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The Trump Curveball: This Is What China Didn't Expect (Gordon Chang)
nationalinterest.org ^ | Gordon Chang

Posted on 11/01/2018 8:01:42 AM PDT by RoosterRedux

Xi, believing in the primacy of the Party and the power of the state, has marched China back to something resembling the systems created and maintained by Mao Zedong and Joseph Stalin.

Xi has, for instance, been busy recombining already large state enterprises back into dominant market players and, in a few cases, formal state monopolies. He has increased state subsidies to favored participants and has placed a new emphasis on industrial policy, like his notorious Made in China 2025 initiative that seeks self-sufficiency in crucial sectors.

He has tightened already strict capital controls, often enforcing unannounced rules. Moreover, Xi has dramatically increased state control over the equity markets, especially since the summer of 2015. Market-supporting purchases by the aptly named “National Team” are, in substance, renationalization. Xi, in addition to that effort, is partially nationalizing the tech sector.

Throughout Xi’s tenure, the state has, as is so often said, “advanced” and the market “retreated,” this despite the much-publicized promise, from the 3rd plenum of the 18th Central Committee in November 2013, to let the market play a “decisive role” in the allocation of resources.

Unfortunately, Xi Jinping is making all these regressive moves with such vigor and determination that it is unlikely foreign companies will achieve, so long as he rules, fair access to the Chinese market.

Xi’s Beijing has, not surprisingly, been blatantly disregarding obligations under trade agreements. He has been closing off China’s markets to foreign companies with discriminatory law enforcement actions, state media-promoted boycotts, and legislation, such as the Cybersecurity Law and National Security Law, which target non-domestic competitors. And he has been inserting Communist Party cells into foreign-owned operations in China.

At the same time, Xi has continued to take, by theft and by rule, hundreds of billions of dollars of foreign-intellectual property each year...

(Excerpt) Read more at nationalinterest.org ...


TOPICS: News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: chang; gordonchang; madeinchina; trumpasia; trumptrade; xi
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1 posted on 11/01/2018 8:01:42 AM PDT by RoosterRedux
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To: RoosterRedux

For decades Gordon Chang has been fantastic.

A great thinker and author, a huge patriot.


2 posted on 11/01/2018 8:04:34 AM PDT by gaijin
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To: RoosterRedux

Stop talking about China...it’s Russia, Russia, Russia dammit!


3 posted on 11/01/2018 8:12:25 AM PDT by pgkdan (The Silent Majority STILL Stands With TRUMP! WWG1WGA)
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To: RoosterRedux

Disengagement = Stop doing business in, and with, China.

Yes, it’s preferable to war.

And we don’t need them anyway. For anything.


4 posted on 11/01/2018 8:15:28 AM PDT by Mariner (War Criminal #18)
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To: gaijin
Yes he is.

And that is one of the best articles on the subject I have read in a long time.

That said, I am not sure that disengagement can prevent a war with China. When China's economy really starts sputtering and Xi gets panicky, he might resort to war.

5 posted on 11/01/2018 8:24:07 AM PDT by RoosterRedux
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To: Mariner
Nonsense.

We're utterly dependent on China for basic electronic components. There are no US suppliers who can provide resistors, capacitors, inductors, ICs, connectors, and other critical electronic components in the quantities needed. My company is buying millions of dollars of such components a year, and so is every other big electronics manufacturer.

We need to develop our own capability, but that will never happen when Chinese components are cheaper and work just as well.

6 posted on 11/01/2018 8:45:55 AM PDT by backwoods-engineer (Enjoy the decline of the American empire.)
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To: RoosterRedux

What scares me is that many “American” corporations are really run and owned by globalists. I think they will do their best to undermine and defeat Trump’s attempt to restore us as an independent nation vs. just a mall where the world buys and sells.


7 posted on 11/01/2018 8:50:43 AM PDT by throwback (The object of opening the mind, is as of opening the mouth, is to shut it again on something solid.)
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To: backwoods-engineer

That’s why the supply chains are moving elsewhere in Asia.


8 posted on 11/01/2018 8:55:02 AM PDT by Mariner (War Criminal #18)
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To: backwoods-engineer

What are you manufacturing that the Chinese can’t target and make cheaper than you can with their own parts, and cut you out as the middleman? Therein lies the rub. I heard some story I think it was some Italian vendor that was getting tomatoes from China to make their sauce because it was so much cheaper. Once the Chinese figured out their product, they took their own tomatoes and started a competing brand. It’s what they do.


9 posted on 11/01/2018 9:01:36 AM PDT by throwback (The object of opening the mind, is as of opening the mouth, is to shut it again on something solid.)
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To: throwback; Liz

[restore America] as an independent nation vs. just a mall where the world buys and sells.

* * *

Well said, throwback.

Trump has reversed the attitude that America is destined to be nothing more than a “mall”. And he’s not just saying American can be great again, he’s PROVING it with results.

America is an attitude and belief that We the People are destined to rise and achieve excellence in every corner of our society. And we will do it in a unified way.

There are a streaming of categories and identies living inside me. Slice and dice them any way you want, I am FIRST a PROUD AMERICAN!


10 posted on 11/01/2018 9:14:11 AM PDT by poconopundit
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To: backwoods-engineer

Add in DRUGS!

Y’all know just how much China is in control of the drugs (and raw ingrediants for drugs) Americans use and need? And our military?


11 posted on 11/01/2018 9:46:35 AM PDT by polymuser (ItÂ’s terrible to contemplate how few politicians are hanged today. - Chesterton)
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To: throwback
What are you manufacturing that the Chinese can’t target and make cheaper than you can with their own parts, and cut you out as the middleman?

Water meters and meter-reading equipment, for US & Canadian markets. China can't break into the market because of their sloppy quality. We and our competitors have enormous market share.

12 posted on 11/01/2018 9:59:35 AM PDT by backwoods-engineer (Enjoy the decline of the American empire.)
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To: gaijin

Good article.


13 posted on 11/01/2018 10:06:50 AM PDT by sparklite2 (See more at Sparklite Times)
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To: Mariner

“And we don’t need them anyway. For anything”

How about all that money we owe them, and it continues to get larger. They have a powerful weapon to use if they become desperate.


14 posted on 11/01/2018 11:01:34 AM PDT by gbscott
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To: backwoods-engineer
Good for you. Cheapest isn't always the least expensive. When I can I much prefer to buy a more expensive product because it lasts. I think people expected that China would evolve like Japan and Korea did. At different times they had cheap labor, but they evolved such that their economies seem to compete on a level playing field with other developed countries. The Chinese seem to always cut corners, though. Maybe communism and its need for conformity will never permit that evolution.
15 posted on 11/01/2018 12:05:57 PM PDT by throwback (The object of opening the mind, is as of opening the mouth, is to shut it again on something solid.)
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To: gbscott
How about all that money we owe them, and it continues to get larger. They have a powerful weapon to use if they become desperate.

As do we, as in, "We ain't payen' piss off".

16 posted on 11/01/2018 12:12:07 PM PDT by USS Alaska (Nuke all mooselimb terrorists, today.)
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To: backwoods-engineer

China could build a competitive product, if it were of strategic value to their goals. Otherwise they export a mimic slipshod product to separate the uninformed from their funds.


17 posted on 11/01/2018 6:59:01 PM PDT by Ozark Tom
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To: RoosterRedux
...as Charles Burton of Brock University told the National Interest, “there is no basis for give-and-take negotiation here.” His point? “While the U.S. has ample cause for dissatisfaction with China’s trade regime and pervasive use of economic espionage, China has no justified cause to make reciprocal demands on the U.S.” Burton is correct. This is, as he contends, “an asymmetrical dispute whose sustainable resolution can only come via unilateral concessions on the part of Beijing.” And Xi Jinping, due to his marching China back to a Maoist-Stalinist economy, is not going to make those concessions.

Would China throw in with Iran to keep oil flowing?

18 posted on 05/07/2019 9:54:06 AM PDT by GOPJ ("Elites reflexively exempt themselves from the ravages of their own policies." - nathanbedford)
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To: GOPJ

The new Silk Road route (belt and road initiate of China) runs right through Tehran. I think China has already thrown in with Iran.


19 posted on 05/07/2019 11:06:42 AM PDT by RoosterRedux
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To: RoosterRedux
I think China has already thrown in with Iran.

Very possible...

20 posted on 05/07/2019 8:45:15 PM PDT by GOPJ ("Elites reflexively exempt themselves from the ravages of their own policies." - nathanbedford)
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