Note, black vote is disproportionately represented in a number of key swing states (MI, PA, WI, NC).
I am surprised by this as well because I thought we’d see 2008-level turnout after BLM. Key question is whether Black people will vote by other methods but I suspect no. There won’t be a Souls to Polls this year.
If you know SQL, do you want me to update my NC SQLite database and upload it for you? Assuming you haven’t already done something similar. I loaded it with 2016 data and registration data as well.
I am surprised by this as well because I thought we’d see 2008-level turnout after BLM.
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I interact with black people every day, and not the MSNBC loon types. Black guys are doing ok with Trump. Black guys hate illegal immigration and they are macho. Trump will win slightly more black men this year than 2016, maybe 18%. Black females hate Trump, but they have little love for Biden. Black females also, by far, fear the China virus more than any other group. Trump will improve ever so slightly with black females just based on their drop off in numbers at the polls. Please look at the race and age data and keep me updated with what you find.