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Major Hurricane Michael Live Thread II
NHC/NOAA ^ | 9 October 2018 | NHC/NOAA

Posted on 10/09/2018 4:49:06 PM PDT by NautiNurse

Major Hurricane Michael is churning toward the northeastern Gulf of Mexico coast. Florida Governor Rick Scott declared a state of emergency Monday for 35 counties with mandatory coastal evacuations in the FL Panhandle. 1,250 National Guard troops are aiding the process and more than 4,000 more placed on standby.

FEMA is already on the ground in Florida; other federal agencies are also preparing to assist people in the storm's path.

Alabama Gov. Kay Ivey on Monday declared a state of emergency for the entire state. Georgia Governor Nathan Deal issued a state of emergency for 92 counties ahead of Hurricane Michael landfall.

Meanwhile, Tallahassee city government (Andrew Gillum, Mayor & D'Rat FL Gubernatorial candidate) offices are "closed until further notice." Tallahassee International Airport ‏is suspending commercial flight activity as 12:01 a.m. ET on Wednesday but expects to resume activity on Thursday.

The U.S. military moved its aircraft from the Panhandle on Monday. Roughly 50 F-22 stealth fighter jets — valued around $150 million each — have been relocated from the Tyndall Air Force Base, while the U.S. Navy said it is moving all its training aircraft from Pensacola.

Energy Production The Bureau of Safety and Environmental Enforcement (BSEE) on Tuesday estimated that around 726 MMcf/d (28.4%) of natural gas production and 670,831 b/d (39.5%) of oil production in the GOM had been shut in ahead of the storm.

As of midday Tuesday, 75 platforms and three rigs had been evacuated, while eight dynamically positioned rigs had been moved out of the storm’s path as a precaution, according to BSEE.

Gulf of Mexico Satellite Channels

Public Advisories

NHC Discussions


NHC Local Weather Statements/Radar Key West FL
NHC Local Weather Statements/Radar New Orleans, LA
NHC Local Weather Statements/Radar Mobile AL/Pensacola FL
NHC Local Weather Statements/Radar Panama City, FL
NHC Local Weather Statements/Radar Tallahassee, FL
NHC Local Weather Statements/Radar Tampa Bay, FL

Hurricane Michael Thread I


TOPICS: Breaking News; US: Alabama; US: Florida; US: Georgia; US: North Carolina; US: South Carolina
KEYWORDS: gorebullwarming; hurricane; hurricanemichael; localnews; michael; nautinurse; tropical
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To: W.; Reno89519
Based on your experience, what should we expect?

That’s bound to be more accurate than the talking heads’ predictions.

101 posted on 10/09/2018 6:51:20 PM PDT by BykrBayb (Lung cancer free since 11/9/07. Colon cancer free since 7/7/15. Obama free since 1/20/17. PTL ~ Þ)
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To: boycott

“Camille was a shocking storm.”
Yes, it was rather shocking. I remember it well as I was in the middle of it at Keesler AFB, MS. It’s interesting that they now say “winds estimated at 175 mph”. I was listening to the radio that night and they said it was 195 where we were and 210 a few miles away. Whatever it was, it sure made a mess. I have a picture of a sailboat sitting on top of a gas station...


102 posted on 10/09/2018 6:54:47 PM PDT by Old Forester
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To: BykrBayb

I live in Northwest Ohio, we have occasional tornadoes, but no hurricanes.


103 posted on 10/09/2018 7:05:47 PM PDT by W. (Boom!)
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Bastardi was saying possible Cat 4 yesterday.


104 posted on 10/09/2018 7:10:11 PM PDT by gov_bean_ counter (Ruth Bader Ginsburg doctor is a taxidermist.)
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To: Old Forester

I remember hearing Camille was 200 MPH winds. I grew up along the coast and that’s pretty much the number I’ve heard.


105 posted on 10/09/2018 7:11:51 PM PDT by boycott
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To: yarddog

Dude, The Pilots will walk out to the Aircraft, reach in and flip the Switch that’s Labeled “Stealth” and everything will be just fine.


106 posted on 10/09/2018 7:16:57 PM PDT by mabarker1 (Congress- the opposite of PROGRESS!!!)
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Tip of the outward bands reaching Birmingham, AL now.


107 posted on 10/09/2018 7:18:22 PM PDT by gov_bean_ counter (Ruth Bader Ginsburg doctor is a taxidermist.)
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To: NautiNurse; dirtboy; yarddog; foundedonpurpose

Five Miles Out

Mike Oldfield

What do you do when your falling,

You've got 30 degrees and you're stalling out?

And it's 24 miles to your beacon;

There's a crack in the sky and the warning's out.

Don't take that dive again!

Push through that band of rain!

Five miles out,

Just hold your heading true.

Got to get your finest out.

You're Number 1, anticipating you.

Climbing out.

Just hold your heading true.

Got to get your finest out.

You're Number 1, anticipating you.

Mayday! Mayday! Mayday!

Calling all stations!

This is Golf-Mike-Oscar-Victor-Juliet

IMC CU.NIMB...icing,

In great difficulty, over.

The traffic controller is calling,

"Victor-Juliet, your identity.

I have you lost in the violent storm!

Communicate or squawk 'Emergency'!"

Don't take that dive again!

Push through that band of rain!

Lost in static, 18,

And the storm is closing in now.

Automatic, 18!

(Got to push through!) Trapped in living hell!

Your a prisoner of the dark sky,

The propeller blades are still!

And the evil eye of the hurricane's

Coming in now for the kill.

Our hope's with you,

Rider in the blue.

Welcome's waiting, we're anticipating

You'll be celebrating, when you're down and braking.

Climbing out.

(Climbing, climbing)

Five miles out.

(Climbing, climbing)

Five miles out,

Just hold your heading true.

Got to get your finest out....

(Climbing, climbing)

Five miles out,

Just hold your heading true.

Got to get your finest out....

(Climbing, climbing)

Climbing out.

Just hold your heading true.

Got to get your finest out....

(Climbing, climbing)

Five miles out,

Just hold your heading true.

Got to get your finest out....

(Climbing, climbing)

Climbing out.

Just hold your heading true.

Got to get your finest out....

(Climbing, climbing)

Climbing out.

Just hold your heading true.

Got to get your finest out....

Songwriters: M Oldfield

Five Miles Out lyrics © Sony/ATV Music Publishing LLC

108 posted on 10/09/2018 7:26:06 PM PDT by Viking2002 ("For they have sown the wind, and they shall reap the whirlwind." Hosea 7:8)
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To: All

Anyone got real time info on Tampa Bay itself? Know people on Davis Islands near to Peter Knight Airport


109 posted on 10/09/2018 7:26:30 PM PDT by KC Burke (If all the world is a stage, I would like to request my lighting be adjusted.)
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To: yarddog

Normal to get grumpy when a storm’s coming- especially when it means missing a family visit. Be safe and stay in touch with us.

Hang in..


110 posted on 10/09/2018 7:26:39 PM PDT by SE Mom (Screaming Eagle mom)
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To: KC Burke

Flooding reported today: Longboat Key, St. Armands, and St. Pete Beach. More flooding anticipated as hurricane moves north.

Coastal Hillsborough County

...STORM SURGE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

* LOCATIONS AFFECTED
- Tampa
- Apollo Beach
- Westchase

* STORM SURGE
- LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Life-threatening storm surge
possible
- Peak Storm Surge Inundation: The potential for
2-4 feet above ground somewhere within surge prone areas
- Window of concern: through early Thursday
afternoon

- Emergency plans should include a reasonable threat
as depicted on the left.

* FOR MORE INFORMATION:
- http://www.weather.gov/tbw


111 posted on 10/09/2018 7:40:49 PM PDT by NautiNurse (Two-door Ford suffered unrepairable damage after a head-on collision with facts & truth.)
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To: snippy_about_it

Haven’t seen you around in ages. Didn’t know you still had the place near my old stomping grounds.


112 posted on 10/09/2018 7:46:35 PM PDT by PAR35
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To: NautiNurse

My daughter has to fly back home from Orlando tomorrow at 6:30 PM, she’s nervous that she’ll get stuck there. Looks to me she should be ok unless it veers more east overnight.


113 posted on 10/09/2018 7:49:53 PM PDT by Cementjungle
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To: NautiNurse

It’s fixing to get ugly here. We are hunkered down. My family in Fort Walton and Pensacola are doing the same. Y’all be safe.


114 posted on 10/09/2018 7:54:29 PM PDT by TallahasseeConservative (Isaiah 40:31)
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To: yarddog

They’re already moved.


115 posted on 10/09/2018 7:55:28 PM PDT by ripnbang ("An armed man is a citizen, an unarmed man, a subject.")
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To: yarddog

Sorry...that was the F-22s at Tyndall


116 posted on 10/09/2018 7:55:58 PM PDT by ripnbang ("An armed man is a citizen, an unarmed man, a subject.")
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To: Cementjungle

Your daughter will want to contact the airline before leaving for the airport tomorrow. She will want to make sure the equipment needed to depart Orlando is able to arrive from its origination. Her flight schedule may be fine, albeit storms have widespread ripple effects on air traffic.


117 posted on 10/09/2018 7:57:50 PM PDT by NautiNurse (Two-door Ford suffered unrepairable damage after a head-on collision with facts & truth.)
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To: TallahasseeConservative

Stay safe, and check in when you are able.


118 posted on 10/09/2018 7:58:58 PM PDT by NautiNurse (Two-door Ford suffered unrepairable damage after a head-on collision with facts & truth.)
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To: Charles Martel

“Yep. But then, local grocery stores used to print tracking charts on the paper grocery sacks. I like the modern graphics we have now, but sort of miss listening to the coordinates being updated on the radio and jotting a new pencil dot on the grid. “

The newspaper used to print a double page map of the Gulf with Lat and Lon printed on for tracking storms. Dad had a plastic lid to a can of nuts he used to trace onto the map at the latest coordinates.


119 posted on 10/09/2018 8:01:40 PM PDT by Rebelbase (..)
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To: abb; abbi_normal_2; aberaussie; abner; AbsoluteGrace; alancarp; Alas Babylon!; Alia; ...
Dangerous Hurricane Michael continues to strengthen...125 mph...

SUMMARY OF 1100 PM Advisory...
----------------------------------------------
About 220 MI...SSW of Panama City FL
About 200 MI...SSW of Apalachicola FL
Maximum Sustained Winds...125 MPH
Present Movement...N at 12 MPH
Minimum Central Pressure...947 MB...

Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 45 miles, and
Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 175 miles.


On/Off Hurricane List Mash Here-->

120 posted on 10/09/2018 8:04:10 PM PDT by NautiNurse (Two-door Ford suffered unrepairable damage after a head-on collision with facts & truth.)
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