Posted on 04/14/2020 6:24:04 AM PDT by ChicagoConservative27
The Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME) released an update of its coronavirus model on Monday that dropped peak hospitalization projections for the United States by 34 percent in three days, from 86,479 total hospital beds needed to 56,831 total hospital beds needed.
The IHME admitted in an update accompanying the release that the dramatic drop in projected peak hospitalization resources required was the result of the inclusion of three days of actual hospitalization data from April 10-12 that was remarkably different from the projections for those days released just three days earlier on Friday, April 10. A review of the April 13 release of the IHME model late Monday showed an even lower total hospital bed requirement at the peak date (56,831) than the 59, 592 projected in the update released earlier in the day:
(Excerpt) Read more at breitbart.com ...
But we are locked down as if its 1985 in the soviet union.
Logical conclusion: Hydroxychloroquine works.
“The IHME model projects more COVID-19 deaths in Texas (2,704) — which currently has 286 COVID-19 deaths — than Michigan (2,373) — which currently has 1,479 COVID-19 deaths — a reflection of the model’s treatment of the two state’s differing social distance policies. Texas currently has not closed non-essential services, while Michigan has.”
In other words, closing “non-essential services” might not be essential. It might even be counterproductive. Who knew?
Not to mention outting the billing issue...
I’m hoping the American people, at least the patriots, will stand up and say NO the next this, or any virus, rolls around and the push to shut everything down begins again. There is an anger beginning to build in our country over this.
I am in the hospital right at this moment. I just had a short outpatient procedure done, obviously not elective surgery. This hospital is dead quite.
I think the point back is that the so-called lock downs are flattening and extending the curve and probably better than expected. If we remove these public health measures without taking other precautions such as a vigorous testing etc., the virus will come right back and the worry will be that the hospitals will be overloaded.
I am also hoping that the use of the anti-malaria drug cocktail along with warmer weather might also be helping.
The “pandemic” created out of thin air. That thin air being our media and DNC they hyped this for their own gains.
Day by day the both of them are proving they are NOT Americans but Socialist Lackeys determined to revise America into Venezuela.
IHME needs to get into the Trump polling business. Where else is their level of abysmal performance tolerated? Virus models and Trump polls are more accurate when you stick to your magic eight ball.
The asymmetric war template will go on. There is no downside with "plausible deniability" built into it.
Many criminals never stop until incarcerated or eliminated.
The lie is the weapon used most often by the criminal.
Witness history and current events.
Maybe they’re using a marketing model. Any result within a factor of 2 of the actual is a success.
The people that tend to get it first are those that are most susceptible to it. These are also the people who are probably most at risk from having a severe reaction. Hence more likely to be hospitalized, more likely to have serious, even fatal complications.
People who get it later are more resilient and resistant to it. They may eventually get it after extensive exposure as it spreads. They show fewer and less severe symptoms. Less likely to need hospitalization, far lower mortality rates.
Finally there's the last group, the people that get/have it and never know. We only find them as testing becomes more widespread. This group again drives down the numbers on hospitalizations and mortality.
I'm not in that business, but even I can see these effects deduced from common sense. You would hope their models would take these (and probably many other more subtle factors) into account. Maybe they do, but all they have is a SWAG to go on initially. If the models are based on SWAGs, why in the h**l did we trash our economy over mere guesses?
Models built on real time data are miserable failures.
Doomsday climate change models built on conjecture, theories, ice samples and concrete jungle temperature readings are rock solid.
So easy even a Democrat can understand it....in theory.
Telling people to "stay indoors." Meaning, whole families should be cooped up together in close & closed quarters with what we're told is a highly infectious respiratory disease going around since at least December 2019. What could go wrong?
The Wuhan-19 "projections" by the "experts" were not only wrong, but will be shown to be really wrong when this season is done.
The damage done to our economy and our country will take much longer to recover from.
This is my engineering mind set. If you reverse engineer the model vs outcome it's one of many logical explanations.
“Experts” with “Models”. What could possibly go wrong?
Meanwhile WHO is agreeing with China’s decision to re-open the ‘wet markets’, the so-called source of the pandemic.
It's worse than that. We are federal government experts and "we are here to help."
Major error in your analysis:
Asymptomatic people who are ALREADY EXPOSED are the ones transmitting both to others who are also asymptomatic or mild symptoms while BOTH groups are also infecting those with comorbidity issues, lifestyle-disease or otherwise.
NOT ‘later’.
This is why the models are all wrong and the so-called ‘peak’ has already passed...until we go back to work and then they’ll say SITYS to try to compel a longer period of shutdown when, in reality, there NEVER SHOULD HAVE BEEN A SHUTDOWN to permit the virus to quickly run its course.
Their argument against that action, of course, was overwhelming the medical system with hospitalizations.
To-wit...
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