Posted on 10/30/2020 4:14:25 PM PDT by 11th_VA
It’s time for me to announce my prediction for the 2020 presidential election.
I was right on the money in 2016 and in 2018 for the mid-term elections, and I did it without the aid of the polls which, as I discovered, are totally useless. Instead, I rely on the voting data received from the Florida Board of Elections which routinely updates their numbers, thereby providing me with the means to study trends...
... As we approach election day next week, the Republicans will find themselves in the lead, and will likely turn out in record numbers on election day (as they have done historically). In contrast, the Democrats voted early through Vote-by-Mail. Prior to election day, well over 50% of the registered Democrats had voted. Normally, only 66% of registered Democrats vote overall, but even if they get to the 70% or 75% plateau on election day, it will not be enough to stop the Republican tsunami at the voting booth. As an aside, 75% of registered Republicans typically vote in a presidential election, but I suspect this number will go higher this year.
One other note worth mentioning, independent voters also flexed their muscle in Florida’s elections, setting another voting record. In 2016, Independents helped carry Mr. Trump across the finish line. I cannot help but believe they will do likewise in 2020 as many are disturbed by the violence and mayhem in Democrat controlled cities. Even if it is a 50/50 split, it will be good for Republicans.
In the final analysis, unless there is some massive voter fraud, President Donald Trump is going to win re-election. From the data I have seen, he will win Florida handily, and as Florida goes, so goes the country (as evidenced by the 2016 election)...
(Excerpt) Read more at drrichswier.com ...
“... unless there is some massive voter fraud...”
There WILL be massive voter fraud. Fortunately we have a fighter at the top of the ticket.
Massive voter fraud and ballot tampering is ALREADY happening. It is NOT Republicans doing it
As [OH, PA, MI, WI, FL....] goes, so goes the country
As in 2016 I’m nervous about PA. News out there are not good. It could be ground zero for vote fraud
I share your concerns about PA, but I believe MN will seal it for Trump (and maybe VA, NV, and NM too)
A lot of us that live in florida have been saying the same...from the gut.
Pennsylvania Presidential Polls from Trafalgar Group =>
September 18, 2020
Joe Biden 47.3%
Donald Trump 44.9%
Jo Jorgensen 2.4%
October 13, 2020
Joe Biden 47.4%
Donald Trump 45.1%
Jo Jorgensen 3.1%
October 27, 2020
Donald Trump 48.4%
Joe Biden 47.6%
Jo Jorgensen 2.2%
https://www.thetrafalgargroup.org
_________
What bad news are you seeing?
It may not be enough to overcome the fraud in PA
If he wins MN, he can win without PA...
needs AZ, NC, and either WI or MI
Totally doable.
The Donald is going to win so big that the fraud can’t touch him.
Bank on it.
There WILL be at least 200,000 fraud votes coming out of Philthadelphia alone.
The city does not allow any Republican poll watchers at the precincts.
Thanks to the corrupt Pennsylvania state court and hack governor, they will have three extra days AFTER the election to manufacture the needed ‘votes’ to get Biden barely over the top, UNLESS Trump has an insurmountable lead of at least 250000 (which is doable if enough blue dogs switch over).
My thoughts as well.
I just saw Prof Allen Lichtmann, American University, say that Trump’s negatives will sink him this time. Apparently, this guy is always right.
BUT the negatives he listed included Social Unrest (which most know is Leftists), COVID-19 (which, unless you are a brain dead Lib and believe the Media) and most people agree with Trump’s handling of the ‘pandemic’. The Prof had 4 other negatives that I cannot remember, but he looked really smug when he finished speaking.
I saw that too and McCallum brought up that there are things that come up that no president can control.
I believe that the majority of Americans are fair-minded people and will take that into account, plus this man has been treated worse by the media than any president I can remember.
This guy has been right since 1984, but he added a few negatives that previous admins did not have, by his own admission.
He may have broken his very impressive streak here.
I shut Lichtman down...his “keys”...what a promoter
If he wins Minnesota, he wins every State he won in 2016, and several more
Apparently Lichten is not always right. He predicted Gore would win. Tired of the media fear porn - even on Fox....
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