,429	73,648		Pitt	54%	47,252	45%	38,982	87,573		-7,489	119%		1st CD
Vance	63%	13,095	37%	7,584	20,778		Vance	59%	12,431	40%	8,391	20,999		664	95%		1st CD
Warren	69%	6,663	31%	2,992	9,701		Warren	62%	6,400	36%	3,752	10,293		263	96%		1st CD
Washington	58%	3,734	41%	2,667	6,437		Washington	55%	3,396	45%	2,781	6,205		338	91%		1st CD
Wayne	45%	22,507	54%	26,800	49,566		Wayne	44%	24,215	55%	30,709	55,537		-1,708	108%		1st CD
Wilson	52%	19,754	48%	18,338	38,256		Wilson	51%	20,754	48%	19,581	40,735		-1,000	105%		1st CD

[kiryandil]

anything over 90% in that table they had to GOTV hard.