While Loomer faces a Rat incumbent in a blue-leaning district, she has a shot at it because it’s not an overwhelmingly Rat district.
An issue here or there can turn the tide and people are in a rebellious frame of mind.
Hillary beat Trump there in 2016 by 20 points and the current congresswoman has won by large margins. That's pretty Blue.
Loomer won’t win many friends or voters by calling the 70 year old incumbent “fat and lazy”.
Loomer herself hasn’t missed too many trips to the buffet.