Posted on 02/05/2020 9:37:19 AM PST by 11th_VA
SEOUL - South Korea reported three new cases of coronavirus on Wednesday (Feb 5), including two South Korean men who attended a conference in Singapore where they both came into contact with a Malaysian man infected with the same virus.
This brings the total number of coronavirus patients in South Korea to 19. One of them, a 55-year-old South Korean man who visited China’s Wuhan, the epicentre of the outbreak, was discharged on Wednesday, making him the first person in South Korea to fully recover from the virus.
According to the Korea Centres for Disease Control and Prevention (KCDC), the 19th patient is a 36-year-old South Korean man who was in Singapore Jan 18-23 to attend a conference.
He began self-quarantine on Tuesday (Feb 4), after hearing that a Malaysian who attended the same conference was infected with the corona virus, which has killed nearly 500 people and infected more than 24,000, mostly in China.
The Korean man tested positive for the virus on Wednesday evening, making him the second Korean man to be infected in Singapore.
He is now quarantined at the Seoul Medical Center, and contact tracing is underway, the KCDC said in a statement.
Patient No 17, a 38-year-old Korean man, was also in Singapore Jan 18-23, attending the same conference as the 19th patient...
(Excerpt) Read more at straitstimes.com ...
When a virus circulates continuously in a community, it is said to be endemic. The viruses that cause chicken pox and influenza are endemic in many countries, but outbreaks can be controlled through vaccination and keeping people at home when they are ill.
One big question is whether the coronavirus is also here to stay. If efforts to contain it fail, there’s a high chance that it will become endemic. As with influenza, this could mean that deaths occur every year as the virus circulates, until a vaccine is developed. If the virus can be spread by people who are infected but don’t have symptoms, it will be more difficult to control its spread, making it more likely that the virus will become endemic.
If not a Pandemic, it could be Endemic
If they know about 19 how many do you suppose they don’t know about? Not everyone runs to the hospital when they start getting sick.
That's an issue isn't it … the world could look very different in another 60 days
Following the trend - doubling every 3 days
I worry about the effect on the supply chain...especially for food. Too many truck drivers get sick and what happens? There's already a shortage of truck drivers. I ordered an emergency food supply yesterday...supposed to be here Monday or Tuesday but it was hard to find. Many emergency food suppliers are out of stock or have lead times of 2 or 3 months.
The math is very disturbing because it so far shows no sign of letting off- it has been doubling every 3 days.
So by March (less than 60 days) that would be over a million dead.
Even ordering non perishables from walmart, amazon, etc would be a good thing. Order stuff you normally use and you’ll still use it.
Post to me or FReep mail to be on/off the Bring Out Your Dead ping list.
The purpose of the “Bring Out Your Dead” ping list (formerly the “Ebola” ping list) is very early warning of emerging pandemics, as such it has a high false positive rate.
So far the false positive rate is 100%.
At some point we may well have a high mortality pandemic, and likely as not the “Bring Out Your Dead” threads will miss the beginning entirely.
*sigh* Such is life, and death...
If a quarantine saves just one child's life, it's worth it.
Singapore is going to be about the best case for keeping the spread in check. The people are educated, hygienic, and obedient to authority. If it spreads there, it’s going to spread everywhere.
https://gisanddata.maps.arcgis.com/apps/opsdashboard/index.html#/bda7594740fd40299423467b48e9ecf6
recovered: 1,092
deaths: 494
First time I’ve seen recovered > 2 x deaths.
Yah ordered two case of Ramen noodles as well...10 bucks!
And we'll still have people here saying it's no worse that an ordinary flu, or even a cold, and oh, by the way, colloidal silver will cure it!
Their cities may look clean, but from personal experience with S’pores, they aren’t very hygienic. Washing their hands and covering their mouths when they cough simply aren’t ingrained in the culture.
Might be a good thing just to see how the process works.
We’ll be putting order boxes of non perishables in the garage to hang out for 10 days, just because. To test the process.
YMMV, and hope to laugh at ourselves this summer.
That's a bit of good news - guess they were "mostly dead", but not "completely dead" (Princess Bride)
Just think about what this virus is doing to the North Korean population...the poor, starving, anemic people. They don’t have a chance.
Yes.
When you BRING OUT YOUR DEAD, it’s helpful not to mix them in with the recovered when you throw them in the cart.
North Korea is largely rural and the borders were closed pretty fast. They are safer than most.
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