Posted on 09/29/2020 11:31:38 AM PDT by bort
Blacks in NC tend to vote in large numbers during their “Souls to the Polls” events.
I wonder if Black churches are planning to do that again this year. Anyone know?
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I think churches are still largely shut down in NC by the Governor. If they are not officially shut down, they are effectively shut down in the black community. There is zero way that older black women are piling into a church bus to vote. The fear of the China Virus is palpable. Also, notably, of the mail in ballots, the black voters are largely folks who voted in-person early in 2016 (souls to the polls). That’s why I think the untold story of the election will be the drop off in black voting. Fear of China Virus, no enthusiasm for Biden, and black men are largely ok with Trump, even though most won’t vote for him.
If they are older coronavirus scared folks, they could be republicans voting for Biden. Older white widows seem determined to blame Trump. Too many believe NBCCBSABC.
Note, black vote is disproportionately represented in a number of key swing states (MI, PA, WI, NC).
I am surprised by this as well because I thought we’d see 2008-level turnout after BLM. Key question is whether Black people will vote by other methods but I suspect no. There won’t be a Souls to Polls this year.
If you know SQL, do you want me to update my NC SQLite database and upload it for you? Assuming you haven’t already done something similar. I loaded it with 2016 data and registration data as well.
I noted the makeup of older voters as well. Many many older voters are technically registered Democrat but will identify and vote as Republican.
Bingo!
This is amusing that they can’t get their voters out due to the virus.
“””i know i’m having a Biden moment, but how would they know the race of a Mail In voter?””””””””
Fried chicken stains on the envelopes. DUH!!!!!!!!!!!!
I am surprised by this as well because I thought we’d see 2008-level turnout after BLM.
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I interact with black people every day, and not the MSNBC loon types. Black guys are doing ok with Trump. Black guys hate illegal immigration and they are macho. Trump will win slightly more black men this year than 2016, maybe 18%. Black females hate Trump, but they have little love for Biden. Black females also, by far, fear the China virus more than any other group. Trump will improve ever so slightly with black females just based on their drop off in numbers at the polls. Please look at the race and age data and keep me updated with what you find.
THank you!
Stamps unaffordable?
Considering the reading skill level of some people, voting is haaarrd.
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