My theory is that Trump will win. Period. The intelligentsia thought he’d lose last time. Wrongo. This time we’ve seen him kick ass and people that weren’t for him last time are convinced about his promises kept. The rest of the people. F em.
They’re running Biden ads in the Dem Gimme State of Maryland.
wtf?
He’s going to win big. Far bigger than even most of the “reasonable” pundits think.
I don’t mean a landslide, which would require NY, CA, IL, and some other states, but I mean mid 300s EV and win the popular vote.
If blacks vote Trump at only HALF the rate of their approval (25-30%) Trump will get 12-15% black vote; but every poll is showing that’s just the start, and that another 3-8% will stay home and/or Kanye will get 1%-2%. This means Demented Perv Biteme will be around 75-76% black vote.
Cankles lost with 88%.
Then there are the yuts. My analysis of closed universities (USC, Pomona, Mich State, Harvard, Princeton, UNC, the whole U Cal and Cal State systems are 100% closed) is that at minimum the 18-24 year old DemoKKKrat vote (after adjusting for Rs) will be down by 30% from 2018 levels because there won’t be any on campus mobilizing or organizing or peer pressure.
Let’s put real #S to these %. For blacks, you’re looking at a Trump vote of +2m-3m (and a decline in Biteme’s vote by that much); then for the stay at homes another 1-2m will stay home OVER AND ABOVE 2016. For the Yuts, that 30% decline in DemoKKKrat #S will be 1 to 1.5m.
Before a single 2016 Gary Johnson voter, Cankles voter, or non-voter now votes for Trump—and there will be at least 1m of these, Trump starts up by 2-3m over his 2016 level and Biteme starts down 5-6m from Cankles’ 2016 level.