Troops loyal to Libya's internationally recognised government on the outskirts of Misrata, Libya [Ayman Sahely/Reuters]
Troops loyal to Libya's internationally recognised government on the outskirts of Misrata, Libya [Ayman Sahely/Reuters]
What would or could Turkey do if Egypt disobeys? Most likely, finance fifth-columnists to cause problems for Cairo. But Egypt could easily return the favor.
The logistics in Libya definitely favor the Egyptians.
Erdogan may bite off more than he can eschew...................
“Suleiman and The Ottomans” 2020 Worldwide Reunion Tour!
One A-10...
“Turkey and Russia agreed on Wednesday”
..after Egpyt authorized intervention Monday evening.
Looks like Egypt’s action got Turkey scrambling.
Sounds like they want to negotiate a (temporary) division of the country, rather than fight over the whole of it.
Haftar and his LNA (the Egyptian side) were closing in on Tripoli for a final victory, when Turkey swept in with thousands of jihadi mercenaries from Syria, and advanced weaponry.
In typical Middle East/moslem fashion, any negotiated cease fire will be used to build up their forces for, when they judge it more advantageous to break out from it.
Even the negotiations themselves may simply be a delaying tactic while they reinforce.
Turkey’s opening negotiating position seeks to deny their enemies of their most valuable assets - the Russian air base at Jufra and the GNA control of Sirte (and thererby the flow of oil revenue), without having to actually fight for them.
As in Syria, Turkey seeks to make cost-efficient use of low cost mercenaries, from third countries. Maybe some UAE or Saudi funding could raise a few brigades of similar troops, like the African Mercs that Muammar Gaddafi used to employ.
“Jaw Jaw” or “War War”?
Let’s see how things break, now that the stakes have been raised by Egypt’s Authorization for the Use of Military Force.
My guess is that the Turkish-backed forces will halt their advance, until they assess what is coming from Egypt. If they don’t see mobilization, they will start testing their advance again.
Meanwhile, the Turks are likely scrambling to put together/deploy a big reinforcement, and provide them diplomatic cover/delay with these talks.
I bet a lot of countries are on the phone with Turkey, Russia and Egypt over this situation - USA, France, Germany, Qatar, UAE, Saudi Arabia...
Why do we even care? They’re both muzzie countries. Let them beat each other to extinction and congratulate the winner.
Turkey is also causing problems with Greece
Obama/Clinton/Biden did this.
Yep, price of oil has been too low for too long.
Time to rattle some sabers, torch a few wells...