Posted on 09/12/2020 10:56:19 AM PDT by NautiNurse
Mandatory evacuations, beginning this morning, have been issued for
Grand Isle in Jefferson Parish, the entire east bank of Plaquemines
Parish, and the Plaquemines West Bank from the Alliance Refinery
to Venice. Voluntary evacuations are in effect from the Oakville
floodgate to the Alliance Refinery on the West Bank."Because of the high tides on LA Hwy 1 this would cause some
difficulties in leaving the island," said Grand Isle Mayor David
Camardelle, in a news release announcing the island's 9 a.m.
evacuation. Source: nola.com
Location...About 140 MI SSW of Apalachicola FL
...About 240 MI ESE of the Mouth of the Mississippi River
Max Sustained Winds...60 MPH
Moving...WNW at 12 MPH
Minimum Pressure...998 MB
Rainfall
Sally is expected to produce additional rainfall of 1 to 3 inches across southwestern Florida with isolated amounts of 6 inches along that coast through Monday. This rainfall may produce flash and urban flooding and prolong high flows and ongoing minor flooding on rivers across west-central Florida.
Sally is expected to be a slow moving system resulting in significant flash flooding for the central Gulf Coast through the middle of the week. Sally is expected to produce rainfall of 6 to 12 inches with isolated amounts of 20 inches over portions of the central Gulf Coast from the western Florida Panhandle to far southeast Louisiana from Monday through the middle of the week.
Bring a bucket full of money everything down here is super expensive....But if you come in the winter you will be glad you did.
I kind of figured it would be pricey. But bar and gift shop hopping isn’t a big magnet for me - I’ll leave most of that to the wife. I’ll be happy bringing back some ‘I Went To Islamorada And All I Got Was This Lousy T-Shrt’. tourist bait (and maybe some Key Lime condiments and such). One of my main goals would be fishing the flats for tarpon, bonefish, ‘cuda, permit. I’m tired of catching dinks and rough fish here in the muddy water of the ‘Hooch, and the closest trout fishing is in the creeks and headwaters three hours north. Don’t need more bass, more mud cats, more bream. I want a challenge. The idea of standing in knee-deep, blue-green water with a fly or spinning rod appeals to me. I’ve never had any real luck the few times I’ve tried to surf and pier fish in Florida. I must be doing it wrong. LOL
Yep. Here we go again...
Good luck and stay safe in Florida and across the GOM everyone...
Let me know where you wind up I know guides in every part of the Keys.
Great, thx. Might be next year, might be 2030. Depends on where the gods, the tides, and the bank accounts float me.
Location...About 165 MI S of Panama City FL
...About 215 MI ESE of the Mouth of the Mississippi River
Max Sustained Winds...60 MPH
Moving...WNW at 9 MPH
Minimum Pressure...996 MB
Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 125 miles
On/Off Hurricane List Mash Here--> 
Ouch. That recurve is so tight it looks like it’s doing the limbo. It’ll only be a depression, but we’re well within the cone. Time to go put the grill cover back on.
I was wondering if I need to take the table umbrella down. Hmm m.
If you’re west of I-65, I’d advise it. Not supposed to be that windy here in east Central. They’re worried more about localized flooding (2”-5” with local higher amounts are forecast).
lol gotcha!
Some not so good news and some news that offset that:
1. Some universities put time limits on how long a course is good - I had an opportunity to take a discounted class in a specialized academic institution for credit, and was told I could use it toward a Masters degree for a period of 7 years. your mileage may vary, but something to look for.
2. It appears that folks in Alabama over 60 can take classes for free at the state junior colleges, subject to admission standards. So if you did have to take basic classes over, at least you wouldn’t have to pay.
some things to look for
lower level flow is out of the SE and higher level out of the West..
a stronger storm will move more east as it builds higher to those upper level winds. the sooner it gets stronger the more east it will go (MS/AL vs LA)
nice burst of convection near the center now
Recon plane about there
Thanks for your keen observations!
Location...About 160 MI S of Panama City FL
...About 195 MI ESE of the Mouth of the Mississippi River
Max Sustained Winds...60 MPH
Moving...WNW at 9 MPH
Minimum Pressure...996 MB
Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 125 miles
Hmmmm. Thanks. I’ll have to look online. I’ll be 58 next birthday, so that might be a good target to wait for. I went through this with my old college, and another college I was thinking of attending. A LOT of courses didn’t transfer, so I have a hunch I may have to start from scratch. Pity, all that money and credits gone to waste.
I'm 13 miles SW of Mobile and my neighbor advised me this afternoon to put my shutters up. I've gotten them out of storage and I'll hang them first thing in the morning. Rain/water is never a problem for me.
expect an east shift on the track next update
18z models and 00z early model suites shows an east jog
a landfall on the MS coast
Mobile metro (pop 630K)
would get the nasty right side of the inner core
CAT 2 likely... unless vertical stacking in complete by morning could be stronger
still has 48 hours water with that slower east track
I’m in Auburn. I think we’ll just get rain. Probably nothing until late tomorrow. Y’all stay safe and be weather-wise!
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