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The Misleading Arithmetic of COVID-19 Death Rates
Cato ^ | 3.2.2020 | Alan Reynolds

Posted on 03/10/2020 3:12:54 AM PDT by narses

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To: narses
It's not the death rate that worries governments. That is what it is and there's not much that can be done about it.

What's worrisome is the HOSPITALIZATION rate. As we've seen in every single country so far health care systems cannot handle the amount of critically ill that results from the virus.

That's why all governments are expending so much time and money to slow or stop it.

21 posted on 03/10/2020 6:34:06 AM PDT by DouglasKC
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To: JPJones

So this article seems to be saying that if you take the cases known to be the coronavirus, and you add to them a nearly like number which may or may not be the coronavirus, then the death rate goes down.

Well, Duh.

Of course that doesn’t tell you a lot about the coronavirus, or the effects of the coronavirus.

If the effects of quarantine captured all of those reported with coronavirus, along with all of the cases of unreported coronavirus, then that would account for the lack of new cases. If there were a sizable number of cases not quarantined, then the number of new cases would still be rapidly expanding.

China is reporting only about 350 new cases since 3/4, and about 125 new deaths (which are more likely mostly out of the “still sick” pool).


22 posted on 03/10/2020 11:19:01 AM PDT by lepton ("It is useless to attempt to reason a man out of a thing he was never reasoned into"--Jonathan Swift)
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To: narses

So....we are not all going to die?


23 posted on 03/10/2020 11:28:59 AM PDT by going hot (happiness is a momma deuce)
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To: going hot

Wrong, I am pretty sure we all will, just not all at the same time from the WooHoo Flu. No matter what the fear mongers tell you.


24 posted on 03/10/2020 1:32:54 PM PDT by narses (Censeo praedatorium gregem esse delendum. (The gay lobby must be destroyed))
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To: MNJohnnie

According to this website: https://gisanddata.maps.arcgis.com/apps/opsdashboard/index.html#/bda7594740fd40299423467b48e9ecf6
the current number of COVID-19 deaths are just over 4,000 and the current number recovered are just under 70,000. That’s about a 6% death rate for currently “resolved” cases.

More importantly is how COVID-19 affected China. China has been under martial law for many weeks. The cellphone videos I’ve seen of Beijing look like they’re scenes from the Omega Man.

There’s also their rush to build new hospitals and, the shortages of body bags and, of course, no funerals in Wuhan due to contagion concerns but the crematoria are running 24/7.

I don’t know if this info is getting in the MSM but it’s been leaked from China and is being posted on youtube.


25 posted on 03/10/2020 2:19:04 PM PDT by Prolixus (In all seriousness:)
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To: PGalt; Liz; HarleyLady27; V K Lee

Free hockey stick night at oldtimers hockey game at Michael Mann Arena...

* * *

Thanks, PGalt, for giving me a good laugh this morning!


26 posted on 03/11/2020 5:42:02 AM PDT by poconopundit (Joe Biden has long been the Senate's court jester. He's 24/7 malarkey and more corrupt than Hunter.)
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To: poconopundit; PGalt

Great post, PGalt.


27 posted on 03/11/2020 5:45:21 AM PDT by Liz (Our side has 8 trillion bullets; the other side doesn't know which bathroom to use. So O)
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To: narses

28 posted on 05/09/2020 3:32:54 PM PDT by MinorityRepublican
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To: narses

Old article. But relevant. Our statistics are not counting mild cases. I believe that at least 200 million Americans will get infected before 5h4 crisis ends.


29 posted on 05/09/2020 3:34:19 PM PDT by MinorityRepublican
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