[proust]

1. recovered # is according to ChiComs

2. recovered is very vulnerable to relapse

3. even give all that, the reported dead vs recovered ratio still ain’t great.

[Excubiae]

3. even give all that, the reported dead vs recovered ratio still ain’t great.

Also remember that as infrastructure breaks down (and its well past broken there), the hospitals are more likely to see the relatively milder cases (the sicker cases, which 3 weeks ago would have called for an ambulance or Uber, are now dying behind closed doors, because there is no way they could walk to the hospital, or wait around for half a day just to be told to come back tomorrow). So this ratio will get even more misleading.

Plus, hospitals are going to have their own method for determining who gets tested and who doesn't. They are going to make that determination in part, factoring in what makes them look better to the people who would kill them on a whim. Basically, there is not a single number coming out that is even worth the paper its written on.

[samtheman]

Good answer.