Posted on 11/17/2021 3:03:12 PM PST by SpeedyInTexas
But he’ll vote for Socialism II first.
The smart rats jump first.
He has been winning with 65 to 75% til 2020 where he won with 54 % — hardly close. My understanding is the 2019 re-draw changes it to D+3 but I don’t doubt your D+1 for the new re-drawn boundaries.
As I just moved to this district I am enthusiastic that it will be an open seat but as the racial makeup is about equal and it was I the 1800s that I his district last elected a Repubby I am not holding my breath.
Perhaps if the Lt. Gov runs for Governor enough blacks could cross to elect a R congressman.
Robinson would be a fantastic Governor.
“Never heard of the turkey.”<<Mister Butterworth?A Black man who looks White.
Congressman Billy Bob
God rest his soul.
Don’t know why but this made me think of the Trap Range.
“Pull!”
Butterfield was Obama’s shadow.
But this mf'r delayed to prevent new NC residency.
Primary filing deadlines begin to toll on Dec. 6.
That pretty much leaves Sandy Smith, but if she is willing, she needs to get a committment from Trump that he will go all-in for her.
North Carolina's 1st congressional district consists of counties that border Virginia, and extending southward into several counties of the Inner Banks and Research Triangle regions.
It covers many rural areas of northeastern North Carolina, among the state's most economically poor, as well as outer exurbs of urbanized Research Triangle. It contains towns and cities such as Greenville, Rocky Mount, Wilson, Goldsboro, Henderson, and Roanoke Rapids.
Rocky Mount...
I used to drive 64 east frequently passing through Rocky Mount. For many years, on an overpass on that interstate was spray-painted - “Rocky Mount this town needs an enema”.
U.S. House election, 2020: North Carolina's 1st district Party Candidate Votes % Democratic George Kenneth Butterball Jr. 188,870 54.2 Republican Sandy Smith 159,758 45.8 Total votes 348,618 100.0
A lot of Blacks are pissed off about the vax and could very well be the keystone that turns the vote to R. And D1 is more of a country voter not feral urban types.
Butterfield’s district will definitely be in play in 2022. As an incumbent he won with <10% margin in 2020.
He really really had to work at it, too.
Also, no cowboy hats.
Obama | Biden | ||||||||||||||||
minus | div | ||||||||||||||||
Obama | McCain | 2008 total | Biden | Trump | 2020 total | Joek | Obama | ||||||||||
Bertie | 65% | 6,248 | 35% | 3,338 | 9,608 | Bertie | 61% | 5,939 | 39% | 3,817 | 9,815 | 309 | 95% | 1st CD | |||
Edgecombe | 67% | 17,365 | 33% | 8,416 | 25,863 | Edgecombe | 63% | 16,089 | 36% | 9,206 | 25,477 | 1,276 | 93% | 1st CD | |||
Gates | 52% | 2,827 | 47% | 2,546 | 5,416 | Gates | 43% | 2,546 | 56% | 3,367 | 5,971 | 281 | 90% | 1st CD | |||
Greene | 47% | 3,774 | 53% | 4,258 | 8,067 | Greene | 44% | 3,832 | 56% | 4,874 | 8,753 | -58 | 102% | 1st CD | |||
Halifax | 64% | 15,726 | 36% | 8,867 | 24,676 | Halifax | 60% | 15,545 | 39% | 10,080 | 25,759 | 181 | 99% | 1st CD | |||
Hertford | 70% | 7,479 | 29% | 3,083 | 10,610 | Hertford | 67% | 7,097 | 33% | 3,479 | 10,634 | 382 | 95% | 1st CD | |||
Martin | 52% | 6,488 | 48% | 5,914 | 12,447 | Martin | 47% | 5,911 | 52% | 6,532 | 12,540 | 577 | 91% | 1st CD | |||
Nash | 49% | 23,013 | 50% | 23,660 | 46,964 | Nash | 50% | 25,947 | 49% | 25,827 | 52,271 | -2,934 | 113% | 1st CD | |||
Northampton | 65% | 6,893 | 35% | 3,662 | 10,599 | Northampton | 60% | 6,069 | 39% | 3,989 | 10,110 | 824 | 88% | 1st CD | |||
Pitt | 54% | 39,763 | 45% | 33,429 | 73,648 | Pitt | 54% | 47,252 | 45% | 38,982 | 87,573 | -7,489 | 119% | 1st CD | |||
Vance | 63% | 13,095 | 37% | 7,584 | 20,778 | Vance | 59% | 12,431 | 40% | 8,391 | 20,999 | 664 | 95% | 1st CD | |||
Warren | 69% | 6,663 | 31% | 2,992 | 9,701 | Warren | 62% | 6,400 | 36% | 3,752 | 10,293 | 263 | 96% | 1st CD | |||
Washington | 58% | 3,734 | 41% | 2,667 | 6,437 | Washington | 55% | 3,396 | 45% | 2,781 | 6,205 | 338 | 91% | 1st CD | |||
Wayne | 45% | 22,507 | 54% | 26,800 | 49,566 | Wayne | 44% | 24,215 | 55% | 30,709 | 55,537 | -1,708 | 108% | 1st CD | |||
Wilson | 52% | 19,754 | 48% | 18,338 | 38,256 | Wilson | 51% | 20,754 | 48% | 19,581 | 40,735 | -1,000 | 105% | 1st CD |
see post #39
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